Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Clermont v Sochaux

2026-08-28 18:00 UTC — Ligue 2 - France

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Clermont (Local)

Previsão 33.48%2.99odd justa
EV -1.25%
Vantagem -0.423%
Kelly -0.639%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.41%33.75%33.27%36.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.452.692.712.9540.82%37.20%36.90%33.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Sochaux (Visitante)

Previsão 36.25%2.76odd justa
EV +3.32%
Vantagem +1.16%
Kelly +1.79%
Crescimento +0.059%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.98%35.92%36.36%37.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.382.552.502.8542.02%39.24%40.00%35.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 30.27%3.30odd justa
EV -3.73%
Vantagem -1.17%
Kelly -1.71%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.18

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.74%30.33%30.37%31.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.873.013.003.1834.84%33.20%33.33%31.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Clermont (Local): 33.48%; Sochaux (Visitante): 36.25%; Empate: 30.27%. Para Sochaux (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 2.76. 1 casa de apostas oferece odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 2.85, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +3.32%.

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -12.96%E -4.99%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV +3.32%E +1.16%K +1.79%G +0.059%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-24 15:49
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -12.96%E -4.99%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -0.309%E -0.113%K -0.177%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -9.18%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-24 16:29
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.82%EV -14.64%E -5.74%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.22%EV -0.309%E -0.113%K -0.177%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -10.69%E -3.63%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-24 15:49
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.82%EV -14.64%E -5.74%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.22%EV -0.309%E -0.113%K -0.177%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -10.69%E -3.63%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-24 15:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -16.31%E -6.52%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -0.309%E -0.113%K -0.177%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -10.69%E -3.63%K -5.48%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-24 15:49
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -12.96%E -4.99%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -3.93%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.67%E -2.51%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-24 16:28
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -16.31%E -6.52%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -4.66%E -1.77%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -12.21%E -4.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-24 16:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -16.31%E -6.52%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -4.66%E -1.77%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -12.21%E -4.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-24 16:29
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -12.29%E -4.69%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -5.02%E -1.92%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-24 15:49
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -12.29%E -4.69%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -5.02%E -1.92%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-24 15:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -16.31%E -6.52%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -5.02%E -1.92%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -12.21%E -4.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-24 16:29
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -16.31%E -6.52%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -5.02%E -1.92%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -12.21%E -4.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-24 16:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.56%E -2.96%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-24 15:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.56%E -2.96%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-24 15:59
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.09%EV -14.64%E -5.74%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.09%EV -7.56%E -2.96%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.18%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-24 15:49
Pinnacle🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -1.25%E -0.423%K -0.639%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.31%EV -7.92%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-24 16:59
NetBet (FR)🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.39%EV -8.95%E -3.29%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.04%EV -8.65%E -3.43%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.58%EV -10.09%E -3.40%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-24 18:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.77%EV -2.25%E -0.771%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -9.37%E -3.75%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.13%EV -9.79%E -3.28%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-24 18:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.77%EV -2.25%E -0.771%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -9.37%E -3.75%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.13%EV -9.79%E -3.28%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-24 18:24
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -9.37%E -3.75%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -9.18%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-24 20:20
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -9.37%E -3.75%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-24 16:18
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.62%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.37%E -3.75%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-24 15:59
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.62%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.37%E -3.75%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-24 16:04
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.62%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.37%E -3.75%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-24 15:59
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.37%E -3.75%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.18%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-24 16:29
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.37%E -3.75%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.18%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-24 16:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.37%E -3.75%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.18%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-24 16:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.37%E -3.75%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.18%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-24 16:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -16.31%E -6.52%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.37%E -3.75%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -6.15%E -1.98%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-24 17:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -17.98%E -7.34%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.04%EV -9.37%E -3.75%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -9.18%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-24 17:54
1xBet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.20%EV -5.93%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.47%EV -9.73%E -3.91%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.34%EV -3.73%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 16:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.20%EV -5.93%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.47%EV -9.73%E -3.91%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.34%EV -3.73%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 20:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -11.18%E -4.57%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -12.21%E -4.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-24 20:24
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -13.00%E -5.42%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.18%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-24 18:48
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -13.00%E -5.42%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.18%E -3.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-24 15:44
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.56%EV -12.96%E -4.99%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.35%EV -13.00%E -5.42%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.09%EV -12.21%E -4.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-24 15:59
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.22%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.23%EV -13.72%E -5.77%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -12.21%E -4.21%K -6.43%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-24 15:54
Suprabets🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 31.96%EV -7.27%E -2.63%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.20%EV -13.72%E -5.77%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.85%EV -13.12%E -4.57%K -7.01%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-24 15:47
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 34.18%1.08I 92.59%NM 32.91%1.08I 92.59%NM 32.91%181.3%2026-08-24 18:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 34.18%1.08I 92.59%NM 32.91%1.08I 92.59%NM 32.91%181.3%2026-08-24 18:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-24 18:09