مدرسة الاحتمالات

Pau FC v Guingamp

البداية: 2026-04-17 18:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Pau FC 2–1 Guingamp

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Pau FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 31.38%3.19السعر العادل
EV -3.98%
الأفضلية -1.30%
Kelly -1.93%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.06

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.57%31.46%31.34%33.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.702.872.903.0637.04%34.90%34.48%32.68%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Guingamp (الضيف)

التنبؤ 40.80%2.45السعر العادل
EV -4.11%
الأفضلية -1.75%
Kelly -3.05%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.78%40.72%40.79%41.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.152.282.282.3546.51%43.90%43.86%42.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.82%3.59السعر العادل
EV -2.63%
الأفضلية -0.753%
Kelly -1.05%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.15%27.83%27.87%29.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.293.303.5034.72%30.42%30.30%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle3.06I 32.68%NM 31.48%EV -3.98%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.99%EV -4.11%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.52%EV -2.63%E -0.753%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-17 17:40
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -4.30%E -1.41%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -6.15%E -2.68%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 17:30
LowVig.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -4.30%E -1.41%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -6.97%E -3.06%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 17:34
BetOnline.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -4.30%E -1.41%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -6.97%E -3.06%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 17:34
Betclic (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -5.86%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.19%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-17 17:38
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -5.86%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.19%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 17:09
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -5.86%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.19%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 17:09
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -5.86%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.19%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 16:08
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.86%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.19%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 13:24
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -7.43%E -2.52%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.52%EV -4.11%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -2.63%E -0.753%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 17:19
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -7.43%E -2.52%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -6.15%E -2.68%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 17:40
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -7.43%E -2.52%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -8.19%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 17:44
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.76%EV -7.43%E -2.52%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.88%EV -9.42%E -4.24%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 17:14
Marathon Bet2.93I 34.13%NM 31.83%EV -8.06%E -2.75%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.73%EV -6.56%E -2.87%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 17:49
NetBet (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 31.12%EV -8.37%E -2.87%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.93%EV -9.42%E -4.24%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 17:44
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.15%E -2.68%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 17:19
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.15%E -2.68%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 17:19
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.15%E -2.68%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 17:53
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -6.15%E -2.68%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 17:20
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -6.15%E -2.68%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 17:34
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -8.19%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 17:19
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.19%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 17:34
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.19%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 17:34
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.19%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 17:30
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.19%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 17:39
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -10.23%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-17 17:10
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -10.23%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-17 17:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.23%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.76%E -4.44%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-17 16:10
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.23%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.76%E -4.44%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-17 16:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.23%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.76%E -4.44%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-17 16:09
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.00%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.23%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.76%E -4.44%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-17 16:10
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -9.63%E -3.34%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -6.15%E -2.68%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 17:20
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.31%EV -10.57%E -3.71%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.21%EV -6.56%E -2.87%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 17:52
BetUS2.85I 35.09%NM 32.31%EV -10.57%E -3.71%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.21%EV -6.56%E -2.87%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 17:49
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.57%E -3.71%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.19%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-17 17:19
Suprabets2.82I 35.46%NM 32.26%EV -11.51%E -4.08%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.25%EV -7.79%E -3.45%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 27.48%EV -7.92%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-17 17:54
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -12.14%E -4.34%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.75%EV -6.97%E -3.06%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 17:49
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -12.14%E -4.34%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -8.19%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-17 17:19
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -12.14%E -4.34%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -8.19%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-17 17:49
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -12.14%E -4.34%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -10.23%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-17 17:20
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -12.14%E -4.34%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -12.27%E -5.71%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-17 17:20
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -13.71%E -4.99%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.11%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 15:40
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -13.71%E -4.99%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.11%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 15:39
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -13.71%E -4.99%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.11%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 15:39
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -13.71%E -4.99%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.11%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 15:39
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -13.71%E -4.99%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.11%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 15:39
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -13.71%E -4.99%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.11%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 15:40
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -13.71%E -4.99%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.11%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 15:39
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -13.71%E -4.99%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.11%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 15:39
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -13.71%E -4.99%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.11%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 15:39
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -13.71%E -4.99%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.11%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 15:40
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -13.71%E -4.99%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.11%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 15:39
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -13.71%E -4.99%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -4.11%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 15:39
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -13.71%E -4.99%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -5.34%E -2.30%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-17 15:39
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -13.71%E -4.99%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -5.34%E -2.30%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-17 15:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -13.71%E -4.99%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -5.34%E -2.30%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-17 15:40
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -13.71%E -4.99%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -10.23%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-17 17:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.60%EV -15.28%E -5.66%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.78%EV -10.23%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.62%EV -19.88%E -6.90%K -10.58%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-17 17:19
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.26%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%1.0%2026-04-17 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.26%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%1.0%2026-04-17 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.26%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%1.0%2026-04-17 17:55
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-04-17 17:49
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.11%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.1%2026-04-17 17:50