Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.91
assuming max odds 2.60
assuming max odds 3.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boulogne (Local): 33.15%; USL Dunkerque (Visit): 36.91%; Draw: 29.94%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.34. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.78%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.87%E -2.30%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV +1.78%E +0.524%K +0.743%G +0.013% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 18:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.71%E -3.09%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -1.21%E -0.367%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 17:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.71%E -3.09%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -2.71%E -0.833%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 17:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.18%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -7.71%E -3.09%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 13:03 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -9.56%E -3.90%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-20 20:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -9.56%E -3.90%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-21 11:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -13.15%E -5.02%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.71%E -3.09%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 17:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -11.40%E -4.75%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-20 20:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -11.40%E -4.75%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-22 18:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -9.56%E -3.90%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -5.70%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 12:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -9.56%E -3.90%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -5.70%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 12:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -13.81%E -5.31%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -11.40%E -4.75%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -5.70%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.90%EV -7.71%E -3.09%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.56%EV -6.60%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 16:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.86%EV -5.86%E -2.06%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.03%EV -6.97%E -2.77%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.86%EV -5.86%E -2.06%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.03%EV -6.97%E -2.77%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-24 03:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.18%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -5.87%E -2.30%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 18:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -9.56%E -3.90%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-21 09:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.59%EV -3.54%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.62%EV -4.39%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.79%EV -7.80%E -2.53%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 09:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.18%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.22%EV -8.82%E -3.57%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 29.95%EV -8.10%E -2.64%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 18:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.17%EV -7.85%E -2.82%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.59%EV -6.97%E -2.77%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.23%EV -8.69%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-20 20:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.17%EV -7.85%E -2.82%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.59%EV -6.97%E -2.77%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.23%EV -8.69%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-20 20:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.66%EV -6.19%E -2.19%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.53%EV -6.61%E -2.61%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-21 09:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.66%EV -6.19%E -2.19%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.53%EV -6.61%E -2.61%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 15:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -7.18%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.87%E -2.30%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-20 21:18 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.18%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.71%E -3.09%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 16:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.05%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.65%EV -8.45%E -3.41%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-20 20:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 32.74%EV -8.18%E -2.95%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -9.56%E -3.90%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-23 17:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -12.16%E -4.59%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -7.71%E -3.09%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-21 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -11.40%E -4.75%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-23 13:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -11.40%E -4.75%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-23 13:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -11.40%E -4.75%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-23 13:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -11.40%E -4.75%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-23 13:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.73%EV -13.15%E -5.02%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.82%EV -11.40%E -4.75%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-20 19:13 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.37%EV -13.81%E -5.31%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.72%EV -15.10%E -6.56%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.92%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-04-20 20:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.25%EV -4.53%E -1.57%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.57%EV -6.24%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -10.79%E -3.62%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 11:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.25%EV -4.53%E -1.57%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.57%EV -6.24%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -10.79%E -3.62%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.18%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.71%E -3.09%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.19%E -4.55%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-20 19:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.18%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.71%E -3.09%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.19%E -4.55%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-20 19:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.18%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.71%E -3.09%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.19%E -4.55%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-20 19:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.18%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.71%E -3.09%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.19%E -4.55%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-20 19:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -7.18%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -9.56%E -3.90%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -13.19%E -4.55%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-22 18:55 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 32.69%EV -10.17%E -3.75%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.45%EV -10.30%E -4.24%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.86%EV -14.08%E -4.91%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-23 12:43 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.14%EV -9.56%E -3.90%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.07%EV -14.68%E -5.15%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-23 12:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -4.02%E -1.55%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -16.18%E -5.78%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-21 22:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.44%EV -12.82%E -4.87%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.09%EV -15.10%E -6.56%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.47%EV -16.18%E -5.78%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-04-20 21:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.14% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 36.51% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 30.34% | 16.0% | 2026-04-20 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-04-23 18:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-04-23 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-04-23 19:00 |