Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dijon v Saint Etienne

2026-08-31 18:45 UTC — Ligue 2 - France

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dijon (Local)

Prediction 24.10%4.15fair odd
EV -3.61%
Edge -0.903%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.55%24.03%24.11%25.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.783.804.0028.57%26.46%26.32%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Saint Etienne (Visit)

Prediction 48.89%2.05fair odd
EV -6.14%
Edge -3.20%
Kelly -6.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.04%48.93%48.86%50.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.871.901.9255.56%53.38%52.63%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.02%3.70fair odd
EV -3.55%
Edge -0.996%
Kelly -1.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.90%27.03%27.03%27.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.363.303.5731.25%29.73%30.30%28.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Dijon (Local): 24.10%; Saint Etienne (Visit): 48.89%; Draw: 27.02%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.70. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.57, with an expected value of -3.55%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -3.61%E -0.903%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -12.00%E -6.67%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-24 16:19
Pinnacle🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 24.16%EV -5.54%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.32%EV -6.14%E -3.20%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.52%EV -3.55%E -0.996%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-24 17:30
Betr (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.02%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -7.11%E -3.74%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-24 16:24
Unibet (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -6.02%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-24 18:49
Betsson🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -6.02%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -7.11%E -3.74%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-24 14:24
NordicBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -6.02%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -7.11%E -3.74%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-24 14:24
Marathon Bet🎯3.84I 26.04%NM 24.29%EV -7.47%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.36%EV -7.60%E -4.02%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.35%EV -4.37%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 16:19
1xBet🎯3.83I 26.11%NM 24.47%EV -7.71%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.06%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.47%EV -4.37%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-24 16:24
Fanatics🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.43%E -2.22%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-24 14:48
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -8.43%E -2.22%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -8.58%E -4.59%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-24 19:04
SportsBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.43%E -2.22%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -8.58%E -4.59%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -6.80%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-24 16:24
888sport🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.43%E -2.22%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-24 16:14
William Hill🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.43%E -2.22%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-24 16:24
888sport (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.43%E -2.22%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-24 16:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.43%E -2.22%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-24 16:14
FanDuel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -8.43%E -2.22%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -8.58%E -4.59%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-24 14:29
Unibet (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -8.43%E -2.22%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -10.54%E -5.76%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -13.55%E -4.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-24 14:24
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -9.64%E -2.57%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -7.11%E -3.74%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-24 16:24
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.64%E -2.57%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -9.56%E -5.17%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-24 16:24
Winamax (DE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -14.46%E -4.07%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.25%EV -11.02%E -6.06%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-24 14:24
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -15.66%E -4.47%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.93%EV -12.00%E -6.67%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-24 16:18
Winamax (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -15.66%E -4.47%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.15%EV -12.00%E -6.67%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.09%EV -13.55%E -4.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-24 14:24
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -15.66%E -4.47%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.15%EV -12.00%E -6.67%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.09%EV -13.55%E -4.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-24 16:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets3.55I 28.17%NM 24.18%1.80I 55.56%NM 47.68%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.14%16.5%2026-08-24 18:54