L’École des cotes

Annecy FC v Montpellier

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-10 18:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Annecy FC (Local)

Prévision 35.40%2.82cote équitable
EV -3.01%
Avantage -1.10%
Kelly -1.73%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.08%35.43%35.40%37.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.562.552.7440.82%38.99%39.22%36.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Montpellier (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.72%2.88cote équitable
EV -2.78%
Avantage -0.994%
Kelly -1.55%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.82%34.67%34.75%35.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.682.652.8041.67%37.37%37.74%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.88%3.35cote équitable
EV -1.40%
Avantage -0.423%
Kelly -0.607%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.69%29.90%29.85%31.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.053.053.3035.71%32.79%32.79%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.74I 36.50%NM 35.12%EV -3.01%E -1.10%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.62%EV -3.48%E -1.25%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -4.98%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 17:45
1xBet2.71I 36.90%NM 35.06%EV -4.07%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.06%EV -5.91%E -2.18%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.88%EV -4.98%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 17:55
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -10.36%E -3.45%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 17:50
Marathon Bet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.82%EV -5.13%E -1.91%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.08%EV -7.64%E -2.87%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -7.37%E -2.38%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 17:55
BetUS2.68I 37.31%NM 34.38%EV -5.13%E -1.91%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 34.90%EV -8.34%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.36%E -3.45%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 17:55
LowVig.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 34.39%EV -5.84%E -2.19%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.91%EV -9.03%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.70%EV -10.96%E -3.68%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 17:55
BetOnline.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 34.39%EV -5.84%E -2.19%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.91%EV -9.03%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.70%EV -10.96%E -3.68%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 17:55
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -6.19%E -2.34%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.25%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -1.40%E -0.423%K -0.607%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 17:50
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.65%EV -6.19%E -2.34%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.36%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -5.88%E -1.87%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 17:35
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -6.19%E -2.34%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -6.25%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -5.88%E -1.87%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 17:39
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -6.19%E -2.34%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -6.25%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -10.36%E -3.45%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 17:35
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -6.19%E -2.34%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -7.99%E -3.02%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.36%E -3.45%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 17:35
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -6.19%E -2.34%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -13.35%E -4.60%K -7.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-10 17:55
Suprabets2.64I 37.88%NM 34.46%EV -6.55%E -2.48%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 35.12%EV -10.07%E -3.89%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 30.42%EV -10.66%E -3.56%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-10 17:53
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.43%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.63%EV -6.95%E -2.59%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.37%E -2.38%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 17:35
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.43%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.63%EV -6.95%E -2.59%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.37%E -2.38%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 17:35
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.03%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.36%E -3.45%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-10 17:35
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -9.03%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -13.35%E -4.60%K -7.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-10 17:45
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -9.03%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -13.35%E -4.60%K -7.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-10 17:50
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -9.03%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -13.35%E -4.60%K -7.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-10 17:45
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -9.03%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -13.35%E -4.60%K -7.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-10 17:45
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -7.99%E -3.02%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -2.89%E -0.889%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 17:50
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -7.99%E -3.02%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.37%E -2.38%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 17:39
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -7.99%E -3.02%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.37%E -2.38%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 17:34
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -7.99%E -3.02%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.37%E -2.38%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 17:50
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -9.03%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -7.37%E -2.38%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 17:54
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -9.03%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -10.36%E -3.45%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-10 17:34
Betclic (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 35.97%EV -9.02%E -3.51%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.49%EV -6.95%E -2.59%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.54%EV -6.47%E -2.07%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-10 17:39
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -9.73%E -3.82%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -7.99%E -3.02%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -4.38%E -1.37%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-10 17:50
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -9.73%E -3.82%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -4.38%E -1.37%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 17:50
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -9.73%E -3.82%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -4.38%E -1.37%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 17:50
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -9.73%E -3.82%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.82%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.68%EV -8.87%E -2.91%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-10 17:39
NetBet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.42%EV -9.73%E -3.82%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.47%EV -9.03%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.36%E -3.45%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-10 17:45
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.36%E -3.45%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-10 12:34
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -5.88%E -1.87%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-10 17:39
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -5.88%E -1.87%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-10 17:39
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.36%E -3.45%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-10 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.36%E -3.45%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-10 17:55
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.36%E -3.45%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-10 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.36%E -3.45%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-10 17:50
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -13.35%E -4.60%K -7.02%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-10 17:35
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -13.20%E -5.28%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -10.36%E -3.45%K -5.18%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-10 17:33
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.08%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.50%EV -16.67%E -6.95%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.43%EV -16.34%E -5.83%K -9.08%G +0.000%17.4%2026-04-10 17:35
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -12.21%E -4.92%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -8.87%E -2.91%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 05:10
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -12.21%E -4.92%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -8.87%E -2.91%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 05:10
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -12.21%E -4.92%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -8.87%E -2.91%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 05:10
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -12.21%E -4.92%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -8.87%E -2.91%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 05:10
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -12.21%E -4.92%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -8.87%E -2.91%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 05:10
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -12.21%E -4.92%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -8.87%E -2.91%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 05:10
PMU (FR)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -12.21%E -4.92%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -8.87%E -2.91%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 05:10
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -12.21%E -4.92%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -8.87%E -2.91%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 05:10
LeoVegas2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -12.21%E -4.92%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -8.87%E -2.91%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 05:10
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -12.21%E -4.92%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -8.87%E -2.91%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 05:09
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -12.21%E -4.92%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -8.87%E -2.91%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 05:10
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -12.21%E -4.92%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -8.87%E -2.91%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 05:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -13.27%E -5.42%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -8.87%E -2.91%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-10 05:10
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -13.27%E -5.42%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -8.87%E -2.91%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-10 05:10
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -13.27%E -5.42%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -8.87%E -2.91%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-10 05:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.64%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-04-10 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.64%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.88%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%0.9%2026-04-10 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.80%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.80%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-04-10 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.47%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.72%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81%1.4%2026-04-10 17:55
Smarkets2.82I 35.46%NM 34.71%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.71%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%2.2%2026-04-10 17:55