默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Red Star v Metz

开赛时间: 2026-09-14 18:45 UTC

最终结果: Red Star 1–0 Metz

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

55 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Red Star (主队)

预测 39.33%2.54公平赔率
EV -5.22%
优势 -2.17%
Kelly -3.70%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.41

博彩公司预测分布
37.55%39.37%39.33%40.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.332.352.4145.45%42.93%42.55%41.49%最小值均值中位数最大值

Metz (客队)

预测 32.45%3.08公平赔率
EV -1.66%
优势 -0.549%
Kelly -0.819%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.03

博彩公司预测分布
31.30%32.47%32.49%33.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.702.832.883.0337.04%35.29%34.72%33.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 28.22%3.54公平赔率
EV -3.21%
优势 -0.936%
Kelly -1.32%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.43

博彩公司预测分布
27.15%28.16%28.18%29.20%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.243.253.4332.26%30.88%30.77%29.15%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Red Star (主队):39.33%;Metz (客队):32.45%;平局:28.22%。 对于“Metz (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.08。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.03,期望值为-1.66%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (55 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.78%EV -5.22%E -2.17%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 18:35
Pinnacle🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.13%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.79%EV -1.66%E -0.549%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.08%EV -3.21%E -0.936%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-14 18:30
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.31%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -5.47%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 17:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-14 13:40
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 17:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -12.37%E -4.58%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-14 18:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.14%EV -5.23%E -1.79%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-14 17:41
BetOnline.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.14%EV -5.23%E -1.79%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-14 17:41
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 14:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 14:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 14:55
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 14:55
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 14:55
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 14:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 14:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 14:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 14:55
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 14:55
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 13:40
NordicBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.38%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-14 18:25
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.38%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-14 18:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 38.35%EV -7.19%E -3.05%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.91%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-14 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.62%EV -7.58%E -3.23%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.33%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.05%EV -6.31%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 18:35
BetUS🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -7.58%E -3.23%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 18:30
NetBet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -7.58%E -3.23%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.21%EV -6.86%E -2.39%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-14 18:30
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -7.58%E -3.23%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 18:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.58%E -3.23%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 16:01
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -7.58%E -3.23%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-14 18:30
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.58%E -3.23%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-14 17:40
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-14 18:40
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-14 17:49
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -4.26%E -1.44%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-14 18:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-14 18:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-14 18:10
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-14 18:35
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-14 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-14 18:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-14 18:35
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -12.37%E -4.58%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-14 13:40
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.19%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.19%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-14 18:35
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-14 17:55
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-14 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-14 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-14 17:55
Suprabets🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 39.71%EV -9.94%E -4.34%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.13%EV -8.15%E -2.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.15%EV -8.85%E -2.74%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-14 17:44
Betclic (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.17%EV -10.33%E -4.53%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.48%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-14 18:29
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.17%EV -10.33%E -4.53%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.48%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-14 14:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.17%EV -10.33%E -4.53%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.48%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-14 14:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.17%EV -10.33%E -4.53%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.48%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-14 14:55
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -11.51%E -5.12%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-14 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -11.51%E -5.12%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-13 16:25
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -13.48%E -6.13%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-14 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -13.48%E -6.13%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-14 18:30
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -13.48%E -6.13%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-14 18:40
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -13.48%E -6.13%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.70%EV -12.37%E -4.58%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-14 18:40
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.69%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.73%0.2%2026-09-14 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-09-14 18:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-09-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-09-14 18:30
Smarkets◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.41%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.81%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%1.4%2026-09-14 18:30