Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Montpellier v Grenoble

Kickoff: 2026-04-17 18:00 UTC

Final: Montpellier 2–1 Grenoble

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Montpellier (Local)

Prediction 55.94%1.79fair odd
EV -4.91%
Edge -2.89%
Kelly -7.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.58%55.90%55.98%56.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.651.671.7062.50%60.43%59.88%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Grenoble (Visit)

Prediction 18.92%5.28fair odd
EV -1.41%
Edge -0.270%
Kelly -0.334%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.69%18.98%18.93%20.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.754.755.2122.22%21.05%21.05%19.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.14%3.98fair odd
EV -3.21%
Edge -0.833%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.97%25.12%25.09%27.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.633.653.8531.25%27.54%27.40%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Montpellier (Local): 55.94%; Grenoble (Visit): 18.92%; Draw: 25.14%. For Grenoble (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.28. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.21, with an expected value of -1.41%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.13%EV -4.91%E -2.89%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -3.21%E -0.833%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 17:44
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.71%EV -5.47%E -3.24%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.21I 19.19%NM 18.40%EV -1.41%E -0.270%K -0.334%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.89%EV -3.21%E -0.833%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 17:40
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.09%EV -5.47%E -3.24%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 17:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -7.27%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -5.72%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 17:45
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 02:50
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 02:50
LeoVegas🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 02:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 02:50
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 02:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 02:49
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 02:50
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 02:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 02:49
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 02:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 02:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 02:50
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.22%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV -3.49%E -0.684%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -6.98%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 17:49
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.14%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 18.79%EV -5.57%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.07%EV -5.97%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 17:54
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.98%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 17:39
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 17:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.50%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.11%EV -8.22%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 17:38
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -10.11%E -2.13%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.98%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 17:44
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.11%E -2.13%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 17:34
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -9.17%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 17:34
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -9.17%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 17:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -9.17%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 17:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -9.17%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 17:39
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -12.95%E -2.82%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-17 17:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-17 02:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-17 02:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-17 02:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV -3.49%E -0.684%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -5.72%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 17:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV -3.49%E -0.684%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -5.72%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 17:34
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 17:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.56%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.48%EV -4.44%E -0.878%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.95%EV -5.97%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 17:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.10%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -7.27%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -6.98%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 17:40
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.01%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.67%EV -6.33%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 17:39
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.01%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.67%EV -6.33%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 17:39
Bet Right🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.57%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -10.11%E -2.13%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 17:45
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-17 17:30
Bovada🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.16%EV -8.27%E -5.04%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.61%EV -6.33%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 17:52
BetUS🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.16%EV -8.27%E -5.04%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.61%EV -6.33%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 17:39
Codere (IT)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.44%EV -8.27%E -5.04%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.17%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -10.75%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-17 17:44
Suprabets🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.93%EV -8.83%E -5.41%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.61%EV -7.27%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.47%EV -10.00%E -2.79%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 17:38
NetBet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.79%EV -8.83%E -5.41%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -9.17%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-17 17:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.77%EV -9.38%E -5.79%K -15.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -1.60%E -0.307%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 17:34
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -9.38%E -5.79%K -15.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-17 17:35
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -9.38%E -5.79%K -15.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -12.95%E -2.82%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-17 17:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.05%EV -9.38%E -5.79%K -15.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -12.95%E -2.82%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -5.72%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 17:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.05%EV -9.38%E -5.79%K -15.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -12.95%E -2.82%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -5.72%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 17:39
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.44%EV -9.38%E -5.79%K -15.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -10.11%E -2.13%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-17 17:49
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -9.38%E -5.79%K -15.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -12.95%E -2.82%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-17 17:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -9.38%E -5.79%K -15.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -12.95%E -2.82%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-17 17:40
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.69%EV -9.38%E -5.79%K -15.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -12.95%E -2.82%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.52%E -4.27%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-17 17:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.58%EV -9.38%E -5.79%K -15.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.29%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.13%EV -19.55%E -6.11%K -8.89%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-17 17:50
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -9.94%E -6.18%K -16.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-17 17:34
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -9.94%E -6.18%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -12.95%E -2.82%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-17 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -9.94%E -6.18%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -12.95%E -2.82%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-17 17:40
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -10.50%E -6.56%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-17 17:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.10%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.6%2026-04-17 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.92%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-04-17 17:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.92%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-04-17 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.92%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-04-17 17:55
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.01%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.16%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.83%2.0%2026-04-17 17:45