L’École des cotes

Red Star v Montpellier

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 18:00 UTC

Score final : Red Star 1–1 Montpellier

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Red Star (Local)

Prévision 52.64%1.90cote équitable
EV -5.24%
Avantage -2.91%
Kelly -6.55%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.83%52.62%52.60%54.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.751.751.8059.88%57.04%57.14%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Montpellier (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.18%4.51cote équitable
EV -0.428%
Avantage -0.095%
Kelly -0.123%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.49

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.13%22.16%22.23%23.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.124.104.4926.67%24.28%24.39%22.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.18%3.97cote équitable
EV -2.80%
Avantage -0.726%
Kelly -0.980%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.43%25.22%25.17%26.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.603.603.8631.25%27.76%27.78%25.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.02%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -4.64%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -3.05%E -0.793%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 17:54
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.53%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.25%EV -5.75%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 17:43
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-04 04:50
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-04 04:50
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 17:39
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 17:44
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.67%EV -6.30%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -6.86%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 17:55
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 51.99%EV -6.30%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.30%EV -7.97%E -1.92%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 17:44
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.99%EV -6.30%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.30%EV -7.97%E -1.92%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 17:44
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -6.30%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 04:50
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -6.30%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 04:50
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -6.30%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 04:50
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -6.30%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 04:50
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -6.30%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 04:55
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -6.30%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 04:55
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -6.30%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 04:55
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -6.30%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 04:55
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -6.30%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 05:05
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.26%EV -6.82%E -3.85%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -4.64%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -4.31%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 17:45
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -6.82%E -3.85%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -4.64%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 17:35
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.06%EV -6.82%E -3.85%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -11.29%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 17:55
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -6.82%E -3.85%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -11.29%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 17:34
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.41%EV -7.35%E -4.18%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -4.64%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -4.31%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 17:44
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.41%EV -7.35%E -4.18%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -4.64%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -4.31%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 17:45
Betclic (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.60%EV -7.35%E -4.18%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -6.86%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -8.09%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 17:43
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.66%EV -7.35%E -4.18%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -11.29%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-04 04:51
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.66%EV -7.35%E -4.18%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -11.29%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-04 04:51
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.66%EV -7.35%E -4.18%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -11.29%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-04 04:51
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 54.26%EV -7.87%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.15%EV -0.428%E -0.095%K -0.123%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.60%EV -2.80%E -0.726%K -0.980%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 17:50
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.45%EV -7.87%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -3.98%E -0.918%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 17:53
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.87%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -6.86%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 17:34
Codere (IT)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.09%EV -7.87%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 17:44
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.87%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.29%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 17:44
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.87%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.29%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 17:44
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.87%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.29%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 17:44
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.87%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.29%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 17:44
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -7.87%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -13.51%E -3.46%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -7.87%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -13.51%E -3.46%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 17:40
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -7.87%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -13.51%E -3.46%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -7.87%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -13.51%E -3.46%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 17:39
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.70%EV -8.40%E -4.83%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -6.86%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 17:45
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -8.40%E -4.83%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.29%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 17:44
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -8.40%E -4.83%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.29%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 17:44
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.03%EV -8.93%E -5.16%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -2.42%E -0.551%K -0.713%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.73%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 17:54
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -8.93%E -5.16%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -6.86%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 17:54
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.93%E -5.16%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -11.29%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 17:34
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.22%EV -8.93%E -5.16%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.72%EV -13.51%E -3.46%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-09 17:34
NetBet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.44%EV -9.45%E -5.50%K -13.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -4.64%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -8.09%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 17:54
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -9.45%E -5.50%K -13.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -6.86%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 17:55
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -9.45%E -5.50%K -13.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -11.29%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -8.09%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 17:44
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 54.08%EV -9.98%E -5.84%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -3.53%E -0.812%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 17:48
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 54.08%EV -9.98%E -5.84%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -3.53%E -0.812%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 17:45
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.50%EV -9.98%E -5.84%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -6.86%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 17:55
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 53.81%EV -10.51%E -6.18%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -3.98%E -0.918%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.06%EV -8.09%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 17:44
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.00%EV -10.51%E -6.18%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 00:04
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 51.73%EV -10.51%E -6.18%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -15.73%E -4.14%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-09 17:14
Suprabets1.69I 59.17%NM 53.88%EV -11.03%E -6.53%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -4.64%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -8.09%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 17:46
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 50.83%EV -12.09%E -7.24%K -18.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -16.84%E -4.49%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.53%EV -19.42%E -6.07%K -8.83%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-09 17:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.33%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%0.8%2026-05-09 17:55
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.33%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%0.8%2026-05-09 17:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.46%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.04%1.1%2026-05-09 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.46%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.04%1.1%2026-05-09 17:55
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.00%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.67%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.33%2.5%2026-05-09 17:54