Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Metz v Saint Etienne

2026-09-19 18:00 UTC — Ligue 2 - France

Frente a frente

35 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Metz (Local)

Previsão 28.79%3.47odd justa
EV -4.99%
Vantagem -1.51%
Kelly -2.17%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.88%28.84%28.82%30.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.143.153.3034.48%31.88%31.75%30.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Saint Etienne (Visitante)

Previsão 43.64%2.29odd justa
EV -4.00%
Vantagem -1.82%
Kelly -3.33%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.19%43.58%43.76%44.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.992.092.102.2050.25%47.78%47.62%45.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.57%3.63odd justa
EV -3.50%
Vantagem -1.00%
Kelly -1.40%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.35%27.58%27.42%28.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.303.253.5032.26%30.27%30.77%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Metz (Local): 28.79%; Saint Etienne (Visitante): 43.64%; Empate: 27.57%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 3.63. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 3.50, com valor esperado de -3.50%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (35 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.49%E -3.53%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-14 20:10
BetOnline.ag🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.49%E -3.53%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-14 20:10
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 19:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 19:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 19:55
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 19:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -4.00%E -1.82%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-14 19:20
Pinnacle🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.03%EV -7.05%E -3.31%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.11%EV -4.61%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-14 20:00
1xBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.71%EV -6.62%E -3.09%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-14 20:05
Marathon Bet🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 28.73%EV -6.71%E -2.07%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.90%EV -7.49%E -3.53%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 20:00
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 19:54
DraftKings🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 20:00
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.20%EV -7.49%E -3.53%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-14 19:20
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.20%EV -7.49%E -3.53%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-14 19:20
Betr (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -9.31%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -6.18%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -3.50%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-14 19:25
Bovada🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.31%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -6.18%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-14 20:04
Codere (IT)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -9.31%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -7.49%E -3.53%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-14 19:20
Winamax (DE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28%EV -9.31%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -10.54%E -5.14%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28%EV -13.15%E -4.18%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-14 19:20
Unibet (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -9.31%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 44.37%EV -13.16%E -6.61%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -11.77%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-14 19:20
Betclic (FR)🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 28.60%EV -10.17%E -3.26%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.52%EV -10.54%E -5.14%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.88%EV -11.77%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-14 19:19
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.00%E -1.82%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 19:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.50%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-14 19:30
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-14 19:25
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.98%EV -9.23%E -4.44%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -4.88%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-14 19:29
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -10.54%E -5.14%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-14 19:29
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -10.54%E -5.14%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-14 19:25
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.45%EV -9.23%E -4.44%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.39%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 20:00
Winamax (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -12.73%E -6.36%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -14.53%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-14 19:15
Suprabets🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 29.09%EV -12.47%E -4.10%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.78%EV -11.85%E -5.87%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 27.13%EV -10.12%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-14 20:00
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -13.62%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -12.73%E -6.36%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-14 20:00
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -16.50%E -5.69%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-14 19:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -16.50%E -5.69%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-14 19:50
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -16.50%E -5.69%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-14 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -16.50%E -5.69%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -8.36%E -3.98%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-14 19:50
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 29.80%EV -16.50%E -5.69%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.20%EV -12.73%E -6.36%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%EV -11.77%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%15.7%2026-09-14 19:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (1)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 28.83%2.02I 49.50%NM 42.53%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.64%16.4%2026-09-14 19:20