Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Pau FC v Annecy FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-08 18:45 UTC

Score final : Pau FC 0–1 Annecy FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Pau FC (Local)

Prévision 35.39%2.83cote équitable
EV -2.69%
Avantage -0.977%
Kelly -1.54%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.56%35.40%35.52%36.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.612.622.7540.00%38.26%38.17%36.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Annecy FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.82%2.79cote équitable
EV -2.21%
Avantage -0.809%
Kelly -1.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.57%35.79%35.89%36.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.552.522.7341.67%39.20%39.68%36.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.79%3.47cote équitable
EV -2.11%
Avantage -0.619%
Kelly -0.877%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.37%28.80%28.59%30.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.193.243.4033.33%31.37%30.86%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Pau FC (Local) : 35.39% ; Annecy FC (Visiteur) : 35.82% ; Match nul : 28.79%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.47. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.40, pour une espérance de -2.11% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.01%EV -2.69%E -0.977%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.27%EV -2.21%E -0.809%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.72%EV -6.71%E -2.07%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 18:30
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -5.07%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 18:40
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.62%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 18:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.62%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 18:29
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.62%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 18:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.62%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 18:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.09%EV -5.16%E -1.93%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.57%EV -2.57%E -0.944%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 18:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.09%EV -5.16%E -1.93%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.57%EV -2.57%E -0.944%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 18:40
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -5.07%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -2.11%E -0.619%K -0.877%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 18:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.08%EV -4.72%E -1.77%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.71%EV -9.59%E -3.05%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 18:40
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -8.66%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 18:29
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -5.07%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 18:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.61%EV -10.17%E -3.26%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 18:38
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 16:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 16:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 17:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 16:59
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 17:00
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 17:04
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 17:05
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 17:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 17:05
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 17:09
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 20:04
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -7.29%E -2.78%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 18:35
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -7.29%E -2.78%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 18:33
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -7.29%E -2.78%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.53%EV -9.73%E -3.86%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 18:34
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -7.29%E -2.78%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.53%EV -9.73%E -3.86%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 18:34
1xBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -4.41%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 18:29
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 18:29
BetUS🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 18:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -5.07%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 18:40
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 18:24
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 18:33
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -13.62%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 18:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -13.62%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 18:40
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 18:40
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 18:40
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -13.62%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 18:40
Suprabets🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 35.10%EV -8.35%E -3.22%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 35.10%EV -7.22%E -2.79%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -12.18%E -3.99%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 18:32
NetBet (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 35.76%EV -9.06%E -3.52%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.07%EV -6.15%E -2.35%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 18:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -9.76%E -3.83%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 18:29
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -9.76%E -3.83%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.66%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 18:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -9.76%E -3.83%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -3.55%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 18:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -9.76%E -3.83%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -3.55%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 18:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -9.76%E -3.83%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.66%EV -9.76%E -3.83%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -14.03%E -5.85%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-07 09:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.66%EV -9.76%E -3.83%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -14.03%E -5.85%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-07 09:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.66%EV -9.76%E -3.83%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -14.03%E -5.85%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-07 09:50
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -11.53%E -4.61%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -6.15%E -2.35%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 18:39
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -11.53%E -4.61%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 18:35
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -11.53%E -4.61%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 13:29
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -11.53%E -4.61%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 18:40
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.53%E -4.61%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -14.03%E -5.85%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 18:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.84I 35.21%NM 35.03%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.28%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70%0.5%2026-08-08 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.84I 35.21%NM 35.03%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.28%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70%0.5%2026-08-08 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.84I 35.21%NM 35.03%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.28%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70%0.5%2026-08-08 18:40
Matchbook◎2.84I 35.21%NM 34.78%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.28%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-08-08 18:40
Smarkets◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.01%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.52%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-08-08 18:40