Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.75
assuming max odds 2.73
assuming max odds 3.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pau FC (Local): 35.39%; Annecy FC (Visit): 35.82%; Draw: 28.79%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.47. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -2.11%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.01%EV -2.69%E -0.977%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.27%EV -2.21%E -0.809%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.72%EV -6.71%E -2.07%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-08 18:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -5.07%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.62%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 18:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.62%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 18:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.62%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.62%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 18:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.09%EV -5.16%E -1.93%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.57%EV -2.57%E -0.944%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 18:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.09%EV -5.16%E -1.93%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.57%EV -2.57%E -0.944%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -5.07%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -2.11%E -0.619%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 18:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.08%EV -4.72%E -1.77%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.71%EV -9.59%E -3.05%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -8.66%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 18:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -5.07%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 18:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.61%EV -10.17%E -3.26%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 18:38 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-03 17:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-03 17:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-03 17:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-03 17:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-03 17:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-03 20:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -7.29%E -2.78%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 18:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -7.29%E -2.78%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 18:33 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -7.29%E -2.78%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.53%EV -9.73%E -3.86%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -7.29%E -2.78%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.53%EV -9.73%E -3.86%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -4.41%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 18:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 18:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 18:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 18:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -5.07%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 18:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 18:33 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -13.62%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 18:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -13.62%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -13.62%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 35.10%EV -8.35%E -3.22%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 35.10%EV -7.22%E -2.79%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -12.18%E -3.99%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 18:32 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 35.76%EV -9.06%E -3.52%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.07%EV -6.15%E -2.35%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 18:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -9.76%E -3.83%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 18:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -9.76%E -3.83%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.66%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -9.76%E -3.83%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -3.55%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -9.76%E -3.83%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -3.55%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -9.76%E -3.83%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.66%EV -9.76%E -3.83%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -14.03%E -5.85%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-07 09:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.66%EV -9.76%E -3.83%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -14.03%E -5.85%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-07 09:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.66%EV -9.76%E -3.83%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -14.03%E -5.85%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-07 09:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -11.53%E -4.61%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -6.15%E -2.35%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 18:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -11.53%E -4.61%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 18:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -11.53%E -4.61%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 13:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -11.53%E -4.61%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.53%E -4.61%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -14.03%E -5.85%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-08 18:39 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.03% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.28% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.03% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.28% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.03% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.28% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.78% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.28% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.01% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.52% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47% | 1.3% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
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