Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Dijon v Saint Etienne

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-31 18:45 UTC

Score final : Dijon 2–3 Saint Etienne

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Dijon (Local)

Prévision 19.08%5.24cote équitable
EV +0.170%
Avantage +0.032%
Kelly +0.040%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.68%19.04%19.02%20.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.334.804.805.2523.09%20.83%20.83%19.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Saint Etienne (Visiteur)

Prévision 55.62%1.80cote équitable
EV -4.33%
Avantage -2.52%
Kelly -6.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.85%55.65%55.65%57.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.601.661.671.7262.50%60.23%59.88%58.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.30%3.95cote équitable
EV -1.33%
Avantage -0.342%
Kelly -0.460%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.53%25.31%25.33%27.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.623.603.9029.41%27.62%27.78%25.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Dijon (Local) : 19.08% ; Saint Etienne (Visiteur) : 55.62% ; Match nul : 25.30%. Pour Dijon (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.24. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.25, soit une espérance positive de +0.170%.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
betano_uk🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV +0.170%E +0.032%K +0.040%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -8.23%E -4.98%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 18:40
Bet Victor🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV +0.170%E +0.032%K +0.040%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -8.23%E -4.98%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 18:40
Tipico (DE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -0.784%E -0.151%K -0.187%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -11.01%E -6.88%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 11:10
Coolbet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -4.60%E -0.920%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.13%EV -5.44%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -2.60%E -0.675%K -0.912%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 13:40
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -4.60%E -0.920%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.57%EV -5.44%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 18:25
DraftKings🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -4.60%E -0.920%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.57%EV -7.11%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -2.60%E -0.675%K -0.912%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 18:34
Marathon Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.60%E -0.920%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.83%EV -8.78%E -5.35%K -13.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.86%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 18:35
Fanatics🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -4.60%E -0.920%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -7.11%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 18:39
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -4.60%E -0.920%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -7.11%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 18:40
1xBet🎯4.99I 20.04%NM 18.75%EV -4.79%E -0.960%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -5.44%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.21%EV -9.68%E -2.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 18:40
Pinnacle🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.59%EV -6.51%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.80%EV -4.33%E -2.52%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.61%EV -1.33%E -0.342%K -0.460%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -6.51%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.17%EV -5.44%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -6.51%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.17%EV -5.44%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -6.51%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.65%EV -6.56%E -3.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 18:40
BetUS🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -6.51%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.31%EV -6.00%E -3.55%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -7.66%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 18:40
FanDuel🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -6.51%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.12%EV -6.00%E -3.55%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 18:35
NetBet (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.90%EV -6.51%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.85%EV -4.33%E -2.52%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -13.98%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-31 18:30
Bovada🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -6.51%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -7.67%E -4.62%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -10.19%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 18:40
Betclic (FR)🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.11%EV -7.46%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.16%EV -6.56%E -3.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-31 18:33
Casumo🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.42%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -6.56%E -3.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 11:05
Grosvenor🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.42%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -6.56%E -3.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 11:05
TABtouch🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.42%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -6.56%E -3.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 11:05
Unibet (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.42%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -6.56%E -3.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 11:04
Unibet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.42%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -6.56%E -3.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 11:04
PMU (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.42%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -6.56%E -3.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 11:04
Unibet (NL)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.42%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -6.56%E -3.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 11:04
ATG (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.42%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -6.56%E -3.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 11:05
betPARX🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.42%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -6.56%E -3.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 11:04
Svenska Spel🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -8.42%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -6.56%E -3.90%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 11:04
888sport🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.42%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -7.11%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 18:35
William Hill🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.42%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -7.11%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.42%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -7.11%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 18:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.42%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -7.11%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 18:35
SportsBet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -8.42%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.34%EV -7.67%E -4.62%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 18:30
Unibet (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -8.42%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -8.23%E -4.98%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-31 18:24
Betsson🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -8.42%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -8.23%E -4.98%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-31 18:30
NordicBet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -8.42%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -8.23%E -4.98%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-31 18:25
Suprabets🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -8.42%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.40%EV -10.45%E -6.49%K -17.13%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.68%EV -6.90%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-31 18:35
theScore Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -8.42%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.94%EV -9.89%E -6.11%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-31 18:40
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -9.37%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -7.11%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.13%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 18:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -9.37%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -7.11%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.39%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-31 13:39
Paddy Power🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -9.37%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -8.23%E -4.98%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 18:35
PlayUp🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -9.37%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.48%EV -9.34%E -5.73%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.48%EV -10.19%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-31 18:35
Winamax (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -10.32%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.68%EV -7.67%E -4.62%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -5.13%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-31 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -10.32%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.68%EV -7.67%E -4.62%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -5.13%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-31 18:25
betfred_uk🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -12.23%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -7.11%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-31 13:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -12.23%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -8.23%E -4.98%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-31 18:35
BetRivers🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -12.23%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.14%EV -9.34%E -5.73%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.32%EV -10.19%E -2.87%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-31 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -12.23%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.69%EV -9.89%E -6.11%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.98%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-31 18:40
Neds🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -12.23%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.69%EV -9.89%E -6.11%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.98%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-31 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.19%EV -12.23%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.84%EV -10.45%E -6.49%K -17.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -13.98%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-31 18:40
Coral🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.19%EV -12.23%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.84%EV -10.45%E -6.49%K -17.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -13.98%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-31 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.68%EV -14.14%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.01%EV -10.45%E -6.49%K -17.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-31 11:05
LiveScore Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.68%EV -14.14%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.01%EV -10.45%E -6.49%K -17.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-31 11:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.68%EV -14.14%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.01%EV -10.45%E -6.49%K -17.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -11.45%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-31 11:05
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.60%EV -14.14%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.45%EV -9.89%E -6.11%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -13.98%E -4.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-31 18:35
BoyleSports🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -17.38%E -4.01%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.82%EV -9.89%E -6.11%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -8.92%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-31 18:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.10%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.6%2026-08-31 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.10%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.6%2026-08-31 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.10%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.6%2026-08-31 18:40
Smarkets◎5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.24%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-08-31 18:40
Matchbook◎5.60I 17.86%NM 17.68%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.24%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-08-31 18:40