Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Annecy FC v Montpellier

Kickoff: 2026-04-10 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Annecy FC (Local)

Prediction 35.40%2.82fair odd
EV -3.01%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.08%35.43%35.40%37.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.562.552.7440.82%38.99%39.22%36.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Montpellier (Visit)

Prediction 34.72%2.88fair odd
EV -2.78%
Edge -0.994%
Kelly -1.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.82%34.67%34.75%35.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.682.652.8041.67%37.37%37.74%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.88%3.35fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.423%
Kelly -0.607%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.69%29.90%29.85%31.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.053.053.3035.71%32.79%32.79%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Annecy FC (Local): 35.40%; Montpellier (Visit): 34.72%; Draw: 29.88%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.35. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.30, with an expected value of -1.40%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.12%EV -3.01%E -1.10%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.62%EV -3.48%E -1.25%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -4.98%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 17:45
1xBet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.06%EV -4.07%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.06%EV -5.91%E -2.18%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.88%EV -4.98%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 17:55
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -10.36%E -3.45%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 17:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.82%EV -5.13%E -1.91%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.08%EV -7.64%E -2.87%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -7.37%E -2.38%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 17:55
BetUS🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.38%EV -5.13%E -1.91%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 34.90%EV -8.34%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.36%E -3.45%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 17:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 34.39%EV -5.84%E -2.19%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.91%EV -9.03%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.70%EV -10.96%E -3.68%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 34.39%EV -5.84%E -2.19%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.91%EV -9.03%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.70%EV -10.96%E -3.68%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 17:55
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -6.19%E -2.34%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.25%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -1.40%E -0.423%K -0.607%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 17:50
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.65%EV -6.19%E -2.34%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.36%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -5.88%E -1.87%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 17:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -6.19%E -2.34%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -6.25%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -5.88%E -1.87%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 17:39
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -6.19%E -2.34%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -6.25%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -10.36%E -3.45%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 17:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -6.19%E -2.34%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -7.99%E -3.02%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.36%E -3.45%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 17:35
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -6.19%E -2.34%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -13.35%E -4.60%K -7.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-10 17:55
Suprabets🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 34.46%EV -6.55%E -2.48%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 35.12%EV -10.07%E -3.89%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 30.42%EV -10.66%E -3.56%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-10 17:53
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.43%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.63%EV -6.95%E -2.59%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.37%E -2.38%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 17:35
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.43%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.63%EV -6.95%E -2.59%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.37%E -2.38%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 17:35
SportsBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.03%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.36%E -3.45%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-10 17:35
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -9.03%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -13.35%E -4.60%K -7.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-10 17:45
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -9.03%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -13.35%E -4.60%K -7.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-10 17:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -9.03%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -13.35%E -4.60%K -7.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-10 17:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -9.03%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -13.35%E -4.60%K -7.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-10 17:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -7.99%E -3.02%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -2.89%E -0.889%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 17:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -7.99%E -3.02%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.37%E -2.38%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 17:39
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -7.99%E -3.02%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.37%E -2.38%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 17:34
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -7.99%E -3.02%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.37%E -2.38%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 17:50
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -9.03%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -7.37%E -2.38%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 17:54
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -9.03%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -10.36%E -3.45%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-10 17:34
Betclic (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 35.97%EV -9.02%E -3.51%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.49%EV -6.95%E -2.59%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.54%EV -6.47%E -2.07%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-10 17:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -9.73%E -3.82%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -7.99%E -3.02%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -4.38%E -1.37%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-10 17:50
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -9.73%E -3.82%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -4.38%E -1.37%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 17:50
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -9.73%E -3.82%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -4.38%E -1.37%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 17:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -9.73%E -3.82%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.82%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.68%EV -8.87%E -2.91%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-10 17:39
NetBet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.42%EV -9.73%E -3.82%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.47%EV -9.03%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.36%E -3.45%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-10 17:45
Everygame🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.36%E -3.45%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-10 12:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -5.88%E -1.87%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-10 17:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -5.88%E -1.87%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-10 17:39
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.36%E -3.45%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-10 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.36%E -3.45%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-10 17:55
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.36%E -3.45%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-10 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.36%E -3.45%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-10 17:50
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -13.35%E -4.60%K -7.02%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-10 17:35
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -13.20%E -5.28%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -10.36%E -3.45%K -5.18%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-10 17:33
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.08%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.50%EV -16.67%E -6.95%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.43%EV -16.34%E -5.83%K -9.08%G +0.000%17.4%2026-04-10 17:35
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -12.21%E -4.92%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -8.87%E -2.91%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 05:10
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -12.21%E -4.92%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -8.87%E -2.91%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 05:10
Casumo🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -12.21%E -4.92%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -8.87%E -2.91%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 05:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -12.21%E -4.92%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -8.87%E -2.91%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 05:10
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -12.21%E -4.92%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -8.87%E -2.91%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 05:10
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -12.21%E -4.92%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -8.87%E -2.91%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 05:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -12.21%E -4.92%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -8.87%E -2.91%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 05:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -12.21%E -4.92%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -8.87%E -2.91%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 05:10
LeoVegas🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -12.21%E -4.92%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -8.87%E -2.91%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 05:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -12.21%E -4.92%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -8.87%E -2.91%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 05:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -12.21%E -4.92%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -8.87%E -2.91%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 05:10
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -12.21%E -4.92%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -8.87%E -2.91%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 05:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -13.27%E -5.42%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -8.87%E -2.91%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-10 05:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -13.27%E -5.42%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -8.87%E -2.91%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-10 05:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -13.27%E -5.42%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -8.87%E -2.91%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-10 05:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.64%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-04-10 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.64%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.88%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%0.9%2026-04-10 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.80%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.80%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-04-10 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.47%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.72%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81%1.4%2026-04-10 17:55
Smarkets2.82I 35.46%NM 34.71%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.71%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%2.2%2026-04-10 17:55