L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Metz v Saint Etienne

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-19 18:00 UTC

Score final : Metz 2–2 Saint Etienne

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Metz (Local)

Prévision 24.99%4.00cote équitable
EV -0.299%
Avantage -0.075%
Kelly -0.100%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.99

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.53%24.94%25.01%26.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.653.603.9929.41%27.38%27.78%25.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Saint Etienne (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.95%2.04cote équitable
EV -3.07%
Avantage -1.55%
Kelly -3.14%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.83%48.91%48.94%50.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.801.901.901.9855.56%52.69%52.63%50.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.06%3.84cote équitable
EV -2.28%
Avantage -0.607%
Kelly -0.828%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.03%26.15%26.04%28.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.473.403.7531.25%28.78%29.41%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Metz (Local) : 24.99% ; Saint Etienne (Visiteur) : 48.95% ; Match nul : 26.06%. Pour Metz (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.00. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.99, pour une espérance de -0.299% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯3.99I 25.06%NM 24.07%EV -0.299%E -0.075%K -0.100%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.76%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.17%EV -4.36%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-19 17:55
FanDuel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -2.55%E -0.653%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -8.46%E -4.52%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -8.79%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-19 17:54
Tipico (DE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -2.55%E -0.653%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -11.88%E -6.60%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-19 17:44
DraftKings🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.57%EV -3.80%E -0.986%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.52%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -4.88%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-19 17:39
LowVig.ag🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -3.80%E -0.986%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.03%EV -6.01%E -3.13%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -7.49%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 17:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -3.80%E -0.986%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.03%EV -6.01%E -3.13%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -7.49%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 17:39
BetUS🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -3.80%E -0.986%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.03%EV -6.01%E -3.13%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -7.49%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 17:45
Betway🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.05%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -7.97%E -4.24%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 17:34
SportsBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -5.05%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.29%EV -8.95%E -4.81%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -10.10%E -2.93%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 17:54
1xBet🎯3.77I 26.53%NM 24.78%EV -5.80%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.42%EV -7.48%E -3.96%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.80%EV -5.67%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 17:45
Marathon Bet🎯3.76I 26.60%NM 24.73%EV -6.05%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.72%EV -8.46%E -4.52%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.55%EV -5.14%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 17:55
Suprabets🎯3.76I 26.60%NM 24.19%EV -6.05%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.44%EV -9.93%E -5.39%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -10.10%E -2.93%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-19 17:37
Coolbet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -6.30%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.02%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -2.28%E -0.607%K -0.828%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 15:16
Unibet (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -6.30%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.76%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 17:39
NetBet (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -6.30%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.61%EV -6.99%E -3.68%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -16.61%E -5.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 17:34
betano_uk🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.99%E -3.68%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.58%E -0.968%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 17:49
Bet Victor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.99%E -3.68%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.58%E -0.968%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 17:47
BetMGM🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 16:59
Bovada🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -7.97%E -4.24%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.79%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 17:50
888sport🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 17:39
888sport (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 17:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 17:39
William Hill🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 17:39
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.25%EV -6.99%E -3.68%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 17:39
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.25%EV -6.99%E -3.68%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 17:39
Paddy Power🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.57%EV -10.42%E -5.69%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.79%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 17:55
Unibet (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -8.79%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.76%EV -9.44%E -5.10%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-19 16:49
Betr (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -6.99%E -3.68%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -3.58%E -0.968%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 15:16
Unibet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -3.07%E -1.55%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 11:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.02%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 11:10
Grosvenor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.02%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 11:10
PMU (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.02%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 11:10
TABtouch🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.02%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 11:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.02%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 11:10
Casumo🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.02%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 11:10
betPARX🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.02%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 11:08
Svenska Spel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.02%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 11:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.02%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 11:10
Winamax (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.97%E -4.24%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-19 17:39
Winamax (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.97%E -4.24%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-19 17:40
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -7.48%E -3.96%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.79%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-19 17:09
Codere (IT)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -7.97%E -4.24%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-19 17:44
PlayUp🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -7.97%E -4.24%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-19 17:34
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -10.42%E -5.69%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-19 17:55
Betclic (FR)🎯3.58I 27.93%NM 24.90%EV -10.54%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.72%EV -10.42%E -5.69%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.38%EV -11.92%E -3.53%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-19 17:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -3.58%E -0.968%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 15:16
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -6.99%E -3.68%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-19 15:15
theScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -10.42%E -5.69%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-19 15:16
Neds🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.44%E -5.10%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-19 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.44%E -5.10%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-19 17:00
Coral🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.44%E -5.10%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-19 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.44%E -5.10%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-19 17:00
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.93%EV -11.88%E -6.60%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-19 17:34
LiveScore Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.79%EV -13.79%E -4.00%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.83%EV -6.99%E -3.68%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -15.31%E -4.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-18 11:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.79%EV -13.79%E -4.00%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.83%EV -6.99%E -3.68%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -15.31%E -4.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-18 11:09
BetRivers🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.73%EV -13.79%E -4.00%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 46.96%EV -7.48%E -3.96%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.31%EV -15.31%E -4.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-18 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -15.04%E -4.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.92%EV -7.97%E -4.24%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -15.31%E -4.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-18 11:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.72%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.06%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%0.4%2026-09-19 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.01%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41%1.0%2026-09-19 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.10I 24.39%NM 23.95%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.85%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.19%1.8%2026-09-19 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.10I 24.39%NM 23.95%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.85%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.19%1.8%2026-09-19 17:55
Smarkets◎4.10I 24.39%NM 23.83%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.11%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.06%2.3%2026-09-19 17:55