Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dijon v Stade Lavallois

2026-09-11 18:00 UTC — Ligue 2 - France

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dijon (Local)

Prediction 47.48%2.11fair odd
EV -5.03%
Edge -2.52%
Kelly -5.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.78%47.61%47.42%48.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.841.931.942.0054.35%51.89%51.55%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stade Lavallois (Visit)

Prediction 26.75%3.74fair odd
EV -3.69%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -1.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.32%26.83%26.70%28.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.403.403.6031.75%29.41%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.76%3.88fair odd
EV -0.294%
Edge -0.076%
Kelly -0.103%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.39%25.56%25.88%26.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.583.503.8730.77%27.93%28.57%25.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Dijon (Local): 47.48%; Stade Lavallois (Visit): 26.75%; Draw: 25.76%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.88. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.87, with an expected value of -0.294%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.03%E -2.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.69%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:05
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -6.93%E -3.54%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.70%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Pinnacle🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.44%EV -7.41%E -3.80%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.15%EV -6.90%E -1.98%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.41%EV -0.294%E -0.076%K -0.103%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.41%E -3.80%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.37%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-05 23:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.41%E -3.80%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.37%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-05 23:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -7.41%E -3.80%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -11.72%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -2.10%E -0.552%K -0.749%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 00:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -7.41%E -3.80%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -11.72%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -2.10%E -0.552%K -0.749%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 00:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.41%E -3.80%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.37%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-05 23:05
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -7.41%E -3.80%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.70%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-05 23:04
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -7.41%E -3.80%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.70%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-05 23:05
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.41%E -3.80%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.04%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-05 23:05
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.41%E -3.80%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.04%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-05 23:03
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.31%EV -7.88%E -4.06%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -7.70%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.53%EV -1.58%E -0.414%K -0.561%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.19%EV -8.36%E -4.33%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.04%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.60%EV -8.83%E -4.60%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.97%EV -7.44%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.43%EV -1.58%E -0.414%K -0.561%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:04
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -9.31%E -4.87%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.04%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -3.39%E -0.903%K -1.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-05 23:03
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -9.31%E -4.87%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.04%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -9.31%E -4.87%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.04%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-05 23:05
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -9.31%E -4.87%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.04%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.78%EV -9.31%E -4.87%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -14.39%E -4.50%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.90%EV -16.27%E -5.01%K -7.23%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-05 23:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.09%EV -9.78%E -5.15%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.04%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -5.96%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-05 23:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.83%EV -9.78%E -5.15%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.57%EV -8.51%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -8.54%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.84%EV -10.73%E -5.71%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.04%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-05 23:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 47.33%EV -11.68%E -6.28%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.51%EV -14.39%E -4.50%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.15%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-05 23:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 47.05%EV -12.63%E -6.86%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.48%EV -15.73%E -4.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.46%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%15.5%2026-09-05 23:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 46.51%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.17%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.33%16.9%2026-09-05 23:05