Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Dijon v Stade Lavallois

Início: 2026-09-11 18:00 UTC

Final: Dijon 3–2 Stade Lavallois

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Dijon (Local)

Previsão 45.97%2.18odd justa
EV -4.38%
Vantagem -2.10%
Kelly -4.05%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.08

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.83%45.98%45.95%47.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.912.002.002.0852.36%49.93%50.00%48.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Stade Lavallois (Visitante)

Previsão 26.57%3.76odd justa
EV +0.975%
Vantagem +0.257%
Kelly +0.348%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.18%26.51%26.55%28.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.443.453.8030.77%29.07%28.99%26.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.45%3.64odd justa
EV -1.17%
Vantagem -0.324%
Kelly -0.448%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.70%27.51%27.51%29.21%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.153.323.303.6031.75%30.13%30.30%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Dijon (Local): 45.97%; Stade Lavallois (Visitante): 26.57%; Empate: 27.45%. Para Stade Lavallois (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.76. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.80, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.975%.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -10.35%E -5.31%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV +0.975%E +0.257%K +0.348%G +0.003%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -12.15%E -3.80%K -5.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 03:59
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -5.75%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 14:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -4.38%E -2.10%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -10.77%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 22:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.55%EV -6.67%E -3.29%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.83%EV -4.87%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.63%EV -11.32%E -3.51%K -5.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-08 22:20
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.58%EV -6.67%E -3.29%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.64%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.79%EV -3.09%E -0.874%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 09:25
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -5.75%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-08 22:19
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -5.75%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-08 22:20
1xBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%EV -7.59%E -3.78%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.66%EV -6.47%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.66%EV -3.36%E -0.955%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 16:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -8.51%E -4.28%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.53%EV -6.47%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.53%EV -3.36%E -0.955%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 16:10
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -2.54%E -0.715%K -0.995%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 18:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.75%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-07 14:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.62%EV -6.21%E -3.05%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 08:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.62%EV -6.21%E -3.05%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 08:15
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.62%EV -6.21%E -3.05%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 08:14
Grosvenor🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.62%EV -6.21%E -3.05%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 08:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.62%EV -6.21%E -3.05%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 08:15
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.62%EV -6.21%E -3.05%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 08:15
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.62%EV -6.21%E -3.05%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 08:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.62%EV -6.21%E -3.05%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 08:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.62%EV -6.21%E -3.05%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 08:15
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.62%EV -6.21%E -3.05%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 08:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -7.13%E -3.53%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -7.13%E -3.53%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 14:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 14:30
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 22:44
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 22:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.78%EV -8.97%E -4.53%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -12.15%E -3.80%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-08 22:20
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.33%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 14:30
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -8.33%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-08 22:40
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -8.33%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-08 22:44
NetBet (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 45.68%EV -8.51%E -4.28%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -8.33%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.97%EV -10.77%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 16:10
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.75%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-08 22:44
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 14:30
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-07 14:29
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-07 14:29
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 09:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 09:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 09:20
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 09:20
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -10.35%E -5.31%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 23:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -12.15%E -3.80%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-08 22:20
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -8.97%E -4.53%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -10.77%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 09:09
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.35%E -5.31%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-07 14:30
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -10.35%E -5.31%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -10.98%E -3.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.50%EV -10.77%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-08 08:10
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -12.31%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -1.17%E -0.324%K -0.448%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-08 06:10
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.35%E -5.31%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.31%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -10.77%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-08 18:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.87%EV -8.97%E -4.53%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -12.31%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-08 22:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.58%EV -10.81%E -5.57%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -12.31%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -12.15%E -3.80%K -5.52%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-08 08:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.58%EV -10.81%E -5.57%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -12.31%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -12.15%E -3.80%K -5.52%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-08 08:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.70%EV -11.27%E -5.84%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.73%EV -12.31%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -12.15%E -3.80%K -5.52%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-08 08:09
Suprabets🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.11%EV -11.73%E -6.11%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 26.91%EV -12.58%E -3.82%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.99%EV -9.95%E -3.03%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-08 18:15
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -13.64%E -4.20%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -10.77%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-08 22:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -13.64%E -4.20%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -10.77%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-08 22:44
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -13.64%E -4.20%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -10.77%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-08 22:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -13.64%E -4.20%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -10.77%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-08 22:44
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -12.19%E -6.38%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -13.64%E -4.20%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-07 06:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 46.94%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%5.5%2026-09-09 17:40
Matchbook◎2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%5.8%2026-09-09 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%6.8%2026-09-09 17:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%6.8%2026-09-09 17:40
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%6.8%2026-09-09 16:35