La escuela de los momios

Boulogne v Le Mans FC

Inicio: 2026-04-11 12:02 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Boulogne (Local)

Predicción 24.73%4.04momio equitativo
EV +1.17%
Ventaja +0.285%
Kelly +0.377%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.09

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.64%24.76%24.76%28.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.603.654.0931.75%27.81%27.40%24.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Le Mans FC (Visitante)

Predicción 45.53%2.20momio equitativo
EV -0.746%
Ventaja -0.342%
Kelly -0.632%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.18

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.75%45.45%45.46%49.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.832.042.022.1854.64%49.01%49.38%45.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.74%3.36momio equitativo
EV -2.47%
Ventaja -0.752%
Kelly -1.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.45%29.79%29.78%31.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.873.053.053.2834.84%32.74%32.79%30.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle4.09I 24.45%NM 23.50%EV +1.17%E +0.285%K +0.377%G +0.004%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -4.84%E -2.32%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.51%EV -6.33%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 11:59
FanDuel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -1.06%E -0.265%K -0.354%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 11:59
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -1.06%E -0.265%K -0.354%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -16.68%E -9.12%K -20.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -3.36%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 12:00
Marathon Bet3.92I 25.51%NM 23.79%EV -3.04%E -0.775%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.94%EV -7.58%E -3.73%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.28%EV -8.41%E -2.73%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 11:59
BetUS3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -3.53%E -0.906%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.64%EV -8.03%E -3.98%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 11:59
SportsBet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -3.53%E -0.906%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 11:59
Suprabets3.86I 25.91%NM 23.59%EV -4.52%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.54%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -12.28%E -4.16%K -6.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:57
Everygame3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -4.77%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.51%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.85%EV -12.28%E -4.16%K -6.30%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 11:59
1xBet3.81I 26.25%NM 24.93%EV -5.76%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.11%EV -6.21%E -3.01%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.96%EV -2.47%E -0.752%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 11:59
DraftKings3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -6.01%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -3.36%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 12:00
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -6.01%E -1.58%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -11.22%E -5.75%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -7.82%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 12:00
Unibet (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -5.30%E -2.55%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.33%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 11:58
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -3.36%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 12:00
Coolbet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -3.36%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 12:00
William Hill3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 12:00
Sky Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -16.68%E -9.12%K -20.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -3.36%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 12:00
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -11.22%E -5.75%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -13.77%E -4.75%K -7.25%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-11 12:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.09%EV -16.68%E -9.12%K -20.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.92%EV -14.36%E -4.99%K -7.64%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-11 11:59
Unibet (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -8.48%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.82%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 12:00
Fanatics3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -8.48%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.82%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 12:00
Betclic (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -8.48%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -4.85%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 12:00
theScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -8.48%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -4.85%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 12:00
888sport3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.48%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 12:00
Mr Green (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.48%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 12:00
888sport (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.48%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 12:00
LowVig.ag3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -9.72%E -2.66%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.77%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.05%EV -11.98%E -4.05%K -6.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 12:00
BetOnline.ag3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -9.72%E -2.66%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.77%EV -4.39%E -2.09%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.05%EV -11.98%E -4.05%K -6.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 12:00
Betsson3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -9.72%E -2.66%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.44%EV -11.22%E -5.75%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -6.33%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 12:00
NordicBet3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -9.72%E -2.66%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.44%EV -11.22%E -5.75%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -6.33%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 12:00
PlayUp3.65I 27.40%NM 24.76%EV -9.72%E -2.66%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.08%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -13.77%E -4.75%K -7.25%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 11:59
Betr (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -3.36%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 11:59
PointsBet (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -4.85%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 11:59
Bet Right3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -6.33%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 11:59
Codere (IT)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 44.85%EV -7.58%E -3.73%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -9.31%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 12:00
Winamax (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.82%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 11:59
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -6.66%E -3.25%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -13.77%E -4.75%K -7.25%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 12:00
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 11:59
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.94%E -4.47%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 11:59
NetBet (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 45.12%EV -9.40%E -4.72%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 12:00
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 24.46%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.17%EV -11.22%E -5.75%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.37%EV -13.77%E -4.75%K -7.25%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-11 12:00
Winamax (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.78%EV -12.58%E -6.55%K -13.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -12.28%E -4.16%K -6.30%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-11 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -13.43%E -3.84%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.71%EV -11.22%E -5.75%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.38%EV -14.66%E -5.11%K -7.84%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-11 12:00
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -18.37%E -5.57%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.10%EV -0.746%E -0.342%K -0.632%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.31%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 12:00
BetRivers3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -18.37%E -5.57%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.10%EV -0.746%E -0.342%K -0.632%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.31%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 11:50
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -19.61%E -6.03%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.92%EV -0.746%E -0.342%K -0.632%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -9.31%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 12:00
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -19.61%E -6.03%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.92%EV -0.746%E -0.342%K -0.632%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -9.31%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 12:00
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -19.61%E -6.03%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.92%EV -0.746%E -0.342%K -0.632%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -9.31%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 12:00
betPARX3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -19.61%E -6.03%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.92%EV -0.746%E -0.342%K -0.632%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -9.31%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 12:00
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -19.61%E -6.03%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.92%EV -0.746%E -0.342%K -0.632%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -9.31%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 12:00
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -19.61%E -6.03%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.03%EV -1.20%E -0.554%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -9.31%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 12:00
PMU (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -19.61%E -6.03%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -2.11%E -0.982%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -9.31%E -3.05%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 12:00
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -20.85%E -6.52%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.75%EV -1.66%E -0.767%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.06%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 12:00
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.07%EV -20.85%E -6.52%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.98%EV -2.57%E -1.20%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 12:00
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.07%EV -20.85%E -6.52%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.98%EV -2.57%E -1.20%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 12:00
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -20.85%E -6.52%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.21%EV -3.48%E -1.64%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.83%EV -10.79%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 12:00
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -20.85%E -6.52%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.00%EV -3.48%E -1.64%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.18%EV -12.28%E -4.16%K -6.30%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.14%EV -22.09%E -7.01%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.81%EV -3.48%E -1.64%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.05%EV -12.28%E -4.16%K -6.30%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-11 12:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.38%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%0.8%2026-04-11 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.38%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%0.8%2026-04-11 12:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.61%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-04-11 12:00
Matchbook4.30I 23.26%NM 22.77%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.63%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.60%2.1%2026-04-11 12:00