La escuela de los momios

Annecy FC v Montpellier

Inicio: 2026-04-10 18:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Annecy FC (Local)

Predicción 35.40%2.82momio equitativo
EV -3.01%
Ventaja -1.10%
Kelly -1.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.74

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.08%35.43%35.40%37.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.562.552.7440.82%38.99%39.22%36.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Montpellier (Visitante)

Predicción 34.72%2.88momio equitativo
EV -2.78%
Ventaja -0.994%
Kelly -1.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.82%34.67%34.75%35.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.682.652.8041.67%37.37%37.74%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.88%3.35momio equitativo
EV -1.40%
Ventaja -0.423%
Kelly -0.607%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.69%29.90%29.85%31.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.053.053.3035.71%32.79%32.79%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.74I 36.50%NM 35.12%EV -3.01%E -1.10%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.62%EV -3.48%E -1.25%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -4.98%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 17:45
1xBet2.71I 36.90%NM 35.06%EV -4.07%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.06%EV -5.91%E -2.18%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.88%EV -4.98%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 17:55
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -10.36%E -3.45%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 17:50
Marathon Bet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.82%EV -5.13%E -1.91%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.08%EV -7.64%E -2.87%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -7.37%E -2.38%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 17:55
BetUS2.68I 37.31%NM 34.38%EV -5.13%E -1.91%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 34.90%EV -8.34%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.36%E -3.45%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 17:55
LowVig.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 34.39%EV -5.84%E -2.19%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.91%EV -9.03%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.70%EV -10.96%E -3.68%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 17:55
BetOnline.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 34.39%EV -5.84%E -2.19%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.91%EV -9.03%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.70%EV -10.96%E -3.68%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 17:55
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -6.19%E -2.34%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.25%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -1.40%E -0.423%K -0.607%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 17:50
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.65%EV -6.19%E -2.34%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.36%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -5.88%E -1.87%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 17:35
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -6.19%E -2.34%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -6.25%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -5.88%E -1.87%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 17:39
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -6.19%E -2.34%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -6.25%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -10.36%E -3.45%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 17:35
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -6.19%E -2.34%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -7.99%E -3.02%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.36%E -3.45%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 17:35
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -6.19%E -2.34%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -13.35%E -4.60%K -7.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-10 17:55
Suprabets2.64I 37.88%NM 34.46%EV -6.55%E -2.48%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 35.12%EV -10.07%E -3.89%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 30.42%EV -10.66%E -3.56%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-10 17:53
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.43%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.63%EV -6.95%E -2.59%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.37%E -2.38%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 17:35
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.43%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.63%EV -6.95%E -2.59%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.37%E -2.38%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 17:35
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.03%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.36%E -3.45%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-10 17:35
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -9.03%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -13.35%E -4.60%K -7.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-10 17:45
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -9.03%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -13.35%E -4.60%K -7.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-10 17:50
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -9.03%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -13.35%E -4.60%K -7.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-10 17:45
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -9.03%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -13.35%E -4.60%K -7.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-10 17:45
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -7.99%E -3.02%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -2.89%E -0.889%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 17:50
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -7.99%E -3.02%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.37%E -2.38%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 17:39
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -7.99%E -3.02%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.37%E -2.38%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 17:34
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -7.99%E -3.02%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.37%E -2.38%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 17:50
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -9.03%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -7.37%E -2.38%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 17:54
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -9.03%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -10.36%E -3.45%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-10 17:34
Betclic (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 35.97%EV -9.02%E -3.51%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.49%EV -6.95%E -2.59%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.54%EV -6.47%E -2.07%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-10 17:39
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -9.73%E -3.82%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -7.99%E -3.02%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -4.38%E -1.37%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-10 17:50
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -9.73%E -3.82%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -4.38%E -1.37%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 17:50
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -9.73%E -3.82%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -4.38%E -1.37%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 17:50
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -9.73%E -3.82%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.82%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.68%EV -8.87%E -2.91%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-10 17:39
NetBet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.42%EV -9.73%E -3.82%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.47%EV -9.03%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.36%E -3.45%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-10 17:45
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.36%E -3.45%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-10 12:34
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -5.88%E -1.87%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-10 17:39
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -5.88%E -1.87%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-10 17:39
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.36%E -3.45%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-10 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.36%E -3.45%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-10 17:55
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.36%E -3.45%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-10 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.36%E -3.45%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-10 17:50
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -13.35%E -4.60%K -7.02%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-10 17:35
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -13.20%E -5.28%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -10.36%E -3.45%K -5.18%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-10 17:33
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.08%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.50%EV -16.67%E -6.95%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.43%EV -16.34%E -5.83%K -9.08%G +0.000%17.4%2026-04-10 17:35
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -12.21%E -4.92%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -8.87%E -2.91%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 05:10
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -12.21%E -4.92%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -8.87%E -2.91%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 05:10
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -12.21%E -4.92%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -8.87%E -2.91%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 05:10
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -12.21%E -4.92%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -8.87%E -2.91%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 05:10
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -12.21%E -4.92%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -8.87%E -2.91%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 05:10
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -12.21%E -4.92%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -8.87%E -2.91%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 05:10
PMU (FR)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -12.21%E -4.92%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -8.87%E -2.91%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 05:10
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -12.21%E -4.92%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -8.87%E -2.91%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 05:10
LeoVegas2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -12.21%E -4.92%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -8.87%E -2.91%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 05:10
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -12.21%E -4.92%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -8.87%E -2.91%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 05:09
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -12.21%E -4.92%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -8.87%E -2.91%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 05:10
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -12.21%E -4.92%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -2.78%E -0.994%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13%EV -8.87%E -2.91%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 05:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -13.27%E -5.42%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -8.87%E -2.91%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-10 05:10
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -13.27%E -5.42%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -8.87%E -2.91%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-10 05:10
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -13.27%E -5.42%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -8.87%E -2.91%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-10 05:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.64%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-04-10 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.64%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.88%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%0.9%2026-04-10 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.80%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.80%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-04-10 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.47%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.72%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81%1.4%2026-04-10 17:55
Smarkets2.82I 35.46%NM 34.71%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.71%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%2.2%2026-04-10 17:55