L’École des cotes

Pau FC v Guingamp

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-17 18:00 UTC

Score final : Pau FC 2–1 Guingamp

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Pau FC (Local)

Prévision 31.38%3.19cote équitable
EV -3.98%
Avantage -1.30%
Kelly -1.93%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.57%31.46%31.34%33.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.872.903.0637.04%34.90%34.48%32.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Guingamp (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.80%2.45cote équitable
EV -4.11%
Avantage -1.75%
Kelly -3.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.78%40.72%40.79%41.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.282.282.3546.51%43.90%43.86%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.82%3.59cote équitable
EV -2.63%
Avantage -0.753%
Kelly -1.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.15%27.83%27.87%29.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.293.303.5034.72%30.42%30.30%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.06I 32.68%NM 31.48%EV -3.98%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.99%EV -4.11%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.52%EV -2.63%E -0.753%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-17 17:40
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -4.30%E -1.41%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -6.15%E -2.68%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 17:30
LowVig.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -4.30%E -1.41%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -6.97%E -3.06%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 17:34
BetOnline.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -4.30%E -1.41%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -6.97%E -3.06%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 17:34
Betclic (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -5.86%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.19%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-17 17:38
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -5.86%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.19%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 17:09
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -5.86%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.19%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 17:09
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -5.86%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.19%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 16:08
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.86%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.19%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 13:24
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -7.43%E -2.52%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.52%EV -4.11%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -2.63%E -0.753%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 17:19
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -7.43%E -2.52%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -6.15%E -2.68%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 17:40
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -7.43%E -2.52%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -8.19%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 17:44
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.76%EV -7.43%E -2.52%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.88%EV -9.42%E -4.24%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 17:14
Marathon Bet2.93I 34.13%NM 31.83%EV -8.06%E -2.75%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.73%EV -6.56%E -2.87%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 17:49
NetBet (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 31.12%EV -8.37%E -2.87%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.93%EV -9.42%E -4.24%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 17:44
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.15%E -2.68%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 17:19
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.15%E -2.68%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 17:19
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.15%E -2.68%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 17:53
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -6.15%E -2.68%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 17:20
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -6.15%E -2.68%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 17:34
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -8.19%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 17:19
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.19%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 17:34
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.19%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 17:34
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.19%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 17:30
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.19%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 17:39
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -10.23%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-17 17:10
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -10.23%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-17 17:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.23%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.76%E -4.44%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-17 16:10
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.23%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.76%E -4.44%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-17 16:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.23%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.76%E -4.44%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-17 16:09
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.23%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.76%E -4.44%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-17 16:10
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -9.63%E -3.34%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -6.15%E -2.68%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 17:20
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.31%EV -10.57%E -3.71%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.21%EV -6.56%E -2.87%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 17:52
BetUS2.85I 35.09%NM 32.31%EV -10.57%E -3.71%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.21%EV -6.56%E -2.87%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 17:49
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.57%E -3.71%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.19%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-17 17:19
Suprabets2.82I 35.46%NM 32.26%EV -11.51%E -4.08%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.25%EV -7.79%E -3.45%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 27.48%EV -7.92%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-17 17:54
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -12.14%E -4.34%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.75%EV -6.97%E -3.06%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 17:49
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -12.14%E -4.34%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -8.19%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-17 17:19
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -12.14%E -4.34%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -8.19%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-17 17:49
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -12.14%E -4.34%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -10.23%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-17 17:20
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -12.14%E -4.34%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -12.27%E -5.71%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-17 17:20
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -13.71%E -4.99%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.11%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 15:40
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -13.71%E -4.99%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.11%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 15:39
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -13.71%E -4.99%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.11%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 15:39
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -13.71%E -4.99%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.11%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 15:39
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -13.71%E -4.99%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.11%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 15:39
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -13.71%E -4.99%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.11%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 15:40
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -13.71%E -4.99%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.11%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 15:39
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -13.71%E -4.99%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.11%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 15:39
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -13.71%E -4.99%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.11%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 15:39
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -13.71%E -4.99%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.11%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 15:40
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -13.71%E -4.99%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.11%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 15:39
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -13.71%E -4.99%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.11%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 15:39
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -13.71%E -4.99%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -5.34%E -2.30%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-17 15:39
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -13.71%E -4.99%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -5.34%E -2.30%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-17 15:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -13.71%E -4.99%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -5.34%E -2.30%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-17 15:40
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -13.71%E -4.99%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -10.23%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-17 17:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.60%EV -15.28%E -5.66%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.78%EV -10.23%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.62%EV -19.88%E -6.90%K -10.58%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-17 17:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.26%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%1.0%2026-04-17 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.26%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%1.0%2026-04-17 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.26%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%1.0%2026-04-17 17:55
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-04-17 17:49
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.11%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.1%2026-04-17 17:50