Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Dijon v Stade Lavallois

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-11 18:00 UTC

Score final : Dijon 3–2 Stade Lavallois

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Dijon (Local)

Prévision 45.97%2.18cote équitable
EV -4.38%
Avantage -2.10%
Kelly -4.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.83%45.98%45.95%47.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.912.002.002.0852.36%49.93%50.00%48.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Stade Lavallois (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.57%3.76cote équitable
EV +0.975%
Avantage +0.257%
Kelly +0.348%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.18%26.51%26.55%28.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.443.453.8030.77%29.07%28.99%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.45%3.64cote équitable
EV -1.17%
Avantage -0.324%
Kelly -0.448%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.70%27.51%27.51%29.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.153.323.303.6031.75%30.13%30.30%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Dijon (Local) : 45.97% ; Stade Lavallois (Visiteur) : 26.57% ; Match nul : 27.45%. Pour Stade Lavallois (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.76. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.80, soit une espérance positive de +0.975%.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -10.35%E -5.31%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV +0.975%E +0.257%K +0.348%G +0.003%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -12.15%E -3.80%K -5.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 03:59
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -5.75%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 14:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -4.38%E -2.10%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.34%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -10.77%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 22:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.55%EV -6.67%E -3.29%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.83%EV -4.87%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.63%EV -11.32%E -3.51%K -5.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-08 22:20
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.58%EV -6.67%E -3.29%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.64%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.79%EV -3.09%E -0.874%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 09:25
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -5.75%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-08 22:19
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -5.75%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.67%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-08 22:20
1xBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%EV -7.59%E -3.78%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.66%EV -6.47%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.66%EV -3.36%E -0.955%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 16:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -8.51%E -4.28%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.53%EV -6.47%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.53%EV -3.36%E -0.955%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 16:10
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -2.54%E -0.715%K -0.995%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 18:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.75%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-07 14:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.62%EV -6.21%E -3.05%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 08:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.62%EV -6.21%E -3.05%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 08:15
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.62%EV -6.21%E -3.05%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 08:14
Grosvenor🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.62%EV -6.21%E -3.05%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 08:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.62%EV -6.21%E -3.05%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 08:15
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.62%EV -6.21%E -3.05%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 08:15
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.62%EV -6.21%E -3.05%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 08:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.62%EV -6.21%E -3.05%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 08:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.62%EV -6.21%E -3.05%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 08:15
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.62%EV -6.21%E -3.05%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 08:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -7.13%E -3.53%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -7.13%E -3.53%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 14:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 14:30
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 22:44
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 22:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.78%EV -8.97%E -4.53%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -7.00%E -2.00%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -12.15%E -3.80%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-08 22:20
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.33%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 14:30
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -8.33%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-08 22:40
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -8.33%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-08 22:44
NetBet (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 45.68%EV -8.51%E -4.28%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -8.33%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.97%EV -10.77%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 16:10
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.75%E -2.81%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-08 22:44
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 14:30
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-07 14:29
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-07 14:29
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 09:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 09:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 09:20
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 09:20
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -10.35%E -5.31%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 23:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -12.15%E -3.80%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-08 22:20
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -8.97%E -4.53%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -10.77%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 09:09
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.35%E -5.31%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.65%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-07 14:30
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -10.35%E -5.31%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -10.98%E -3.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.50%EV -10.77%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-08 08:10
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -12.31%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -1.17%E -0.324%K -0.448%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-08 06:10
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.35%E -5.31%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.31%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -10.77%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-08 18:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.87%EV -8.97%E -4.53%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -12.31%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-08 22:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.58%EV -10.81%E -5.57%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -12.31%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -12.15%E -3.80%K -5.52%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-08 08:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.58%EV -10.81%E -5.57%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -12.31%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -12.15%E -3.80%K -5.52%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-08 08:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.70%EV -11.27%E -5.84%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.73%EV -12.31%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -12.15%E -3.80%K -5.52%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-08 08:09
Suprabets🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.11%EV -11.73%E -6.11%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 26.91%EV -12.58%E -3.82%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.99%EV -9.95%E -3.03%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-08 18:15
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -13.64%E -4.20%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -10.77%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-08 22:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -13.64%E -4.20%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -10.77%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-08 22:44
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -13.64%E -4.20%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -10.77%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-08 22:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -8.05%E -4.03%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -13.64%E -4.20%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -10.77%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-08 22:44
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -12.19%E -6.38%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -13.64%E -4.20%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-07 06:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 46.94%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%5.5%2026-09-09 17:40
Matchbook◎2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%5.8%2026-09-09 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%6.8%2026-09-09 17:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%6.8%2026-09-09 17:40
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%6.8%2026-09-09 16:35