Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Clermont v Sochaux

Inicio: 2026-08-28 18:00 UTC

Final: Clermont 0–0 Sochaux

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Clermont (Local)

Predicción 35.68%2.80momio equitativo
EV -2.59%
Ventaja -0.950%
Kelly -1.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.54%35.66%35.65%36.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.582.572.7340.00%38.74%38.91%36.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Sochaux (Visitante)

Predicción 33.35%3.00momio equitativo
EV -0.952%
Ventaja -0.320%
Kelly -0.483%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.97

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.19%33.33%33.35%35.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.732.722.9740.00%36.69%36.76%33.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 30.97%3.23momio equitativo
EV -1.52%
Ventaja -0.477%
Kelly -0.695%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.18

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.33%31.02%31.00%34.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.702.982.953.1837.04%33.51%33.90%31.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Clermont (Local): 35.68%; Sochaux (Visitante): 33.35%; Empate: 30.97%. Para Sochaux (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.00. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.97, con un valor esperado de -0.952%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.27%EV -2.59%E -0.950%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.42%EV -0.952%E -0.320%K -0.483%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.31%EV -7.71%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-28 17:45
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -3.66%E -1.36%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.62%E -2.36%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -10.19%E -3.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.44%EV -5.09%E -1.91%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.28%EV -2.62%E -0.897%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.28%EV -9.57%E -3.28%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-28 17:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.44%EV -5.09%E -1.91%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.28%EV -2.62%E -0.897%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.28%EV -9.57%E -3.28%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-28 17:55
BetUS🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.44%EV -5.09%E -1.91%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.28%EV -2.62%E -0.897%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.28%EV -9.57%E -3.28%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-28 17:55
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.56%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -3.29%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -8.64%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-28 17:41
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -8.29%E -3.01%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -3.99%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 17:30
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -9.96%E -3.69%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -3.99%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 17:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -11.62%E -4.39%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -3.99%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-28 09:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -11.62%E -4.39%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -3.99%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-28 09:40
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -11.62%E -4.39%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -3.99%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-28 09:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -11.62%E -4.39%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -3.99%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-28 09:40
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -11.62%E -4.39%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -3.99%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-28 09:40
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -11.62%E -4.39%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -3.99%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-28 09:40
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -11.62%E -4.39%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -3.99%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-28 09:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -11.62%E -4.39%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -3.99%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-28 09:40
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -11.62%E -4.39%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -3.99%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-28 09:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -11.62%E -4.39%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -3.99%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-28 09:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -1.62%E -0.549%K -0.830%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -16.38%E -6.07%K -9.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-28 17:30
1xBet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.38%EV -5.80%E -2.20%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.09%EV -8.62%E -3.15%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.53%EV -5.23%E -1.71%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 17:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.17%EV -6.16%E -2.34%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.27%EV -7.29%E -2.62%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.57%EV -9.26%E -3.16%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-28 17:34
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -7.23%E -2.78%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV -3.29%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -3.99%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 17:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.23%E -2.78%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -9.96%E -3.69%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -3.99%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-28 17:35
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -7.23%E -2.78%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -4.95%E -1.74%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.19%E -3.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-28 17:30
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -7.23%E -2.78%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -9.96%E -3.69%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.09%E -2.36%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-28 17:55
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV -7.23%E -2.78%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -6.62%E -2.36%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -11.74%E -4.12%K -6.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-28 17:30
Suprabets🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 35.09%EV -7.59%E -2.93%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.81%EV -7.62%E -2.75%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.11%EV -12.35%E -4.37%K -6.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-28 17:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.19%EV -7.94%E -3.08%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.45%EV -9.62%E -3.55%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.36%EV -1.52%E -0.477%K -0.695%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 17:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 35.40%EV -8.30%E -3.23%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.45%EV -9.29%E -3.42%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.16%EV -9.57%E -3.28%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-28 17:45
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.66%EV -9.02%E -3.54%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.38%EV -6.62%E -2.36%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.96%EV -3.37%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 17:48
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.66%EV -9.02%E -3.54%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.38%EV -6.62%E -2.36%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.96%EV -3.37%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 17:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -9.02%E -3.54%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -6.62%E -2.36%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -3.99%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 17:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -9.02%E -3.54%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -8.29%E -3.01%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -3.99%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-28 14:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.82%EV -9.02%E -3.54%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.22%EV -8.29%E -3.01%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -8.64%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-28 12:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.82%EV -9.02%E -3.54%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.22%EV -8.29%E -3.01%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -8.64%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-28 12:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -9.02%E -3.54%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -9.96%E -3.69%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -7.09%E -2.36%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-28 17:36
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -9.02%E -3.54%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.46%EV -9.29%E -3.42%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.85%EV -8.64%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-28 17:30
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -9.02%E -3.54%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.46%EV -9.29%E -3.42%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.85%EV -8.64%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-28 17:30
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.02%E -3.54%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -11.62%E -4.39%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -7.09%E -2.36%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-28 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -9.02%E -3.54%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -6.62%E -2.36%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -13.28%E -4.74%K -7.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-28 17:51
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.09%EV -9.02%E -3.54%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.09%EV -14.96%E -5.87%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -7.09%E -2.36%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-28 09:40
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -8.29%E -3.01%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -3.99%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-28 14:20
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -11.62%E -4.39%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -3.99%E -1.29%K -1.90%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-28 08:40
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -8.29%E -3.01%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -10.19%E -3.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-28 17:40
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -8.29%E -3.01%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -10.19%E -3.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-28 17:41
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -8.29%E -3.01%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -10.19%E -3.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-28 17:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -8.29%E -3.01%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -10.19%E -3.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-28 17:41
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -6.62%E -2.36%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -13.28%E -4.74%K -7.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-28 17:30
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -9.96%E -3.69%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.81%E -3.75%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-28 14:20
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -8.29%E -3.01%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -14.83%E -5.39%K -8.48%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-28 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -13.29%E -5.11%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -10.19%E -3.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-28 17:30
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -13.29%E -5.11%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -10.19%E -3.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-28 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -13.29%E -5.11%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -10.19%E -3.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-28 17:30
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -13.29%E -5.11%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -10.19%E -3.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-28 17:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.12%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.12%EV -16.63%E -6.65%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.76%EV -8.64%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-28 09:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.12%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.12%EV -16.63%E -6.65%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.76%EV -8.64%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-28 09:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.12%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.12%EV -16.63%E -6.65%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.76%EV -8.64%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-28 09:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01%0.8%2026-08-28 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01%0.8%2026-08-28 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01%0.8%2026-08-28 17:55
Matchbook◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01%0.8%2026-08-28 17:51
Smarkets◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.23%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.12%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.65%2.1%2026-08-28 17:55