Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Red Star v Sochaux

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-14 18:45 UTC

Score final : Red Star 0–0 Sochaux

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Red Star (Local)

Prévision 48.18%2.08cote équitable
EV -3.63%
Avantage -1.82%
Kelly -3.63%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.90%48.37%48.15%52.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.701.871.912.0058.82%53.54%52.36%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Sochaux (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.14%4.14cote équitable
EV +8.62%
Avantage +1.92%
Kelly +2.46%
Croissance +0.212%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.90%23.92%24.11%24.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.953.854.5027.78%25.34%25.97%22.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.68%3.61cote équitable
EV -3.12%
Avantage -0.893%
Kelly -1.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.67%27.71%27.74%28.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.293.303.5032.26%30.36%30.30%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Red Star (Local) : 48.18% ; Sochaux (Visiteur) : 24.14% ; Match nul : 27.68%. Pour Sochaux (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.14. 14 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.50, soit une espérance positive de +8.62%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
PMU (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.24%EV -13.27%E -7.37%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV +8.62%E +1.92%K +2.46%G +0.212%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.12%E -0.893%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-13 08:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.24%EV -13.27%E -7.37%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV +8.62%E +1.92%K +2.46%G +0.212%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.12%E -0.893%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-13 08:24
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.83%EV -15.68%E -8.96%K -20.90%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.09%EV +3.79%E +0.882%K +1.15%G +0.044%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-13 08:25
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.83%EV -15.68%E -8.96%K -20.90%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.09%EV +3.79%E +0.882%K +1.15%G +0.044%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-13 08:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.83%EV -15.68%E -8.96%K -20.90%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.09%EV +3.79%E +0.882%K +1.15%G +0.044%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-13 08:25
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.83%EV -15.68%E -8.96%K -20.90%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.09%EV +3.79%E +0.882%K +1.15%G +0.044%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-13 08:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.83%EV -15.68%E -8.96%K -20.90%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.09%EV +3.79%E +0.882%K +1.15%G +0.044%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-13 08:25
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.83%EV -15.68%E -8.96%K -20.90%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.09%EV +3.79%E +0.882%K +1.15%G +0.044%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-13 08:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.83%EV -15.68%E -8.96%K -20.90%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.09%EV +3.79%E +0.882%K +1.15%G +0.044%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-13 08:25
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.83%EV -15.68%E -8.96%K -20.90%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.09%EV +3.79%E +0.882%K +1.15%G +0.044%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-13 08:25
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.92%EV -17.12%E -9.96%K -23.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.01%EV +2.58%E +0.608%K +0.795%G +0.021%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-13 08:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.87%EV -18.09%E -10.64%K -25.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.00%EV +1.38%E +0.328%K +0.431%G +0.006%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-13 08:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.87%EV -18.09%E -10.64%K -25.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.00%EV +1.38%E +0.328%K +0.431%G +0.006%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-13 08:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.87%EV -18.09%E -10.64%K -25.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.00%EV +1.38%E +0.328%K +0.431%G +0.006%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-13 08:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -10.86%E -5.87%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -1.04%E -0.253%K -0.334%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:24
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.32%EV -4.11%E -2.07%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.80%EV -2.48%E -0.615%K -0.817%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87%EV -4.51%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-14 18:30
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.97%E -4.17%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -3.45%E -0.862%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -11.43%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-14 18:19
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -8.45%E -4.45%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -3.45%E -0.862%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -11.43%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-14 18:19
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.40%EV -3.63%E -1.82%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 18:19
Bet Victor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -7.01%E -3.63%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 18:30
betano_uk🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -7.01%E -3.63%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 18:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.97%E -4.17%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.27%EV -5.34%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 18:39
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -6.04%E -3.10%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-14 16:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -7.49%E -3.90%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 18:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.45%EV -9.90%E -5.29%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.31%EV -11.43%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-14 18:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.33%EV -8.45%E -4.45%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -7.07%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-14 17:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.33%EV -8.45%E -4.45%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -7.07%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-14 17:04
Suprabets🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%EV -9.41%E -5.01%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 23.67%EV -7.31%E -1.90%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.97%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 18:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.04%E -3.10%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.28%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 17:04
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.73%EV -6.04%E -3.10%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -8.28%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 18:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.23%EV -7.49%E -3.90%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -8.28%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.40%EV -6.45%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 18:19
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -7.97%E -4.17%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.28%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-14 14:59
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -7.97%E -4.17%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -8.28%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -11.43%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-14 18:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -7.97%E -4.17%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -8.28%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -11.43%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-14 18:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -7.97%E -4.17%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -8.28%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -11.43%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-14 18:25
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -7.97%E -4.17%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -8.28%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -11.43%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-14 18:25
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -9.90%E -5.29%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -8.28%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -11.43%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-14 18:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.07%EV -4.11%E -2.07%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -9.48%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.07%EV -4.11%E -2.07%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -9.48%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 18:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -7.97%E -4.17%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -9.48%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-14 16:19
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -7.97%E -4.17%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.48%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-14 18:33
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.76%EV -7.49%E -3.90%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.45%EV -9.48%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-14 17:05
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.76%EV -7.49%E -3.90%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.45%EV -9.48%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-14 17:04
NetBet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.62%EV -9.90%E -5.29%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -9.48%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 18:40
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.84%EV -10.86%E -5.87%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -9.48%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.55%EV -14.20%E -4.58%K -6.76%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-14 18:19
Codere (IT)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -7.97%E -4.17%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -10.69%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-14 17:10
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -7.97%E -4.17%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -10.69%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.43%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-14 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -7.97%E -4.17%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -10.69%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -14.20%E -4.58%K -6.76%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-14 16:14
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -7.97%E -4.17%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -10.69%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -14.20%E -4.58%K -6.76%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-14 16:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -7.97%E -4.17%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -10.69%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -14.20%E -4.58%K -6.76%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-14 16:15
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -7.97%E -4.17%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -10.69%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -14.20%E -4.58%K -6.76%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-14 16:14
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.89%EV -13.27%E -7.37%K -16.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -13.10%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-14 15:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-08-14 18:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-08-14 18:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-08-14 18:34