The School of Odds
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Clermont v Sochaux

2026-08-28 18:00 UTC — Ligue 2 - France

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Clermont (Local)

Prediction 33.67%2.97fair odd
EV -0.674%
Edge -0.229%
Kelly -0.346%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.52%33.86%33.37%36.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.682.702.9540.82%37.28%37.04%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sochaux (Visit)

Prediction 36.07%2.77fair odd
EV +2.79%
Edge +0.980%
Kelly +1.51%
Growth +0.042%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.98%35.77%36.25%37.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.552.502.8542.02%39.18%40.00%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.26%3.30fair odd
EV -3.77%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.74%30.37%30.39%32.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.013.003.1835.71%33.23%33.33%31.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Clermont (Local): 33.67%; Sochaux (Visit): 36.07%; Draw: 30.26%. For Sochaux (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.77. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.85, producing a positive expected value of +2.79%.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -12.46%E -4.79%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV +2.79%E +0.980%K +1.51%G +0.042%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.19%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-24 15:49
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -12.46%E -4.79%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -0.813%E -0.296%K -0.464%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -9.21%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-24 16:29
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.82%EV -14.14%E -5.55%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.22%EV -0.813%E -0.296%K -0.464%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -10.73%E -3.64%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-24 15:49
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.82%EV -14.14%E -5.55%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.22%EV -0.813%E -0.296%K -0.464%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -10.73%E -3.64%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-24 15:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -15.83%E -6.33%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -0.813%E -0.296%K -0.464%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -10.73%E -3.64%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-24 15:49
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -12.46%E -4.79%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -4.42%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.70%E -2.52%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-24 16:28
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -15.83%E -6.33%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -5.14%E -1.95%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -12.24%E -4.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-24 16:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -15.83%E -6.33%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -5.14%E -1.95%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -12.24%E -4.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-24 16:29
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -11.79%E -4.50%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -5.50%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.19%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-24 15:49
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -11.79%E -4.50%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -5.50%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.19%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-24 15:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -15.83%E -6.33%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -5.50%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -12.24%E -4.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-24 16:29
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -15.83%E -6.33%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -5.50%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -12.24%E -4.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-24 16:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -7.41%E -2.69%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -6.19%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-24 15:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -7.41%E -2.69%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -6.19%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-24 15:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.52%EV -2.36%E -0.813%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -15.27%E -5.45%K -8.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-24 19:24
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.09%EV -14.14%E -5.55%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.09%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.21%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-24 15:49
Pinnacle🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -0.674%E -0.229%K -0.346%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.31%EV -8.39%E -3.30%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -6.19%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-24 16:59
NetBet (FR)🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.39%EV -8.42%E -3.10%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.04%EV -9.11%E -3.61%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.58%EV -10.12%E -3.41%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-24 18:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.77%EV -1.68%E -0.577%K -0.877%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.13%EV -9.82%E -3.29%K -4.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-24 18:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.77%EV -1.68%E -0.577%K -0.877%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.13%EV -9.82%E -3.29%K -4.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-24 18:24
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -7.41%E -2.69%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -6.19%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-24 16:18
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.09%E -3.37%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -6.19%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-24 15:59
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.09%E -3.37%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -6.19%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-24 16:04
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.09%E -3.37%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -6.19%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-24 15:59
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.41%E -2.69%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.21%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-24 16:29
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.41%E -2.69%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.21%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-24 16:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.41%E -2.69%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.21%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-24 16:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.41%E -2.69%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.21%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-24 16:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -15.83%E -6.33%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -6.19%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-24 17:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -17.51%E -7.15%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.04%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -9.21%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-24 17:54
1xBet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.20%EV -5.39%E -1.92%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.47%EV -10.19%E -4.09%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.34%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 16:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.20%EV -5.39%E -1.92%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.47%EV -10.19%E -4.09%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.34%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 17:24
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -5.72%E -2.04%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -13.44%E -5.60%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.21%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-24 18:48
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -5.72%E -2.04%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -13.44%E -5.60%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.21%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-24 15:44
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.56%EV -12.46%E -4.79%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.35%EV -13.44%E -5.60%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.09%EV -12.24%E -4.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-24 15:59
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.22%EV -7.41%E -2.69%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.23%EV -14.16%E -5.95%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -12.24%E -4.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-24 15:54
Suprabets🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 31.96%EV -6.73%E -2.43%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.20%EV -14.16%E -5.95%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.85%EV -13.15%E -4.58%K -7.03%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-24 15:47
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 34.18%1.08I 92.59%NM 32.91%1.08I 92.59%NM 32.91%181.3%2026-08-24 18:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 34.18%1.08I 92.59%NM 32.91%1.08I 92.59%NM 32.91%181.3%2026-08-24 18:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-24 18:09