Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.99
assuming max odds 1.98
assuming max odds 3.75
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Metz (Local): 24.99%; Saint Etienne (Visit): 48.95%; Draw: 26.06%. For Metz (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.00. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.99, with an expected value of -0.299%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.07%EV -0.299%E -0.075%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.76%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.17%EV -4.36%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-19 17:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -2.55%E -0.653%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -8.46%E -4.52%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -8.79%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-19 17:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -2.55%E -0.653%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -11.88%E -6.60%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-19 17:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.57%EV -3.80%E -0.986%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.52%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -4.88%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-19 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -3.80%E -0.986%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.03%EV -6.01%E -3.13%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -7.49%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-19 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -3.80%E -0.986%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.03%EV -6.01%E -3.13%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -7.49%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-19 17:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -3.80%E -0.986%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.03%EV -6.01%E -3.13%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -7.49%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-19 17:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.05%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -7.97%E -4.24%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-19 17:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -5.05%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.29%EV -8.95%E -4.81%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -10.10%E -2.93%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-19 17:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.77I 26.53%NM 24.78%EV -5.80%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.42%EV -7.48%E -3.96%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.80%EV -5.67%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-19 17:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.73%EV -6.05%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.72%EV -8.46%E -4.52%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.55%EV -5.14%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-19 17:55 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.19%EV -6.05%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.44%EV -9.93%E -5.39%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -10.10%E -2.93%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-19 17:37 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -6.30%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.02%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -2.28%E -0.607%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-19 15:16 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -6.30%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.76%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-19 17:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -6.30%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.61%EV -6.99%E -3.68%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -16.61%E -5.19%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-19 17:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.99%E -3.68%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.58%E -0.968%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-19 17:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.99%E -3.68%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.58%E -0.968%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-19 17:47 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-19 16:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -7.97%E -4.24%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.79%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-19 17:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-19 17:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-19 17:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-19 17:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-19 17:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.25%EV -6.99%E -3.68%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-19 17:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.25%EV -6.99%E -3.68%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-19 17:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.57%EV -10.42%E -5.69%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.79%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-19 17:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -8.79%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.76%EV -9.44%E -5.10%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-19 16:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -6.99%E -3.68%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -3.58%E -0.968%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-19 15:16 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -3.07%E -1.55%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-18 11:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.02%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-18 11:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.02%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-18 11:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.02%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-18 11:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.02%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-18 11:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.02%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-18 11:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.02%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-18 11:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.02%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-18 11:08 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.02%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-18 11:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.02%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-18 11:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.97%E -4.24%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-19 17:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.97%E -4.24%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-19 17:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -7.48%E -3.96%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.79%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-19 17:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -7.97%E -4.24%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-19 17:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -7.97%E -4.24%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-19 17:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -10.42%E -5.69%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-19 17:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 24.90%EV -10.54%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.72%EV -10.42%E -5.69%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 26.38%EV -11.92%E -3.53%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-19 17:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -3.58%E -0.968%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-19 15:16 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -6.99%E -3.68%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-19 15:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -10.42%E -5.69%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-19 15:16 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.44%E -5.10%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-19 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.44%E -5.10%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-19 17:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.44%E -5.10%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-19 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.44%E -5.10%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-19 17:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.93%EV -11.88%E -6.60%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-19 17:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.79%EV -13.79%E -4.00%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.83%EV -6.99%E -3.68%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -15.31%E -4.71%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-18 11:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.79%EV -13.79%E -4.00%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.83%EV -6.99%E -3.68%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -15.31%E -4.71%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-18 11:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.73%EV -13.79%E -4.00%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.96%EV -7.48%E -3.96%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.31%EV -15.31%E -4.71%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-18 11:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -15.04%E -4.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.92%EV -7.97%E -4.24%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -15.31%E -4.71%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-18 11:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.72% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.06% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22% | 0.4% | 2026-09-19 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.01% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41% | 1.0% | 2026-09-19 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.95% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.85% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.19% | 1.8% | 2026-09-19 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.95% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.85% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.19% | 1.8% | 2026-09-19 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.83% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.11% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.06% | 2.3% | 2026-09-19 17:55 |