Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Boulogne v Le Mans FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 12:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Boulogne (Local)

Prévision 24.73%4.04cote équitable
EV +1.17%
Avantage +0.285%
Kelly +0.377%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 4.09

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.64%24.76%24.76%28.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.153.603.654.0931.75%27.81%27.40%24.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Le Mans FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.53%2.20cote équitable
EV -0.746%
Avantage -0.342%
Kelly -0.632%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.75%45.45%45.46%49.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.832.042.022.1854.64%49.01%49.38%45.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.74%3.36cote équitable
EV -2.47%
Avantage -0.752%
Kelly -1.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.45%29.79%29.78%31.16%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.873.053.053.2834.84%32.74%32.79%30.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Boulogne (Local) : 24.73% ; Le Mans FC (Visiteur) : 45.53% ; Match nul : 29.74%. Pour Boulogne (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.04. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.09, soit une espérance positive de +1.17%.

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯4.09I 24.45%NM 23.50%EV +1.17%E +0.285%K +0.377%G +0.004%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -4.84%E -2.32%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.51%EV -6.33%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 11:59
FanDuel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -1.06%E -0.265%K -0.354%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 11:59
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -1.06%E -0.265%K -0.354%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -16.68%E -9.12%K -20.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -3.36%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 12:00
Marathon Bet🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 23.79%EV -3.04%E -0.775%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.94%EV -7.58%E -3.73%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.28%EV -8.41%E -2.73%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 11:59
BetUS🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -3.53%E -0.906%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.64%EV -8.03%E -3.98%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 11:59
SportsBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -3.53%E -0.906%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 11:59
Suprabets🎯3.86I 25.91%NM 23.59%EV -4.52%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.54%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -12.28%E -4.16%K -6.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:57
Everygame🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -4.77%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.51%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.85%EV -12.28%E -4.16%K -6.30%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 11:59
1xBet🎯3.81I 26.25%NM 24.93%EV -5.76%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.11%EV -6.21%E -3.01%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.96%EV -2.47%E -0.752%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 11:59
DraftKings🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -6.01%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -3.36%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 12:00
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -6.01%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -11.22%E -5.75%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -7.82%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 12:00
Unibet (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -5.30%E -2.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.33%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 11:58
Bet Victor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -3.36%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 12:00
Coolbet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -3.36%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 12:00
William Hill🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 12:00
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -16.68%E -9.12%K -20.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -3.36%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 12:00
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -11.22%E -5.75%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -13.77%E -4.75%K -7.25%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-11 12:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.09%EV -16.68%E -9.12%K -20.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.92%EV -14.36%E -4.99%K -7.64%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-11 11:59
Unibet (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -8.48%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.82%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 12:00
Fanatics🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -8.48%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.82%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 12:00
Betclic (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -8.48%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -4.85%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 12:00
theScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -8.48%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -4.85%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 12:00
888sport🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.48%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 12:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.48%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 12:00
888sport (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.48%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 12:00
LowVig.ag🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -9.72%E -2.66%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.77%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.05%EV -11.98%E -4.05%K -6.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 12:00
BetOnline.ag🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -9.72%E -2.66%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.77%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.05%EV -11.98%E -4.05%K -6.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 12:00
Betsson🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -9.72%E -2.66%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.44%EV -11.22%E -5.75%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -6.33%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 12:00
NordicBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -9.72%E -2.66%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.44%EV -11.22%E -5.75%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -6.33%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 12:00
PlayUp🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.76%EV -9.72%E -2.66%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.08%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -13.77%E -4.75%K -7.25%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 11:59
Betr (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -3.36%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 11:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -4.85%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 11:59
Bet Right🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -6.33%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 11:59
Codere (IT)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 44.85%EV -7.58%E -3.73%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -9.31%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 12:00
Winamax (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.82%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 11:59
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -13.77%E -4.75%K -7.25%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 12:00
Coral🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 11:59
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 11:59
NetBet (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 45.12%EV -9.40%E -4.72%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 12:00
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.46%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.17%EV -11.22%E -5.75%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.37%EV -13.77%E -4.75%K -7.25%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-11 12:00
Winamax (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.78%EV -12.58%E -6.55%K -13.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -12.28%E -4.16%K -6.30%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-11 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -13.43%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.71%EV -11.22%E -5.75%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.38%EV -14.66%E -5.11%K -7.84%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-11 12:00
Unibet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -18.37%E -5.57%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.10%EV -0.746%E -0.342%K -0.632%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.31%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 12:00
BetRivers🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -18.37%E -5.57%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.10%EV -0.746%E -0.342%K -0.632%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.31%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 11:50
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -19.61%E -6.03%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.92%EV -0.746%E -0.342%K -0.632%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -9.31%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 12:00
Casumo🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -19.61%E -6.03%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.92%EV -0.746%E -0.342%K -0.632%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -9.31%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 12:00
Svenska Spel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -19.61%E -6.03%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.92%EV -0.746%E -0.342%K -0.632%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -9.31%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 12:00
betPARX🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -19.61%E -6.03%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.92%EV -0.746%E -0.342%K -0.632%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -9.31%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 12:00
ATG (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -19.61%E -6.03%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.92%EV -0.746%E -0.342%K -0.632%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -9.31%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 12:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -19.61%E -6.03%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.03%EV -1.20%E -0.554%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -9.31%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 12:00
PMU (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -19.61%E -6.03%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -2.11%E -0.982%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -9.31%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 12:00
TABtouch🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -20.85%E -6.52%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.75%EV -1.66%E -0.767%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.06%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 12:00
Virgin Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.07%EV -20.85%E -6.52%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.98%EV -2.57%E -1.20%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 12:00
Grosvenor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.07%EV -20.85%E -6.52%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.98%EV -2.57%E -1.20%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 12:00
LeoVegas🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -20.85%E -6.52%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.21%EV -3.48%E -1.64%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.83%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 12:00
LiveScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -20.85%E -6.52%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.00%EV -3.48%E -1.64%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.18%EV -12.28%E -4.16%K -6.30%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.14%EV -22.09%E -7.01%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.81%EV -3.48%E -1.64%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.05%EV -12.28%E -4.16%K -6.30%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-11 12:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.38%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%0.8%2026-04-11 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.38%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%0.8%2026-04-11 12:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.61%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-04-11 12:00
Matchbook4.30I 23.26%NM 22.77%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.63%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.60%2.1%2026-04-11 12:00