Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.41
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.03
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.43
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Red Star (Local): 39.33%; Metz (Visitante): 32.45%; Empate: 28.22%. Para Metz (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.08. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.03, con un valor esperado de -1.66%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.78%EV -5.22%E -2.17%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 18:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.13%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.79%EV -1.66%E -0.549%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.08%EV -3.21%E -0.936%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-14 18:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.31%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -5.47%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-14 17:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-14 13:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -12.37%E -4.58%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-14 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.14%EV -5.23%E -1.79%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-14 17:41 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.14%EV -5.23%E -1.79%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-14 17:41 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 14:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 14:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 14:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 14:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 14:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 14:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 14:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-14 13:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.38%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-14 18:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.38%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-14 18:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 38.35%EV -7.19%E -3.05%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.91%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-14 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.62%EV -7.58%E -3.23%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.33%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.05%EV -6.31%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-14 18:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -7.58%E -3.23%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-14 18:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -7.58%E -3.23%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.21%EV -6.86%E -2.39%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-14 18:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -7.58%E -3.23%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-14 18:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.58%E -3.23%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-14 16:01 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -7.58%E -3.23%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-14 18:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.58%E -3.23%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-14 17:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-14 18:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-14 17:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -4.26%E -1.44%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-14 18:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-14 18:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-14 18:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-14 18:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-14 18:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-14 18:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-14 18:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -12.37%E -4.58%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-14 13:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.19%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.19%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-14 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 39.71%EV -9.94%E -4.34%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.13%EV -8.15%E -2.88%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.15%EV -8.85%E -2.74%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-14 17:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.17%EV -10.33%E -4.53%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.48%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-14 18:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.17%EV -10.33%E -4.53%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.48%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-14 14:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.17%EV -10.33%E -4.53%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.48%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-14 14:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.17%EV -10.33%E -4.53%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.48%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-14 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -11.51%E -5.12%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-14 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -11.51%E -5.12%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-13 16:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -13.48%E -6.13%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-14 18:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -13.48%E -6.13%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-14 18:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -13.48%E -6.13%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.13%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-14 18:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -13.48%E -6.13%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.70%EV -12.37%E -4.58%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-14 18:40 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.69% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.73% | 0.2% | 2026-09-14 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64% | 0.5% | 2026-09-14 18:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64% | 0.5% | 2026-09-14 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64% | 0.5% | 2026-09-14 18:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.41% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.81% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78% | 1.4% | 2026-09-14 18:30 |