La escuela de los momios

Montpellier v Grenoble

Inicio: 2026-04-17 18:00 UTC

Final: Montpellier 2–1 Grenoble

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Montpellier (Local)

Predicción 55.94%1.79momio equitativo
EV -4.91%
Ventaja -2.89%
Kelly -7.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.58%55.90%55.98%56.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.651.671.7062.50%60.43%59.88%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Grenoble (Visitante)

Predicción 18.92%5.28momio equitativo
EV -1.41%
Ventaja -0.270%
Kelly -0.334%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.21

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.69%18.98%18.93%20.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.504.754.755.2122.22%21.05%21.05%19.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.14%3.98momio equitativo
EV -3.21%
Ventaja -0.833%
Kelly -1.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.97%25.12%25.09%27.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.633.653.8531.25%27.54%27.40%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.13%EV -4.91%E -2.89%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -3.21%E -0.833%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 17:44
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 56.71%EV -5.47%E -3.24%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.21I 19.19%NM 18.40%EV -1.41%E -0.270%K -0.334%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.89%EV -3.21%E -0.833%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 17:40
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 56.09%EV -5.47%E -3.24%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 17:44
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -7.27%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -5.72%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 17:45
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 02:50
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 02:50
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 02:50
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 02:50
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 02:49
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 02:49
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 02:50
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 02:49
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 02:49
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 02:50
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 02:49
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 02:50
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.22%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV -3.49%E -0.684%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -6.98%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 17:49
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.14%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 18.79%EV -5.57%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.07%EV -5.97%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 17:54
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.98%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 17:39
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 17:34
Betclic (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.50%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.11%EV -8.22%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 17:38
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -10.11%E -2.13%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.98%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 17:44
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.11%E -2.13%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 17:34
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -9.17%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 17:34
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -9.17%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 17:39
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -9.17%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 17:30
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -9.17%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 17:39
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -12.95%E -2.82%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-17 17:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-17 02:49
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-17 02:50
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-17 02:50
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV -3.49%E -0.684%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -5.72%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 17:34
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV -3.49%E -0.684%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -5.72%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 17:34
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 17:34
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.56%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.48%EV -4.44%E -0.878%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.95%EV -5.97%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 17:49
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.10%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -7.27%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -6.98%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 17:40
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.01%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.67%EV -6.33%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 17:39
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.01%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.67%EV -6.33%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 17:39
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 55.57%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -10.11%E -2.13%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 17:45
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-17 17:30
Bovada1.64I 60.98%NM 56.16%EV -8.27%E -5.04%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.61%EV -6.33%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 17:52
BetUS1.64I 60.98%NM 56.16%EV -8.27%E -5.04%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.61%EV -6.33%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 17:39
Codere (IT)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.44%EV -8.27%E -5.04%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.17%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -10.75%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-17 17:44
Suprabets1.63I 61.35%NM 55.93%EV -8.83%E -5.41%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.61%EV -7.27%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.47%EV -10.00%E -2.79%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 17:38
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.79%EV -8.83%E -5.41%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -9.17%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-17 17:40
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.77%EV -9.38%E -5.79%K -15.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -1.60%E -0.307%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 17:34
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -9.38%E -5.79%K -15.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-17 17:35
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -9.38%E -5.79%K -15.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -12.95%E -2.82%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-17 17:40
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.05%EV -9.38%E -5.79%K -15.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -12.95%E -2.82%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -5.72%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 17:39
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.05%EV -9.38%E -5.79%K -15.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -12.95%E -2.82%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -5.72%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 17:39
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.44%EV -9.38%E -5.79%K -15.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -10.11%E -2.13%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-17 17:49
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -9.38%E -5.79%K -15.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -12.95%E -2.82%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-17 17:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -9.38%E -5.79%K -15.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -12.95%E -2.82%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-17 17:40
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.69%EV -9.38%E -5.79%K -15.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -12.95%E -2.82%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.52%E -4.27%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-17 17:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.58%EV -9.38%E -5.79%K -15.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.29%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.13%EV -19.55%E -6.11%K -8.89%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-17 17:50
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -9.94%E -6.18%K -16.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-17 17:34
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -9.94%E -6.18%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -12.95%E -2.82%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-17 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -9.94%E -6.18%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -12.95%E -2.82%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-17 17:40
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -10.50%E -6.56%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-17 17:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.10%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.6%2026-04-17 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.92%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-04-17 17:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.92%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-04-17 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.92%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-04-17 17:55
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.01%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.16%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.83%2.0%2026-04-17 17:45