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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Metz v Saint Etienne

Início: 2026-09-19 18:00 UTC

Final: Metz 2–2 Saint Etienne

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Metz (Local)

Previsão 24.99%4.00odd justa
EV -0.299%
Vantagem -0.075%
Kelly -0.100%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.99

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.53%24.94%25.01%26.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.653.603.9929.41%27.38%27.78%25.06%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Saint Etienne (Visitante)

Previsão 48.95%2.04odd justa
EV -3.07%
Vantagem -1.55%
Kelly -3.14%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.98

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.83%48.91%48.94%50.98%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.901.901.9855.56%52.69%52.63%50.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.06%3.84odd justa
EV -2.28%
Vantagem -0.607%
Kelly -0.828%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.03%26.15%26.04%28.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.473.403.7531.25%28.78%29.41%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Metz (Local): 24.99%; Saint Etienne (Visitante): 48.95%; Empate: 26.06%. Para Metz (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.00. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.99, com valor esperado de -0.299%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯3.99I 25.06%NM 24.07%EV -0.299%E -0.075%K -0.100%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.76%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.17%EV -4.36%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-19 17:55
FanDuel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -2.55%E -0.653%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -8.46%E -4.52%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -8.79%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-19 17:54
Tipico (DE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -2.55%E -0.653%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -11.88%E -6.60%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-19 17:44
DraftKings🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.57%EV -3.80%E -0.986%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.52%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -4.88%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-19 17:39
LowVig.ag🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -3.80%E -0.986%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.03%EV -6.01%E -3.13%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -7.49%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 17:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -3.80%E -0.986%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.03%EV -6.01%E -3.13%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -7.49%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 17:39
BetUS🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -3.80%E -0.986%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.03%EV -6.01%E -3.13%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -7.49%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 17:45
Betway🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.05%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -7.97%E -4.24%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 17:34
SportsBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -5.05%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.29%EV -8.95%E -4.81%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -10.10%E -2.93%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 17:54
1xBet🎯3.77I 26.53%NM 24.78%EV -5.80%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.42%EV -7.48%E -3.96%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.80%EV -5.67%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 17:45
Marathon Bet🎯3.76I 26.60%NM 24.73%EV -6.05%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.72%EV -8.46%E -4.52%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.55%EV -5.14%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 17:55
Suprabets🎯3.76I 26.60%NM 24.19%EV -6.05%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.44%EV -9.93%E -5.39%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -10.10%E -2.93%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-19 17:37
Coolbet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -6.30%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.02%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -2.28%E -0.607%K -0.828%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 15:16
Unibet (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -6.30%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.76%EV -5.52%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 17:39
NetBet (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -6.30%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.61%EV -6.99%E -3.68%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -16.61%E -5.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 17:34
betano_uk🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.99%E -3.68%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.58%E -0.968%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 17:49
Bet Victor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.99%E -3.68%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.58%E -0.968%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 17:47
BetMGM🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 16:59
Bovada🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -7.97%E -4.24%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.79%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 17:50
888sport🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 17:39
888sport (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 17:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 17:39
William Hill🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 17:39
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.25%EV -6.99%E -3.68%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 17:39
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.25%EV -6.99%E -3.68%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 17:39
Paddy Power🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.57%EV -10.42%E -5.69%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.79%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 17:55
Unibet (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -8.79%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.76%EV -9.44%E -5.10%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-19 16:49
Betr (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -6.99%E -3.68%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -3.58%E -0.968%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 15:16
Unibet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -3.07%E -1.55%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 11:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.02%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 11:10
Grosvenor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.02%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 11:10
PMU (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.02%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 11:10
TABtouch🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.02%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 11:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.02%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 11:10
Casumo🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.02%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 11:10
betPARX🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.02%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 11:08
Svenska Spel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.02%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 11:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.02%EV -3.56%E -1.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 11:10
Winamax (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.97%E -4.24%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-19 17:39
Winamax (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.97%E -4.24%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-19 17:40
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -7.48%E -3.96%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.79%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-19 17:09
Codere (IT)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -7.97%E -4.24%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-19 17:44
PlayUp🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -7.97%E -4.24%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-19 17:34
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -10.42%E -5.69%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-19 17:55
Betclic (FR)🎯3.58I 27.93%NM 24.90%EV -10.54%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.72%EV -10.42%E -5.69%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.38%EV -11.92%E -3.53%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-19 17:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -6.50%E -3.40%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -3.58%E -0.968%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 15:16
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -6.99%E -3.68%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-19 15:15
theScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -10.42%E -5.69%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-19 15:16
Neds🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.44%E -5.10%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-19 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.44%E -5.10%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-19 17:00
Coral🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.44%E -5.10%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-19 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.44%E -5.10%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-19 17:00
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -12.54%E -3.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.93%EV -11.88%E -6.60%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-19 17:34
LiveScore Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.79%EV -13.79%E -4.00%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.83%EV -6.99%E -3.68%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -15.31%E -4.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-18 11:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.79%EV -13.79%E -4.00%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.83%EV -6.99%E -3.68%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -15.31%E -4.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-18 11:09
BetRivers🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.73%EV -13.79%E -4.00%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 46.96%EV -7.48%E -3.96%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.31%EV -15.31%E -4.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-18 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -15.04%E -4.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.92%EV -7.97%E -4.24%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -15.31%E -4.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-18 11:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.72%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.06%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%0.4%2026-09-19 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.01%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41%1.0%2026-09-19 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.10I 24.39%NM 23.95%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.85%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.19%1.8%2026-09-19 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.10I 24.39%NM 23.95%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.85%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.19%1.8%2026-09-19 17:55
Smarkets◎4.10I 24.39%NM 23.83%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.11%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.06%2.3%2026-09-19 17:55