The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Pau FC v Annecy FC

2026-08-08 18:45 UTC — Ligue 2 - France

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pau FC (Local)

Prediction 37.39%2.67fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -0.929%
Kelly -1.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.20%37.48%37.35%40.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.412.402.6145.45%41.53%41.67%38.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Annecy FC (Visit)

Prediction 35.11%2.85fair odd
EV -4.51%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -2.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.25%34.99%35.24%35.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.422.602.602.7241.32%38.40%38.46%36.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.51%3.64fair odd
EV -3.72%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.39%27.53%27.41%28.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.333.353.5032.79%30.07%29.85%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Pau FC (Local): 37.39%; Annecy FC (Visit): 35.11%; Draw: 27.51%. For Pau FC (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.67. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.61, with an expected value of -2.42%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle2.61I 38.31%NM 36.32%EV -2.42%E -0.929%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.64%EV -6.62%E -2.49%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.05%EV -7.03%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 21:05
1xBet2.53I 39.53%NM 36.85%EV -5.41%E -2.14%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.72%EV -8.37%E -3.21%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.48%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 17:55
Marathon Bet2.53I 39.53%NM 36.85%EV -5.41%E -2.14%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.72%EV -8.37%E -3.21%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.48%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 17:48
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.54%E -2.61%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.72%E -3.35%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 18:09
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.54%E -2.61%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.72%E -3.35%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -11.98%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-01 19:45
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.54%E -2.61%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.72%E -3.35%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -11.98%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-01 19:45
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.54%E -2.61%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.72%E -3.35%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -11.98%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-01 19:45
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.54%E -2.61%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.72%E -3.35%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -11.98%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-01 19:44
Betclic (FR)2.48I 40.32%NM 36.20%EV -7.28%E -2.94%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 35.48%EV -11.18%E -4.42%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.32%EV -12.80%E -4.04%K -5.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-01 17:49
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -8.41%E -3.43%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -6.97%E -2.63%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 17:59
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -8.41%E -3.43%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -8.72%E -3.35%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-01 20:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.49%EV -10.27%E -4.28%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.12%EV -7.67%E -2.92%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 20:19
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -10.27%E -4.28%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -8.72%E -3.35%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 17:59
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -10.27%E -4.28%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -8.72%E -3.35%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.48%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-01 18:57
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -10.27%E -4.28%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -8.72%E -3.35%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.48%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-01 20:25
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.83%EV -11.02%E -4.63%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%EV -4.51%E -1.66%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.48%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 17:50
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 38.83%EV -11.02%E -4.63%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%EV -4.51%E -1.66%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.48%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 17:50
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -11.02%E -4.63%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -8.72%E -3.35%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -6.48%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-01 17:59
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -12.14%E -5.17%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -6.97%E -2.63%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-01 22:04
Codere (IT)2.34I 42.74%NM 38.98%EV -12.52%E -5.35%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -5.21%E -1.93%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-01 19:24
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -14.01%E -6.09%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -12.23%E -4.89%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -11.98%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-01 17:59
NetBet (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 37.28%EV -15.13%E -6.67%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 34.97%EV -15.04%E -6.22%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.75%EV -16.10%E -5.28%K -7.85%G +0.000%18.2%2026-08-01 20:29
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.00%EV -15.88%E -7.06%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.41%EV -10.48%E -4.11%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.59%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-01 17:49
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.05%EV -17.75%E -8.07%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.25%EV -6.97%E -2.63%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.70%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-01 17:50
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.11%EV -17.75%E -8.07%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.42%EV -12.23%E -4.89%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.47%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-01 17:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 38.61%2.54I 39.37%NM 33.74%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.65%16.7%2026-08-01 17:50