La scuola delle quote

Pau FC v Guingamp

Inizio: 2026-04-17 18:00 UTC

Finale: Pau FC 2–1 Guingamp

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

58 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Pau FC (Casa)

Previsione 31.38%3.19quota equa
EV -3.98%
Vantaggio -1.30%
Kelly -1.93%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.06

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.57%31.46%31.34%33.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.872.903.0637.04%34.90%34.48%32.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Guingamp (Trasferta)

Previsione 40.80%2.45quota equa
EV -4.11%
Vantaggio -1.75%
Kelly -3.05%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.78%40.72%40.79%41.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.282.282.3546.51%43.90%43.86%42.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.82%3.59quota equa
EV -2.63%
Vantaggio -0.753%
Kelly -1.05%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.15%27.83%27.87%29.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.293.303.5034.72%30.42%30.30%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle3.06I 32.68%NM 31.48%EV -3.98%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.99%EV -4.11%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.52%EV -2.63%E -0.753%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-17 17:40
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -4.30%E -1.41%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -6.15%E -2.68%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 17:30
LowVig.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -4.30%E -1.41%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -6.97%E -3.06%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 17:34
BetOnline.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -4.30%E -1.41%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -6.97%E -3.06%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 17:34
Betclic (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -5.86%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.19%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-17 17:38
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -5.86%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.19%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 17:09
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -5.86%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.19%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 17:09
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -5.86%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.19%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 16:08
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.86%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.19%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 13:24
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -7.43%E -2.52%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.52%EV -4.11%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -2.63%E -0.753%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 17:19
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -7.43%E -2.52%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -6.15%E -2.68%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 17:40
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -7.43%E -2.52%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -8.19%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 17:44
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.76%EV -7.43%E -2.52%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.88%EV -9.42%E -4.24%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 17:14
Marathon Bet2.93I 34.13%NM 31.83%EV -8.06%E -2.75%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.73%EV -6.56%E -2.87%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 17:49
NetBet (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 31.12%EV -8.37%E -2.87%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.93%EV -9.42%E -4.24%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 17:44
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.15%E -2.68%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 17:19
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.15%E -2.68%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 17:19
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.15%E -2.68%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 17:53
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -6.15%E -2.68%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 17:20
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -6.15%E -2.68%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 17:34
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -8.19%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 17:19
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.19%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 17:34
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.19%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 17:34
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.19%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 17:30
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.19%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 17:39
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -10.23%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-17 17:10
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -10.23%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-17 17:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.23%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.76%E -4.44%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-17 16:10
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.23%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.76%E -4.44%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-17 16:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.23%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.76%E -4.44%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-17 16:09
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.23%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.76%E -4.44%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-17 16:10
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -9.63%E -3.34%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -6.15%E -2.68%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 17:20
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.31%EV -10.57%E -3.71%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.21%EV -6.56%E -2.87%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 17:52
BetUS2.85I 35.09%NM 32.31%EV -10.57%E -3.71%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.21%EV -6.56%E -2.87%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 17:49
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.57%E -3.71%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.19%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-17 17:19
Suprabets2.82I 35.46%NM 32.26%EV -11.51%E -4.08%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.25%EV -7.79%E -3.45%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 27.48%EV -7.92%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-17 17:54
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -12.14%E -4.34%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.75%EV -6.97%E -3.06%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 17:49
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -12.14%E -4.34%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -8.19%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-17 17:19
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -12.14%E -4.34%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -8.19%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-17 17:49
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -12.14%E -4.34%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -10.23%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-17 17:20
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -12.14%E -4.34%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -12.27%E -5.71%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-17 17:20
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -13.71%E -4.99%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.11%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 15:40
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -13.71%E -4.99%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.11%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 15:39
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -13.71%E -4.99%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.11%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 15:39
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -13.71%E -4.99%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.11%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 15:39
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -13.71%E -4.99%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.11%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 15:39
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -13.71%E -4.99%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.11%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 15:40
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -13.71%E -4.99%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.11%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 15:39
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -13.71%E -4.99%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.11%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 15:39
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -13.71%E -4.99%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.11%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 15:39
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -13.71%E -4.99%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.11%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 15:40
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -13.71%E -4.99%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.11%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 15:39
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -13.71%E -4.99%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.11%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 15:39
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -13.71%E -4.99%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -5.34%E -2.30%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-17 15:39
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -13.71%E -4.99%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -5.34%E -2.30%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-17 15:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -13.71%E -4.99%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -5.34%E -2.30%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-17 15:40
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -13.71%E -4.99%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -10.23%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-17 17:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.60%EV -15.28%E -5.66%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.78%EV -10.23%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.62%EV -19.88%E -6.90%K -10.58%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-17 17:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.26%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%1.0%2026-04-17 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.26%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%1.0%2026-04-17 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.26%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%1.0%2026-04-17 17:55
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-04-17 17:49
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.11%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.1%2026-04-17 17:50