Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Le Mans FC v Pau FC

Kickoff: 2026-04-06 18:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Le Mans FC (Local)

Prediction 55.32%1.81fair odd
EV -3.19%
Edge -1.82%
Kelly -4.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.21%55.32%55.25%56.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.681.671.7563.69%59.58%59.88%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pau FC (Visit)

Prediction 20.48%4.88fair odd
EV +0.328%
Edge +0.067%
Kelly +0.084%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.01%20.41%20.53%21.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.474.454.9023.81%22.36%22.47%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.20%4.13fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -0.673%
Kelly -0.895%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.40%24.26%24.22%26.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.733.704.0230.30%26.84%27.03%24.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Le Mans FC (Local): 55.32%; Pau FC (Visit): 20.48%; Draw: 24.20%. For Pau FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.88. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.328%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.47%EV -8.72%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV +0.328%E +0.067%K +0.084%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 18:39
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.13%EV -5.40%E -3.16%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -1.72%E -0.358%K -0.453%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.88%EV -2.70%E -0.673%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-06 18:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -10.38%E -6.41%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -1.72%E -0.358%K -0.453%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 18:40
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.09%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.07%EV -2.74%E -0.578%K -0.732%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.19%E -0.797%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 17:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV -2.74%E -0.578%K -0.732%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -3.19%E -0.797%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV -2.74%E -0.578%K -0.732%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -3.19%E -0.797%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 18:40
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -2.74%E -0.578%K -0.732%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.61%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 18:28
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -10.38%E -6.41%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -2.74%E -0.578%K -0.732%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.45%E -2.82%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 18:40
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -10.93%E -6.79%K -17.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -2.74%E -0.578%K -0.732%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -9.24%E -2.46%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 18:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.17%EV -8.17%E -4.92%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.05%EV -4.79%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.78%EV -5.12%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 18:39
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.70%EV -6.51%E -3.85%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -5.81%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -4.40%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 17:55
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -6.51%E -3.85%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.81%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.61%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 17:03
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.06%E -4.20%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.81%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -5.61%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 18:39
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.33%EV -3.19%E -1.82%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.71%EV -6.02%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.96%EV -7.79%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 18:39
BetUS🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.68%EV -8.17%E -4.92%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.31%EV -6.84%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -6.82%E -1.77%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 16:39
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -6.51%E -3.85%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 18:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -5.61%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 18:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 18:15
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -9.24%E -2.46%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 16:40
Bet Right🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -8.17%E -4.92%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 18:40
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -10.45%E -2.82%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -10.45%E -2.82%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -10.45%E -2.82%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 18:40
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -10.38%E -6.41%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -5.61%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 18:40
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -11.48%E -7.18%K -19.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-06 18:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 54.81%EV -13.14%E -8.37%K -23.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.07%EV -20.13%E -6.10%K -8.75%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-06 18:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.49%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -8.89%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -9.24%E -2.46%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 18:16
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.06%E -4.20%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.75%EV -8.89%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 16:40
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.06%E -4.20%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.75%EV -8.89%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 16:40
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 18:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.62%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -10.45%E -2.82%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 16:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.62%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -10.45%E -2.82%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 18:40
Suprabets🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.84%EV -8.17%E -4.92%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.47%EV -9.96%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 17:55
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.72%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -9.24%E -2.46%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 17:55
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.92%EV -8.72%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -10.45%E -2.82%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 18:30
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.17%EV -10.93%E -2.51%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 16:55
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.17%EV -10.93%E -2.51%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 16:55
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.17%EV -10.93%E -2.51%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 16:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.17%EV -10.93%E -2.51%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 16:55
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.17%EV -10.93%E -2.51%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 16:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.17%EV -10.93%E -2.51%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 16:55
Grosvenor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.17%EV -10.93%E -2.51%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 16:54
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.17%EV -10.93%E -2.51%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 16:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.17%EV -10.93%E -2.51%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 16:55
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.17%EV -10.93%E -2.51%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 16:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.17%EV -10.93%E -2.51%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 16:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.97%EV -7.06%E -4.20%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.84%EV -10.93%E -2.51%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 18:40
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.37%EV -8.72%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -11.34%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-06 17:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.37%EV -8.72%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -11.34%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-06 17:05
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.37%EV -8.72%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -11.34%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-06 17:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.37%EV -8.72%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -11.34%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-06 17:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.21%EV -5.40%E -3.16%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -11.96%E -2.78%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -14.08%E -3.97%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.21%EV -5.40%E -3.16%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -11.96%E -2.78%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -14.08%E -3.97%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 16:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.21%EV -5.40%E -3.16%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -11.96%E -2.78%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -14.08%E -3.97%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 16:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.75%EV -8.17%E -4.92%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -14.00%E -3.33%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -6.82%E -1.77%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 16:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.75%EV -8.17%E -4.92%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -14.00%E -3.33%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -6.82%E -1.77%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 16:40
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.47%EV -10.38%E -6.41%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -14.00%E -3.33%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-06 18:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.39%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%0.7%2026-04-06 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.39%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%0.7%2026-04-06 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.39%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%0.7%2026-04-06 18:40
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.39%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%0.7%2026-04-06 18:40
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 56.58%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.33%2.7%2026-04-06 18:40