L’École des cotes

Le Mans FC v Pau FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-06 18:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Le Mans FC (Local)

Prévision 55.32%1.81cote équitable
EV -3.19%
Avantage -1.82%
Kelly -4.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.21%55.32%55.25%56.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.681.671.7563.69%59.58%59.88%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Pau FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.48%4.88cote équitable
EV +0.328%
Avantage +0.067%
Kelly +0.084%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.01%20.41%20.53%21.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.474.454.9023.81%22.36%22.47%20.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.20%4.13cote équitable
EV -2.70%
Avantage -0.673%
Kelly -0.895%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.40%24.26%24.22%26.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.733.704.0230.30%26.84%27.03%24.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 56.47%EV -8.72%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV +0.328%E +0.067%K +0.084%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 18:39
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 56.13%EV -5.40%E -3.16%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -1.72%E -0.358%K -0.453%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.88%EV -2.70%E -0.673%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-06 18:40
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -10.38%E -6.41%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -1.72%E -0.358%K -0.453%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 18:40
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.09%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.07%EV -2.74%E -0.578%K -0.732%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.19%E -0.797%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 17:05
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV -2.74%E -0.578%K -0.732%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -3.19%E -0.797%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 18:40
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV -2.74%E -0.578%K -0.732%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -3.19%E -0.797%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 18:40
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -2.74%E -0.578%K -0.732%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.61%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 18:28
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -10.38%E -6.41%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -2.74%E -0.578%K -0.732%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.45%E -2.82%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 18:40
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -10.93%E -6.79%K -17.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -2.74%E -0.578%K -0.732%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -9.24%E -2.46%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 18:39
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.17%EV -8.17%E -4.92%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.05%EV -4.79%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.78%EV -5.12%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 18:39
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.70%EV -6.51%E -3.85%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -5.81%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -4.40%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 17:55
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -6.51%E -3.85%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.81%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.61%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 17:03
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.06%E -4.20%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.81%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -5.61%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 18:39
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.33%EV -3.19%E -1.82%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.71%EV -6.02%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.96%EV -7.79%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 18:39
BetUS1.66I 60.24%NM 55.68%EV -8.17%E -4.92%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.31%EV -6.84%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -6.82%E -1.77%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 18:40
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 16:39
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -6.51%E -3.85%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 18:14
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -5.61%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 18:40
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 18:15
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -9.24%E -2.46%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 16:40
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -8.17%E -4.92%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 18:40
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -10.45%E -2.82%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 18:40
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -10.45%E -2.82%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 18:40
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -10.45%E -2.82%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 18:40
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -10.38%E -6.41%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -5.61%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 18:40
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -11.48%E -7.18%K -19.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-06 18:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.81%EV -13.14%E -8.37%K -23.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.07%EV -20.13%E -6.10%K -8.75%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-06 18:40
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.49%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -8.89%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -9.24%E -2.46%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 18:16
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.06%E -4.20%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.75%EV -8.89%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 16:40
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.06%E -4.20%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.75%EV -8.89%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 16:40
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 18:05
Codere (IT)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.62%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -10.45%E -2.82%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 16:40
NetBet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.62%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -10.45%E -2.82%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 18:40
Suprabets1.66I 60.24%NM 54.84%EV -8.17%E -4.92%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.47%EV -9.96%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 17:55
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.72%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -9.24%E -2.46%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 17:55
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 54.92%EV -8.72%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -10.45%E -2.82%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 18:30
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.17%EV -10.93%E -2.51%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 16:55
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.17%EV -10.93%E -2.51%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 16:55
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.17%EV -10.93%E -2.51%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 16:55
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.17%EV -10.93%E -2.51%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 16:55
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.17%EV -10.93%E -2.51%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 16:55
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.17%EV -10.93%E -2.51%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 16:55
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.17%EV -10.93%E -2.51%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 16:54
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.17%EV -10.93%E -2.51%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 16:55
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.17%EV -10.93%E -2.51%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 16:55
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.17%EV -10.93%E -2.51%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 16:55
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.17%EV -10.93%E -2.51%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 16:55
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.97%EV -7.06%E -4.20%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.84%EV -10.93%E -2.51%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 18:40
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 54.37%EV -8.72%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -11.34%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-06 17:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.37%EV -8.72%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -11.34%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-06 17:05
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 54.37%EV -8.72%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -11.34%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-06 17:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.37%EV -8.72%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -11.34%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-06 17:05
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.21%EV -5.40%E -3.16%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -11.96%E -2.78%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -14.08%E -3.97%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.21%EV -5.40%E -3.16%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -11.96%E -2.78%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -14.08%E -3.97%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 16:55
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.21%EV -5.40%E -3.16%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -11.96%E -2.78%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -14.08%E -3.97%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 16:55
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.75%EV -8.17%E -4.92%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -14.00%E -3.33%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -6.82%E -1.77%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 16:40
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.75%EV -8.17%E -4.92%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -14.00%E -3.33%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -6.82%E -1.77%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 16:40
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 54.47%EV -10.38%E -6.41%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -14.00%E -3.33%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-06 18:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.39%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%0.7%2026-04-06 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.39%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%0.7%2026-04-06 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.39%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%0.7%2026-04-06 18:40
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.39%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%0.7%2026-04-06 18:40
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 56.58%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.33%2.7%2026-04-06 18:40