La scuola delle quote

Toulouse v Lyon

2026-08-22 18:45 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Testa a testa

59 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Toulouse (Casa)

Previsione 27.99%3.57quota equa
EV +0.213%
Vantaggio +0.059%
Kelly +0.082%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.58

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.67%28.07%27.93%29.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.053.333.353.5832.79%30.01%29.85%27.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Lyon (Trasferta)

Previsione 46.27%2.16quota equa
EV -3.29%
Vantaggio -1.57%
Kelly -3.02%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.09

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.98%46.29%46.22%47.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.922.012.002.0952.08%49.76%50.00%47.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.73%3.89quota equa
EV -0.155%
Vantaggio -0.040%
Kelly -0.054%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.88

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.39%25.64%25.84%26.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.623.603.8830.30%27.60%27.78%25.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet3.58I 27.93%NM 27.51%EV +0.213%E +0.059%K +0.082%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 47.12%EV -3.29%E -1.57%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 25.38%EV -0.155%E -0.040%K -0.054%G +0.000%1.6%2026-07-08 09:14
Marathon Bet3.52I 28.41%NM 27.55%EV -1.47%E -0.417%K -0.582%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.07%EV -4.67%E -2.27%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.38%EV -1.70%E -0.445%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-09 16:35
Coolbet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.65%EV -2.03%E -0.579%K -0.811%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.21%EV -5.14%E -2.51%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.14%EV -0.927%E -0.241%K -0.325%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-21 00:45
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -2.03%E -0.579%K -0.811%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -8.84%E -4.49%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 14:45
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -5.14%E -2.51%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -3.50%E -0.933%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-24 15:34
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.04%EV -6.53%E -3.23%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -2.21%E -0.582%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 00:45
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -3.75%E -1.80%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 08:25
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -2.21%E -0.582%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-21 00:45
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.14%E -2.51%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 00:33
Neds3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.14%E -2.51%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 00:34
Ladbrokes (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.14%E -2.51%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 00:35
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.14%E -2.51%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 00:33
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.14%E -2.51%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 00:34
Caesars3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.14%E -2.51%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 03:52
betfred_uk3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -3.50%E -0.933%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-21 00:44
Bally Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 16:34
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 16:34
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 16:45
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 16:45
Grosvenor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 17:00
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 16:59
Unibet (NL)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 17:04
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 17:04
TABtouch3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 17:05
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 17:14
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 19:59
ATG (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 22:49
PMU (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-16 12:55
Pinnacle3.39I 29.50%NM 28.06%EV -5.11%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.85%EV -6.06%E -2.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.09%EV -2.47%E -0.652%K -0.886%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 19:05
NordicBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%EV -3.75%E -1.80%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -4.79%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 23:54
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%EV -3.75%E -1.80%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -4.79%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 23:55
LowVig.ag3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.67%E -2.27%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -3.50%E -0.933%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 15:19
BetOnline.ag3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.67%E -2.27%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -3.50%E -0.933%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 15:19
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -5.14%E -2.51%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.50%E -0.933%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-21 00:45
TAB3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.14%E -2.51%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -4.79%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 08:40
Sky Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -3.50%E -0.933%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 00:45
DraftKings3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -4.79%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-06 17:40
Bet Right3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -4.79%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-23 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -9.77%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -2.21%E -0.582%K -0.791%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 00:45
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -9.77%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -3.50%E -0.933%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-21 00:42
Bet Victor3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-14 17:13
betano_uk3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-14 17:13
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 19:50
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 19:50
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 19:50
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 19:49
Suprabets3.26I 30.67%NM 28.15%EV -8.74%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.58%EV -8.84%E -4.49%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.28%EV -6.59%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 01:26
Unibet (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-17 08:25
Everygame3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.85%EV -9.77%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -6.07%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-13 12:14
Betclic (FR)3.23I 30.96%NM 27.66%EV -9.58%E -2.97%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.06%EV -10.23%E -5.27%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-23 18:50
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-22 12:14
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.77%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-09 16:45
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.77%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-09 16:45
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 08:40
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -3.50%E -0.933%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-16 19:20
Winamax (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-20 11:05
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.77%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-25 19:40
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.14%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.43%EV -11.15%E -5.81%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -15.08%E -4.57%K -6.56%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-17 08:25
Winamax (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -14.62%E -4.79%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.06%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-20 11:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.34%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.45%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.21%4.5%2026-07-25 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.34%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.45%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.21%4.5%2026-07-25 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.34%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.45%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.21%4.5%2026-07-25 23:25
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.34%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%5.8%2026-07-25 23:30