L’École des cotes

Montpellier v Grenoble

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-17 18:00 UTC

Score final : Montpellier 2–1 Grenoble

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Montpellier (Local)

Prévision 55.94%1.79cote équitable
EV -4.91%
Avantage -2.89%
Kelly -7.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.58%55.90%55.98%56.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.651.671.7062.50%60.43%59.88%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Grenoble (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.92%5.28cote équitable
EV -1.41%
Avantage -0.270%
Kelly -0.334%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.69%18.98%18.93%20.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.504.754.755.2122.22%21.05%21.05%19.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.14%3.98cote équitable
EV -3.21%
Avantage -0.833%
Kelly -1.13%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.97%25.12%25.09%27.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.633.653.8531.25%27.54%27.40%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.13%EV -4.91%E -2.89%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -3.21%E -0.833%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 17:44
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 56.71%EV -5.47%E -3.24%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.21I 19.19%NM 18.40%EV -1.41%E -0.270%K -0.334%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.89%EV -3.21%E -0.833%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 17:40
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 56.09%EV -5.47%E -3.24%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 17:44
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -7.27%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -5.72%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 17:45
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 02:50
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 02:50
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 02:50
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 02:50
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 02:49
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 02:49
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 02:50
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 02:49
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 02:49
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 02:50
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 02:49
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 02:50
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.22%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV -3.49%E -0.684%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -6.98%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 17:49
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.14%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 18.79%EV -5.57%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.07%EV -5.97%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 17:54
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.98%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 17:39
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 17:34
Betclic (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.50%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.11%EV -8.22%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 17:38
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -10.11%E -2.13%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.98%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 17:44
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.11%E -2.13%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 17:34
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -9.17%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 17:34
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -9.17%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 17:39
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -9.17%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 17:30
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -9.17%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 17:39
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -12.95%E -2.82%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-17 17:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-17 02:49
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-17 02:50
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-17 02:50
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV -3.49%E -0.684%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -5.72%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 17:34
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV -3.49%E -0.684%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -5.72%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 17:34
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 17:34
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.56%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.48%EV -4.44%E -0.878%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.95%EV -5.97%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 17:49
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.10%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -7.27%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -6.98%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 17:40
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.01%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.67%EV -6.33%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 17:39
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.01%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.67%EV -6.33%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 17:39
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 55.57%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -10.11%E -2.13%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 17:45
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -7.71%E -4.67%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-17 17:30
Bovada1.64I 60.98%NM 56.16%EV -8.27%E -5.04%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.61%EV -6.33%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 17:52
BetUS1.64I 60.98%NM 56.16%EV -8.27%E -5.04%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.61%EV -6.33%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -8.24%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 17:39
Codere (IT)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.44%EV -8.27%E -5.04%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.17%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -10.75%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-17 17:44
Suprabets1.63I 61.35%NM 55.93%EV -8.83%E -5.41%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.61%EV -7.27%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.47%EV -10.00%E -2.79%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 17:38
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.79%EV -8.83%E -5.41%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -9.17%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-17 17:40
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.77%EV -9.38%E -5.79%K -15.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -1.60%E -0.307%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 17:34
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -9.38%E -5.79%K -15.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-17 17:35
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -9.38%E -5.79%K -15.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -12.95%E -2.82%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -4.47%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-17 17:40
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.05%EV -9.38%E -5.79%K -15.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -12.95%E -2.82%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -5.72%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 17:39
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.05%EV -9.38%E -5.79%K -15.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -12.95%E -2.82%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -5.72%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 17:39
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.44%EV -9.38%E -5.79%K -15.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -10.11%E -2.13%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-17 17:49
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -9.38%E -5.79%K -15.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -12.95%E -2.82%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-17 17:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -9.38%E -5.79%K -15.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -12.95%E -2.82%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-17 17:40
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.69%EV -9.38%E -5.79%K -15.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -12.95%E -2.82%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.52%E -4.27%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-17 17:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.58%EV -9.38%E -5.79%K -15.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.29%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.13%EV -19.55%E -6.11%K -8.89%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-17 17:50
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -9.94%E -6.18%K -16.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-17 17:34
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -9.94%E -6.18%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -12.95%E -2.82%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-17 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -9.94%E -6.18%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -12.95%E -2.82%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -12.01%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-17 17:40
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -10.50%E -6.56%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -9.49%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-17 17:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.10%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.6%2026-04-17 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.92%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-04-17 17:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.92%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-04-17 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.92%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-04-17 17:55
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.01%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.16%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.83%2.0%2026-04-17 17:45