Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 4.09
assuming max odds 2.18
assuming max odds 3.28
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boulogne (Local): 24.73%; Le Mans FC (Visit): 45.53%; Draw: 29.74%. For Boulogne (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.04. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.09, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.17%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.50%EV +1.17%E +0.285%K +0.377%G +0.004% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -4.84%E -2.32%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.51%EV -6.33%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 11:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -1.06%E -0.265%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 11:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -1.06%E -0.265%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -16.68%E -9.12%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -3.36%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 12:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.79%EV -3.04%E -0.775%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.94%EV -7.58%E -3.73%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.28%EV -8.41%E -2.73%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 11:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -3.53%E -0.906%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.64%EV -8.03%E -3.98%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 11:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -3.53%E -0.906%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 11:59 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.86I 25.91%NM 23.59%EV -4.52%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.54%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -12.28%E -4.16%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 11:57 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -4.77%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.51%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.85%EV -12.28%E -4.16%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 11:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.81I 26.25%NM 24.93%EV -5.76%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.11%EV -6.21%E -3.01%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.96%EV -2.47%E -0.752%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 11:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -6.01%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -3.36%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 12:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -6.01%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -11.22%E -5.75%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -7.82%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 12:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -5.30%E -2.55%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.33%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 11:58 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -3.36%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 12:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -3.36%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 12:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 12:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -16.68%E -9.12%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -3.36%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 12:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -11.22%E -5.75%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -13.77%E -4.75%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-11 12:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.09%EV -16.68%E -9.12%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.92%EV -14.36%E -4.99%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-11 11:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -8.48%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.82%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 12:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -8.48%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.82%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 12:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -8.48%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -4.85%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 12:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -8.48%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -4.85%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 12:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.48%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 12:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.48%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 12:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.48%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 12:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -9.72%E -2.66%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.77%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.05%EV -11.98%E -4.05%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 12:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -9.72%E -2.66%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.77%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.05%EV -11.98%E -4.05%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 12:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -9.72%E -2.66%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.44%EV -11.22%E -5.75%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -6.33%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 12:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -9.72%E -2.66%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.44%EV -11.22%E -5.75%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -6.33%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 12:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.76%EV -9.72%E -2.66%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.08%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -13.77%E -4.75%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 11:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -3.36%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 11:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -4.85%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 11:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -6.33%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 11:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 44.85%EV -7.58%E -3.73%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -9.31%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 12:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.82%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 11:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -13.77%E -4.75%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-11 12:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 11:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 11:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.12%EV -9.40%E -4.72%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-11 12:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.46%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.17%EV -11.22%E -5.75%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.37%EV -13.77%E -4.75%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-11 12:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.78%EV -12.58%E -6.55%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -12.28%E -4.16%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-11 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -13.43%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.71%EV -11.22%E -5.75%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.38%EV -14.66%E -5.11%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-11 12:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -18.37%E -5.57%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.10%EV -0.746%E -0.342%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.31%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 12:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -18.37%E -5.57%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.10%EV -0.746%E -0.342%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.31%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 11:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -19.61%E -6.03%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.92%EV -0.746%E -0.342%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -9.31%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 12:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -19.61%E -6.03%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.92%EV -0.746%E -0.342%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -9.31%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 12:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -19.61%E -6.03%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.92%EV -0.746%E -0.342%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -9.31%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 12:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -19.61%E -6.03%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.92%EV -0.746%E -0.342%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -9.31%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 12:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -19.61%E -6.03%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.92%EV -0.746%E -0.342%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -9.31%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 12:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -19.61%E -6.03%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.03%EV -1.20%E -0.554%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -9.31%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 12:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -19.61%E -6.03%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -2.11%E -0.982%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -9.31%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 12:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -20.85%E -6.52%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.75%EV -1.66%E -0.767%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.06%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-11 12:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.07%EV -20.85%E -6.52%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.98%EV -2.57%E -1.20%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-11 12:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.07%EV -20.85%E -6.52%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.98%EV -2.57%E -1.20%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-11 12:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -20.85%E -6.52%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.21%EV -3.48%E -1.64%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.83%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-11 12:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -20.85%E -6.52%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.00%EV -3.48%E -1.64%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.18%EV -12.28%E -4.16%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-11 12:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.14%EV -22.09%E -7.01%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.81%EV -3.48%E -1.64%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.05%EV -12.28%E -4.16%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-11 12:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.38% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54% | 0.8% | 2026-04-11 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.38% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54% | 0.8% | 2026-04-11 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.61% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 12:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.77% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.63% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.60% | 2.1% | 2026-04-11 12:00 |