La scuola delle quote

Le Mans FC v Pau FC

Inizio: 2026-04-06 18:45 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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58 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Le Mans FC (Casa)

Previsione 55.32%1.81quota equa
EV -3.19%
Vantaggio -1.82%
Kelly -4.25%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.21%55.32%55.25%56.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.571.681.671.7563.69%59.58%59.88%57.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pau FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 20.48%4.88quota equa
EV +0.328%
Vantaggio +0.067%
Kelly +0.084%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.01%20.41%20.53%21.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.204.474.454.9023.81%22.36%22.47%20.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 24.20%4.13quota equa
EV -2.70%
Vantaggio -0.673%
Kelly -0.895%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.02

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.40%24.26%24.22%26.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.733.704.0230.30%26.84%27.03%24.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 56.47%EV -8.72%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV +0.328%E +0.067%K +0.084%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 18:39
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 56.13%EV -5.40%E -3.16%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -1.72%E -0.358%K -0.453%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.88%EV -2.70%E -0.673%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-06 18:40
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -10.38%E -6.41%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -1.72%E -0.358%K -0.453%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 18:40
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.09%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.07%EV -2.74%E -0.578%K -0.732%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.19%E -0.797%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 17:05
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV -2.74%E -0.578%K -0.732%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -3.19%E -0.797%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 18:40
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV -2.74%E -0.578%K -0.732%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -3.19%E -0.797%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 18:40
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -2.74%E -0.578%K -0.732%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.61%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 18:28
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -10.38%E -6.41%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -2.74%E -0.578%K -0.732%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.45%E -2.82%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 18:40
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -10.93%E -6.79%K -17.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -2.74%E -0.578%K -0.732%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -9.24%E -2.46%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 18:39
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.17%EV -8.17%E -4.92%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.05%EV -4.79%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.78%EV -5.12%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 18:39
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.70%EV -6.51%E -3.85%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -5.81%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -4.40%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 17:55
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -6.51%E -3.85%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.81%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.61%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 17:03
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -7.06%E -4.20%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.81%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -5.61%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 18:39
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.33%EV -3.19%E -1.82%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.71%EV -6.02%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.96%EV -7.79%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 18:39
BetUS1.66I 60.24%NM 55.68%EV -8.17%E -4.92%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.31%EV -6.84%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -6.82%E -1.77%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 18:40
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 16:39
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -6.51%E -3.85%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 18:14
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -5.61%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 18:40
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 18:15
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -9.24%E -2.46%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 16:40
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -8.17%E -4.92%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 18:40
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -10.45%E -2.82%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 18:40
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -10.45%E -2.82%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 18:40
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -10.45%E -2.82%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 18:40
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -10.38%E -6.41%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -5.61%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 18:40
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -11.48%E -7.18%K -19.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-06 18:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.81%EV -13.14%E -8.37%K -23.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.07%EV -20.13%E -6.10%K -8.75%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-06 18:40
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.49%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -8.89%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -9.24%E -2.46%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 18:16
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.06%E -4.20%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.75%EV -8.89%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 16:40
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.06%E -4.20%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.75%EV -8.89%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.03%E -2.11%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 16:40
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 18:05
Codere (IT)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.62%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -10.45%E -2.82%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 16:40
NetBet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.62%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -10.45%E -2.82%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 18:40
Suprabets1.66I 60.24%NM 54.84%EV -8.17%E -4.92%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.47%EV -9.96%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 17:55
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.72%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -9.24%E -2.46%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 17:55
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 54.92%EV -8.72%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -10.45%E -2.82%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 18:30
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.17%EV -10.93%E -2.51%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 16:55
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.17%EV -10.93%E -2.51%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 16:55
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.17%EV -10.93%E -2.51%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 16:55
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.17%EV -10.93%E -2.51%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 16:55
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.17%EV -10.93%E -2.51%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 16:55
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.17%EV -10.93%E -2.51%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 16:55
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.17%EV -10.93%E -2.51%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 16:54
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.17%EV -10.93%E -2.51%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 16:55
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.17%EV -10.93%E -2.51%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 16:55
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.17%EV -10.93%E -2.51%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 16:55
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.17%EV -10.93%E -2.51%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 16:55
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.97%EV -7.06%E -4.20%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.84%EV -10.93%E -2.51%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 18:40
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 54.37%EV -8.72%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -11.34%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-06 17:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.37%EV -8.72%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -11.34%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-06 17:05
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 54.37%EV -8.72%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -11.34%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-06 17:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.37%EV -8.72%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -11.34%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-06 17:05
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.21%EV -5.40%E -3.16%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -11.96%E -2.78%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -14.08%E -3.97%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.21%EV -5.40%E -3.16%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -11.96%E -2.78%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -14.08%E -3.97%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 16:55
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.21%EV -5.40%E -3.16%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -11.96%E -2.78%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -14.08%E -3.97%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 16:55
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.75%EV -8.17%E -4.92%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -14.00%E -3.33%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -6.82%E -1.77%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 16:40
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.75%EV -8.17%E -4.92%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -14.00%E -3.33%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -6.82%E -1.77%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 16:40
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 54.47%EV -10.38%E -6.41%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -14.00%E -3.33%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -12.87%E -3.57%K -4.95%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-06 18:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.39%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%0.7%2026-04-06 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.39%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%0.7%2026-04-06 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.39%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%0.7%2026-04-06 18:40
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.39%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%0.7%2026-04-06 18:40
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 56.58%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.33%2.7%2026-04-06 18:40