La scuola delle quote

Red Star v Montpellier

Inizio: 2026-05-09 18:00 UTC

Finale: Red Star 1–1 Montpellier

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

58 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Red Star (Casa)

Previsione 52.64%1.90quota equa
EV -5.24%
Vantaggio -2.91%
Kelly -6.55%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.83%52.62%52.60%54.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.671.751.751.8059.88%57.04%57.14%55.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Montpellier (Trasferta)

Previsione 22.18%4.51quota equa
EV -0.428%
Vantaggio -0.095%
Kelly -0.123%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.49

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.13%22.16%22.23%23.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.124.104.4926.67%24.28%24.39%22.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.18%3.97quota equa
EV -2.80%
Vantaggio -0.726%
Kelly -0.980%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.86

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.43%25.22%25.17%26.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.603.603.8631.25%27.76%27.78%25.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.02%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -4.64%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -3.05%E -0.793%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 17:54
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.53%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.25%EV -5.75%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 17:43
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-04 04:50
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-04 04:50
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 17:39
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 17:44
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.67%EV -6.30%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -6.86%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 17:55
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 51.99%EV -6.30%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.30%EV -7.97%E -1.92%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 17:44
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.99%EV -6.30%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.30%EV -7.97%E -1.92%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 17:44
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -6.30%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 04:50
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -6.30%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 04:50
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -6.30%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 04:50
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -6.30%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 04:50
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -6.30%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 04:55
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -6.30%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 04:55
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -6.30%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 04:55
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -6.30%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 04:55
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -6.30%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 05:05
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.26%EV -6.82%E -3.85%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -4.64%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -4.31%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 17:45
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -6.82%E -3.85%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -4.64%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 17:35
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.06%EV -6.82%E -3.85%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -11.29%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 17:55
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -6.82%E -3.85%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -11.29%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 17:34
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.41%EV -7.35%E -4.18%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -4.64%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -4.31%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 17:44
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.41%EV -7.35%E -4.18%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -4.64%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -4.31%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 17:45
Betclic (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.60%EV -7.35%E -4.18%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -6.86%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -8.09%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 17:43
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.66%EV -7.35%E -4.18%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -11.29%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-04 04:51
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.66%EV -7.35%E -4.18%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -11.29%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-04 04:51
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.66%EV -7.35%E -4.18%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -11.29%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-04 04:51
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 54.26%EV -7.87%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.15%EV -0.428%E -0.095%K -0.123%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.60%EV -2.80%E -0.726%K -0.980%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 17:50
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.45%EV -7.87%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -3.98%E -0.918%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 17:53
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.87%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -6.86%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 17:34
Codere (IT)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.09%EV -7.87%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 17:44
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.87%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.29%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 17:44
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.87%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.29%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 17:44
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.87%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.29%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 17:44
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.87%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.29%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 17:44
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -7.87%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -13.51%E -3.46%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -7.87%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -13.51%E -3.46%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 17:40
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -7.87%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -13.51%E -3.46%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -7.87%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -13.51%E -3.46%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 17:39
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.70%EV -8.40%E -4.83%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -6.86%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 17:45
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -8.40%E -4.83%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.29%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 17:44
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -8.40%E -4.83%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.29%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 17:44
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.03%EV -8.93%E -5.16%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -2.42%E -0.551%K -0.713%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.73%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 17:54
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -8.93%E -5.16%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -6.86%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 17:54
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.93%E -5.16%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -11.29%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 17:34
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.22%EV -8.93%E -5.16%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.72%EV -13.51%E -3.46%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-09 17:34
NetBet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.44%EV -9.45%E -5.50%K -13.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -4.64%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -8.09%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 17:54
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -9.45%E -5.50%K -13.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -6.86%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 17:55
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -9.45%E -5.50%K -13.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -11.29%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -8.09%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 17:44
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 54.08%EV -9.98%E -5.84%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -3.53%E -0.812%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 17:48
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 54.08%EV -9.98%E -5.84%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -3.53%E -0.812%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 17:45
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.50%EV -9.98%E -5.84%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -6.86%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 17:55
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 53.81%EV -10.51%E -6.18%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -3.98%E -0.918%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.06%EV -8.09%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 17:44
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.00%EV -10.51%E -6.18%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 00:04
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 51.73%EV -10.51%E -6.18%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -15.73%E -4.14%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-09 17:14
Suprabets1.69I 59.17%NM 53.88%EV -11.03%E -6.53%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -4.64%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -8.09%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 17:46
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 50.83%EV -12.09%E -7.24%K -18.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -16.84%E -4.49%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.53%EV -19.42%E -6.07%K -8.83%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-09 17:34
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.33%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%0.8%2026-05-09 17:55
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.33%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%0.8%2026-05-09 17:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.46%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.04%1.1%2026-05-09 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.46%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.04%1.1%2026-05-09 17:55
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.00%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.67%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.33%2.5%2026-05-09 17:54