La escuela de los momios

Boulogne v USL Dunkerque

Inicio: 2026-04-27 18:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Boulogne (Local)

Predicción 33.15%3.02momio equitativo
EV -3.54%
Ventaja -1.22%
Kelly -1.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.73%33.18%33.12%34.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.752.752.9138.46%36.31%36.36%34.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

USL Dunkerque (Visitante)

Predicción 36.91%2.71momio equitativo
EV -4.02%
Ventaja -1.55%
Kelly -2.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.40%36.86%36.84%37.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.472.502.6043.48%40.42%40.00%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.94%3.34momio equitativo
EV +1.78%
Ventaja +0.524%
Kelly +0.743%
Crecimiento +0.013%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.01%29.96%30.05%32.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.053.003.4035.71%32.81%33.33%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.87%E -2.30%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV +1.78%E +0.524%K +0.743%G +0.013%5.0%2026-04-23 18:54
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.71%E -3.09%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -1.21%E -0.367%K -0.526%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 17:54
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.71%E -3.09%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -2.71%E -0.833%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 17:54
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.18%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -7.71%E -3.09%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 13:03
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -9.56%E -3.90%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 20:04
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -9.56%E -3.90%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 11:04
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -13.15%E -5.02%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.71%E -3.09%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 17:55
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -11.40%E -4.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 20:05
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -11.40%E -4.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 18:49
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -9.56%E -3.90%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -5.70%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 12:00
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -9.56%E -3.90%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -5.70%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 12:00
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -13.81%E -5.31%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -11.40%E -4.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -5.70%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-24 01:40
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.90%EV -7.71%E -3.09%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.56%EV -6.60%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 16:25
1xBet2.84I 35.21%NM 32.86%EV -5.86%E -2.06%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.03%EV -6.97%E -2.77%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 03:30
Marathon Bet2.84I 35.21%NM 32.86%EV -5.86%E -2.06%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.03%EV -6.97%E -2.77%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 03:29
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.18%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -5.87%E -2.30%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 18:45
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -9.56%E -3.90%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -7.20%E -2.32%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 09:35
Pinnacle2.91I 34.36%NM 32.59%EV -3.54%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.62%EV -4.39%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.79%EV -7.80%E -2.53%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 09:35
Betclic (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.18%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.22%EV -8.82%E -3.57%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.95%EV -8.10%E -2.64%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 18:49
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.17%EV -7.85%E -2.82%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.59%EV -6.97%E -2.77%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.23%EV -8.69%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-20 20:00
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.17%EV -7.85%E -2.82%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.59%EV -6.97%E -2.77%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.23%EV -8.69%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-20 20:00
Bovada2.83I 35.34%NM 32.66%EV -6.19%E -2.19%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.53%EV -6.61%E -2.61%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 09:20
BetUS2.83I 35.34%NM 32.66%EV -6.19%E -2.19%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.53%EV -6.61%E -2.61%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 15:10
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -7.18%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -5.87%E -2.30%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 21:18
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.18%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.71%E -3.09%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 16:10
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.05%EV -8.84%E -3.21%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.65%EV -8.45%E -3.41%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 20:00
NetBet (FR)2.77I 36.10%NM 32.74%EV -8.18%E -2.95%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -9.56%E -3.90%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 17:35
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -12.16%E -4.59%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -7.71%E -3.09%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-21 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -11.40%E -4.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 13:04
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -11.40%E -4.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 13:04
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -11.40%E -4.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 13:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -11.40%E -4.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 13:04
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 33.73%EV -13.15%E -5.02%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.82%EV -11.40%E -4.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-20 19:13
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 33.37%EV -13.81%E -5.31%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.72%EV -15.10%E -6.56%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.92%EV -10.19%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-20 20:05
BetOnline.ag2.88I 34.72%NM 32.25%EV -4.53%E -1.57%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.57%EV -6.24%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -10.79%E -3.62%K -5.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 11:29
LowVig.ag2.88I 34.72%NM 32.25%EV -4.53%E -1.57%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.57%EV -6.24%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -10.79%E -3.62%K -5.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 11:30
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.18%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.71%E -3.09%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.19%E -4.55%K -6.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-20 19:30
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.18%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.71%E -3.09%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.19%E -4.55%K -6.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-20 19:30
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.18%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.71%E -3.09%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.19%E -4.55%K -6.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-20 19:30
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.18%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.71%E -3.09%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.19%E -4.55%K -6.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-20 19:30
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -7.18%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -9.56%E -3.90%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -13.19%E -4.55%K -6.94%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-22 18:55
Suprabets2.71I 36.90%NM 32.69%EV -10.17%E -3.75%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.45%EV -10.30%E -4.24%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.86%EV -14.08%E -4.91%K -7.53%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 12:43
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.14%EV -9.56%E -3.90%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.07%EV -14.68%E -5.15%K -7.94%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 12:34
Tipico (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -3.87%E -1.33%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -4.02%E -1.55%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -16.18%E -5.78%K -8.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-21 22:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 32.44%EV -12.82%E -4.87%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.09%EV -15.10%E -6.56%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.47%EV -16.18%E -5.78%K -8.99%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-20 21:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 33.14%2.36I 42.37%NM 36.51%2.84I 35.21%NM 30.34%16.0%2026-04-20 20:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-04-23 18:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-04-23 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-04-23 19:00