مدرسة الاحتمالات

Red Star v Montpellier

البداية: 2026-05-09 18:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Red Star 1–1 Montpellier

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Red Star (المضيف)

التنبؤ 52.64%1.90السعر العادل
EV -5.24%
الأفضلية -2.91%
Kelly -6.55%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.83%52.62%52.60%54.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.671.751.751.8059.88%57.04%57.14%55.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Montpellier (الضيف)

التنبؤ 22.18%4.51السعر العادل
EV -0.428%
الأفضلية -0.095%
Kelly -0.123%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.49

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.13%22.16%22.23%23.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.754.124.104.4926.67%24.28%24.39%22.27%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.18%3.97السعر العادل
EV -2.80%
الأفضلية -0.726%
Kelly -0.980%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.86

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.43%25.22%25.17%26.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.603.603.8631.25%27.76%27.78%25.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.02%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -4.64%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -3.05%E -0.793%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 17:54
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.53%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.25%EV -5.75%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 17:43
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-04 04:50
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-04 04:50
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 17:39
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 17:44
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.67%EV -6.30%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -6.86%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 17:55
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 51.99%EV -6.30%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.30%EV -7.97%E -1.92%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 17:44
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.99%EV -6.30%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.30%EV -7.97%E -1.92%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 17:44
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -6.30%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 04:50
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -6.30%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 04:50
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -6.30%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 04:50
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -6.30%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 04:50
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -6.30%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 04:55
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -6.30%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 04:55
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -6.30%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 04:55
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -6.30%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 04:55
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -6.30%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 05:05
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.26%EV -6.82%E -3.85%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -4.64%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -4.31%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 17:45
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -6.82%E -3.85%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -4.64%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 17:35
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.06%EV -6.82%E -3.85%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -11.29%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 17:55
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -6.82%E -3.85%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -11.29%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 17:34
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.41%EV -7.35%E -4.18%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -4.64%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -4.31%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 17:44
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.41%EV -7.35%E -4.18%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -4.64%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -4.31%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 17:45
Betclic (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.60%EV -7.35%E -4.18%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -6.86%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -8.09%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 17:43
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.66%EV -7.35%E -4.18%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -11.29%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-04 04:51
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.66%EV -7.35%E -4.18%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -11.29%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-04 04:51
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.66%EV -7.35%E -4.18%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -11.29%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-04 04:51
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 54.26%EV -7.87%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.15%EV -0.428%E -0.095%K -0.123%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.60%EV -2.80%E -0.726%K -0.980%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 17:50
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.45%EV -7.87%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -3.98%E -0.918%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 17:53
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.87%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -6.86%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 17:34
Codere (IT)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.09%EV -7.87%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 17:44
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.87%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.29%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 17:44
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.87%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.29%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 17:44
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.87%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.29%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 17:44
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.87%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.29%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 17:44
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -7.87%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -13.51%E -3.46%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -7.87%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -13.51%E -3.46%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 17:40
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -7.87%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -13.51%E -3.46%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -7.87%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -13.51%E -3.46%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 17:39
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.70%EV -8.40%E -4.83%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -6.86%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 17:45
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -8.40%E -4.83%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.29%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 17:44
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -8.40%E -4.83%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.29%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 17:44
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.03%EV -8.93%E -5.16%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -2.42%E -0.551%K -0.713%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.73%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 17:54
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -8.93%E -5.16%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -6.86%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 17:54
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.93%E -5.16%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -11.29%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 17:34
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.22%EV -8.93%E -5.16%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.72%EV -13.51%E -3.46%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-09 17:34
NetBet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.44%EV -9.45%E -5.50%K -13.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -4.64%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -8.09%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 17:54
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -9.45%E -5.50%K -13.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -6.86%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 17:55
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -9.45%E -5.50%K -13.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -11.29%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -8.09%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 17:44
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 54.08%EV -9.98%E -5.84%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -3.53%E -0.812%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 17:48
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 54.08%EV -9.98%E -5.84%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -3.53%E -0.812%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 17:45
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.50%EV -9.98%E -5.84%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -6.86%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 17:55
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 53.81%EV -10.51%E -6.18%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -3.98%E -0.918%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.06%EV -8.09%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 17:44
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.00%EV -10.51%E -6.18%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -9.08%E -2.21%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 00:04
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 51.73%EV -10.51%E -6.18%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -15.73%E -4.14%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-09 17:14
Suprabets1.69I 59.17%NM 53.88%EV -11.03%E -6.53%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -4.64%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -8.09%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 17:46
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 50.83%EV -12.09%E -7.24%K -18.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -16.84%E -4.49%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.53%EV -19.42%E -6.07%K -8.83%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-09 17:34
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.33%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%0.8%2026-05-09 17:55
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.33%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%0.8%2026-05-09 17:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.46%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.04%1.1%2026-05-09 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.46%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.04%1.1%2026-05-09 17:55
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.00%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.67%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.33%2.5%2026-05-09 17:54