Szkoła Kursówodds.school
Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)
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Red Star v Metz

Początek: 2026-09-14 18:45 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Red Star 1–0 Metz

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

55 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Red Star (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 39.33%2.54kurs godziwy
EV -5.22%
Przewaga -2.17%
Kelly -3.70%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.41

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
37.55%39.37%39.33%40.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.202.332.352.4145.45%42.93%42.55%41.49%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Metz (Goście)

Prognoza 32.45%3.08kurs godziwy
EV -1.66%
Przewaga -0.549%
Kelly -0.819%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.03

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
31.30%32.47%32.49%33.57%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.702.832.883.0337.04%35.29%34.72%33.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 28.22%3.54kurs godziwy
EV -3.21%
Przewaga -0.936%
Kelly -1.32%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.43

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.15%28.16%28.18%29.20%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.103.243.253.4332.26%30.88%30.77%29.15%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Red Star (Gospodarze): 39.33%; Metz (Goście): 32.45%; Remis: 28.22%. Dla wyniku Metz (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.08. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 3.03, przy wartości oczekiwanej -1.66%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.

Kursy bukmacherskie (55 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
1xBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.78%EV -5.22%E -2.17%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 18:35
Pinnacle🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.13%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.79%EV -1.66%E -0.549%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.08%EV -3.21%E -0.936%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-14 18:30
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.31%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -5.47%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 17:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-14 13:40
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 17:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -12.37%E -4.58%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-14 18:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.14%EV -5.23%E -1.79%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-14 17:41
BetOnline.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.14%EV -5.23%E -1.79%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-14 17:41
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 14:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 14:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 14:55
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 14:55
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 14:55
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 14:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 14:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 14:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 14:55
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 14:55
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 13:40
NordicBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.38%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-14 18:25
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.38%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-14 18:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 38.35%EV -7.19%E -3.05%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.91%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-14 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.62%EV -7.58%E -3.23%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.33%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.05%EV -6.31%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 18:35
BetUS🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -7.58%E -3.23%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 18:30
NetBet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -7.58%E -3.23%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.21%EV -6.86%E -2.39%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-14 18:30
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -7.58%E -3.23%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 18:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.58%E -3.23%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 16:01
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -7.58%E -3.23%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-14 18:30
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.58%E -3.23%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-14 17:40
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-14 18:40
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-14 17:49
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -4.26%E -1.44%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-14 18:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-14 18:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-14 18:10
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-14 18:35
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-14 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-14 18:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-14 18:35
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -12.37%E -4.58%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-14 13:40
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.19%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.19%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-14 18:35
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-14 17:55
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-14 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-14 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-14 17:55
Suprabets🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 39.71%EV -9.94%E -4.34%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.13%EV -8.15%E -2.88%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.15%EV -8.85%E -2.74%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-14 17:44
Betclic (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.17%EV -10.33%E -4.53%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.48%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-14 18:29
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.17%EV -10.33%E -4.53%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.48%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-14 14:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.17%EV -10.33%E -4.53%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.48%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-14 14:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.17%EV -10.33%E -4.53%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.48%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-14 14:55
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -11.51%E -5.12%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-14 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -11.51%E -5.12%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-13 16:25
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -13.48%E -6.13%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-14 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -13.48%E -6.13%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-14 18:30
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -13.48%E -6.13%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-14 18:40
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -13.48%E -6.13%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.70%EV -12.37%E -4.58%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-14 18:40
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.69%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.73%0.2%2026-09-14 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-09-14 18:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-09-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-09-14 18:30
Smarkets◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.41%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.81%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%1.4%2026-09-14 18:30