Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Pau FC v Annecy FC

Início: 2026-08-08 18:45 UTC

Final: Pau FC 0–1 Annecy FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Pau FC (Local)

Previsão 35.39%2.83odd justa
EV -2.69%
Vantagem -0.977%
Kelly -1.54%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.56%35.40%35.52%36.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.502.612.622.7540.00%38.26%38.17%36.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Annecy FC (Visitante)

Previsão 35.82%2.79odd justa
EV -2.21%
Vantagem -0.809%
Kelly -1.28%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.57%35.79%35.89%36.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.552.522.7341.67%39.20%39.68%36.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.79%3.47odd justa
EV -2.11%
Vantagem -0.619%
Kelly -0.877%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.37%28.80%28.59%30.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.193.243.4033.33%31.37%30.86%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Pau FC (Local): 35.39%; Annecy FC (Visitante): 35.82%; Empate: 28.79%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.47. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.40, com valor esperado de -2.11%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.01%EV -2.69%E -0.977%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.27%EV -2.21%E -0.809%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.72%EV -6.71%E -2.07%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 18:30
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -5.07%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 18:40
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.62%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 18:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.62%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 18:29
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.62%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 18:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -4.46%E -1.65%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.62%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 18:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.09%EV -5.16%E -1.93%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.57%EV -2.57%E -0.944%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 18:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.09%EV -5.16%E -1.93%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.57%EV -2.57%E -0.944%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 18:40
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -5.07%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -2.11%E -0.619%K -0.877%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 18:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.08%EV -4.72%E -1.77%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.71%EV -9.59%E -3.05%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 18:40
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -8.66%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 18:29
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -5.07%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 18:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.61%EV -10.17%E -3.26%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 18:38
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 16:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 16:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 17:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 16:59
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 17:00
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 17:04
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 17:05
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 17:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 17:05
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 17:09
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -6.23%E -2.35%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 20:04
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -7.29%E -2.78%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 18:35
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -7.29%E -2.78%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 18:33
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -7.29%E -2.78%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.53%EV -9.73%E -3.86%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 18:34
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -7.29%E -2.78%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.53%EV -9.73%E -3.86%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 18:34
1xBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -4.41%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 18:29
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 18:29
BetUS🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 18:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -5.07%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 18:40
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 18:24
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 18:33
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -13.62%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 18:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -13.62%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 18:40
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 18:40
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 18:40
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -7.99%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -13.62%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 18:40
Suprabets🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 35.10%EV -8.35%E -3.22%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 35.10%EV -7.22%E -2.79%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -12.18%E -3.99%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 18:32
NetBet (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 35.76%EV -9.06%E -3.52%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.07%EV -6.15%E -2.35%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 18:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -9.76%E -3.83%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 18:29
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -9.76%E -3.83%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.66%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 18:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -9.76%E -3.83%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -3.55%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 18:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -9.76%E -3.83%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -3.55%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 18:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -9.76%E -3.83%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.66%EV -9.76%E -3.83%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -14.03%E -5.85%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-07 09:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.66%EV -9.76%E -3.83%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -14.03%E -5.85%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-07 09:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.66%EV -9.76%E -3.83%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -14.03%E -5.85%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-07 09:50
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -11.53%E -4.61%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -6.15%E -2.35%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 18:39
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -11.53%E -4.61%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 18:35
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -11.53%E -4.61%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.45%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 13:29
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -11.53%E -4.61%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 18:40
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.53%E -4.61%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -14.03%E -5.85%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 18:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.84I 35.21%NM 35.03%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.28%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70%0.5%2026-08-08 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.84I 35.21%NM 35.03%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.28%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70%0.5%2026-08-08 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.84I 35.21%NM 35.03%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.28%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70%0.5%2026-08-08 18:40
Matchbook◎2.84I 35.21%NM 34.78%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.28%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-08-08 18:40
Smarkets◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.01%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.52%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-08-08 18:40