Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Dijon v Saint Etienne

Início: 2026-08-31 18:45 UTC

Final: Dijon 2–3 Saint Etienne

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Dijon (Local)

Previsão 19.08%5.24odd justa
EV +0.170%
Vantagem +0.032%
Kelly +0.040%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.68%19.04%19.02%20.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.334.804.805.2523.09%20.83%20.83%19.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Saint Etienne (Visitante)

Previsão 55.62%1.80odd justa
EV -4.33%
Vantagem -2.52%
Kelly -6.02%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.72

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.85%55.65%55.65%57.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.601.661.671.7262.50%60.23%59.88%58.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.30%3.95odd justa
EV -1.33%
Vantagem -0.342%
Kelly -0.460%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.53%25.31%25.33%27.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.623.603.9029.41%27.62%27.78%25.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Dijon (Local): 19.08%; Saint Etienne (Visitante): 55.62%; Empate: 25.30%. Para Dijon (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.24. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.25, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.170%.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
betano_uk🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV +0.170%E +0.032%K +0.040%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -8.23%E -4.98%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 18:40
Bet Victor🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV +0.170%E +0.032%K +0.040%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -8.23%E -4.98%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 18:40
Tipico (DE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -0.784%E -0.151%K -0.187%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -11.01%E -6.88%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 11:10
Coolbet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -4.60%E -0.920%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.13%EV -5.44%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -2.60%E -0.675%K -0.912%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 13:40
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -4.60%E -0.920%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -5.44%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 18:25
DraftKings🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -4.60%E -0.920%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.57%EV -7.11%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -2.60%E -0.675%K -0.912%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 18:34
Marathon Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.60%E -0.920%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.83%EV -8.78%E -5.35%K -13.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.86%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 18:35
Fanatics🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -4.60%E -0.920%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -7.11%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 18:39
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -4.60%E -0.920%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -7.11%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 18:40
1xBet🎯4.99I 20.04%NM 18.75%EV -4.79%E -0.960%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -5.44%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.21%EV -9.68%E -2.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 18:40
Pinnacle🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.59%EV -6.51%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.80%EV -4.33%E -2.52%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.61%EV -1.33%E -0.342%K -0.460%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -6.51%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.17%EV -5.44%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -6.51%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.17%EV -5.44%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -6.51%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.65%EV -6.56%E -3.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 18:40
BetUS🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -6.51%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.31%EV -6.00%E -3.55%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 18:40
FanDuel🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -6.51%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.12%EV -6.00%E -3.55%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 18:35
NetBet (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.90%EV -6.51%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.85%EV -4.33%E -2.52%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -13.98%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-31 18:30
Bovada🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -6.51%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -7.67%E -4.62%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -10.19%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 18:40
Betclic (FR)🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.11%EV -7.46%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.16%EV -6.56%E -3.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-31 18:33
Casumo🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.42%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -6.56%E -3.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 11:05
Grosvenor🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.42%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -6.56%E -3.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 11:05
TABtouch🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.42%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -6.56%E -3.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 11:05
Unibet (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.42%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -6.56%E -3.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 11:04
Unibet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.42%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -6.56%E -3.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 11:04
PMU (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.42%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -6.56%E -3.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 11:04
Unibet (NL)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.42%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -6.56%E -3.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 11:04
ATG (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.42%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -6.56%E -3.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 11:05
betPARX🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.42%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -6.56%E -3.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 11:04
Svenska Spel🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.42%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -6.56%E -3.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 11:04
888sport🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.42%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -7.11%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 18:35
William Hill🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.42%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -7.11%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.42%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -7.11%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 18:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.42%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -7.11%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 18:35
SportsBet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -8.42%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.34%EV -7.67%E -4.62%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 18:30
Unibet (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -8.42%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -8.23%E -4.98%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-31 18:24
Betsson🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -8.42%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -8.23%E -4.98%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-31 18:30
NordicBet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -8.42%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -8.23%E -4.98%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-31 18:25
Suprabets🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -8.42%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.40%EV -10.45%E -6.49%K -17.13%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.68%EV -6.90%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-31 18:35
theScore Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -8.42%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.94%EV -9.89%E -6.11%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-31 18:40
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -9.37%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -7.11%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.13%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 18:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -9.37%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -7.11%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-31 13:39
Paddy Power🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -9.37%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -8.23%E -4.98%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 18:35
PlayUp🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -9.37%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.48%EV -9.34%E -5.73%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.48%EV -10.19%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-31 18:35
Winamax (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -10.32%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.68%EV -7.67%E -4.62%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -5.13%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-31 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -10.32%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.68%EV -7.67%E -4.62%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -5.13%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-31 18:25
betfred_uk🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -12.23%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -7.11%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-31 13:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -12.23%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -8.23%E -4.98%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-31 18:35
BetRivers🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -12.23%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.14%EV -9.34%E -5.73%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.32%EV -10.19%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-31 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -12.23%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.69%EV -9.89%E -6.11%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.98%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-31 18:40
Neds🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -12.23%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.69%EV -9.89%E -6.11%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.98%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-31 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.19%EV -12.23%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.84%EV -10.45%E -6.49%K -17.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -13.98%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-31 18:40
Coral🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.19%EV -12.23%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.84%EV -10.45%E -6.49%K -17.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -13.98%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-31 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.68%EV -14.14%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.01%EV -10.45%E -6.49%K -17.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-31 11:05
LiveScore Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.68%EV -14.14%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.01%EV -10.45%E -6.49%K -17.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-31 11:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.68%EV -14.14%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.01%EV -10.45%E -6.49%K -17.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-31 11:05
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.60%EV -14.14%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.45%EV -9.89%E -6.11%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -13.98%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-31 18:35
BoyleSports🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -17.38%E -4.01%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.82%EV -9.89%E -6.11%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-31 18:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.10%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.6%2026-08-31 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.10%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.6%2026-08-31 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.10%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.6%2026-08-31 18:40
Smarkets◎5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.24%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-08-31 18:40
Matchbook◎5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.24%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-08-31 18:40