L’École des cotes

Boulogne v USL Dunkerque

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-27 18:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Boulogne (Local)

Prévision 33.15%3.02cote équitable
EV -3.54%
Avantage -1.22%
Kelly -1.85%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.73%33.18%33.12%34.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.752.752.9138.46%36.31%36.36%34.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

USL Dunkerque (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.91%2.71cote équitable
EV -4.02%
Avantage -1.55%
Kelly -2.51%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.40%36.86%36.84%37.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.472.502.6043.48%40.42%40.00%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.94%3.34cote équitable
EV +1.78%
Avantage +0.524%
Kelly +0.743%
Croissance +0.013%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.01%29.96%30.05%32.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.053.003.4035.71%32.81%33.33%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.87%E -2.30%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV +1.78%E +0.524%K +0.743%G +0.013%5.0%2026-04-23 18:54
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.71%E -3.09%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -1.21%E -0.367%K -0.526%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 17:54
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.71%E -3.09%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -2.71%E -0.833%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 17:54
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.18%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -7.71%E -3.09%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 13:03
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -9.56%E -3.90%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 20:04
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -9.56%E -3.90%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 11:04
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -13.15%E -5.02%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.71%E -3.09%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 17:55
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -11.40%E -4.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 20:05
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -11.40%E -4.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 18:49
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -9.56%E -3.90%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -5.70%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 12:00
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -9.56%E -3.90%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -5.70%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 12:00
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -13.81%E -5.31%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -11.40%E -4.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -5.70%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-24 01:40
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.90%EV -7.71%E -3.09%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.56%EV -6.60%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 16:25
1xBet2.84I 35.21%NM 32.86%EV -5.86%E -2.06%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.03%EV -6.97%E -2.77%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 03:30
Marathon Bet2.84I 35.21%NM 32.86%EV -5.86%E -2.06%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.03%EV -6.97%E -2.77%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 03:29
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.18%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -5.87%E -2.30%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 18:45
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -9.56%E -3.90%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 09:35
Pinnacle2.91I 34.36%NM 32.59%EV -3.54%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.62%EV -4.39%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.79%EV -7.80%E -2.53%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 09:35
Betclic (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.18%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.22%EV -8.82%E -3.57%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.95%EV -8.10%E -2.64%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 18:49
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.17%EV -7.85%E -2.82%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.59%EV -6.97%E -2.77%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.23%EV -8.69%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-20 20:00
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.17%EV -7.85%E -2.82%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.59%EV -6.97%E -2.77%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.23%EV -8.69%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-20 20:00
Bovada2.83I 35.34%NM 32.66%EV -6.19%E -2.19%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.53%EV -6.61%E -2.61%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 09:20
BetUS2.83I 35.34%NM 32.66%EV -6.19%E -2.19%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.53%EV -6.61%E -2.61%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 15:10
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -7.18%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.87%E -2.30%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 21:18
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.18%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.71%E -3.09%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 16:10
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.05%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.65%EV -8.45%E -3.41%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 20:00
NetBet (FR)2.77I 36.10%NM 32.74%EV -8.18%E -2.95%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -9.56%E -3.90%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 17:35
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -12.16%E -4.59%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -7.71%E -3.09%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-21 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -11.40%E -4.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 13:04
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -11.40%E -4.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 13:04
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -11.40%E -4.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 13:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -11.40%E -4.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 13:04
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 33.73%EV -13.15%E -5.02%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.82%EV -11.40%E -4.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-20 19:13
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 33.37%EV -13.81%E -5.31%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.72%EV -15.10%E -6.56%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.92%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-20 20:05
BetOnline.ag2.88I 34.72%NM 32.25%EV -4.53%E -1.57%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.57%EV -6.24%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -10.79%E -3.62%K -5.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 11:29
LowVig.ag2.88I 34.72%NM 32.25%EV -4.53%E -1.57%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.57%EV -6.24%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -10.79%E -3.62%K -5.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 11:30
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.18%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.71%E -3.09%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.19%E -4.55%K -6.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-20 19:30
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.18%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.71%E -3.09%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.19%E -4.55%K -6.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-20 19:30
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.18%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.71%E -3.09%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.19%E -4.55%K -6.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-20 19:30
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.18%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.71%E -3.09%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.19%E -4.55%K -6.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-20 19:30
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -7.18%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -9.56%E -3.90%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -13.19%E -4.55%K -6.94%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-22 18:55
Suprabets2.71I 36.90%NM 32.69%EV -10.17%E -3.75%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.45%EV -10.30%E -4.24%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.86%EV -14.08%E -4.91%K -7.53%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 12:43
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.14%EV -9.56%E -3.90%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.07%EV -14.68%E -5.15%K -7.94%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 12:34
Tipico (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -4.02%E -1.55%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -16.18%E -5.78%K -8.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-21 22:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 32.44%EV -12.82%E -4.87%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.09%EV -15.10%E -6.56%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.47%EV -16.18%E -5.78%K -8.99%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-20 21:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 33.14%2.36I 42.37%NM 36.51%2.84I 35.21%NM 30.34%16.0%2026-04-20 20:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-04-23 18:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-04-23 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-04-23 19:00