L’École des cotes

Toulouse v Lyon

2026-08-22 18:45 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Toulouse (Local)

Prévision 27.99%3.57cote équitable
EV +0.213%
Avantage +0.059%
Kelly +0.082%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.67%28.07%27.93%29.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.053.333.353.5832.79%30.01%29.85%27.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Lyon (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.27%2.16cote équitable
EV -3.29%
Avantage -1.57%
Kelly -3.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.09

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.98%46.29%46.22%47.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.922.012.002.0952.08%49.76%50.00%47.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.73%3.89cote équitable
EV -0.155%
Avantage -0.040%
Kelly -0.054%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.39%25.64%25.84%26.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.623.603.8830.30%27.60%27.78%25.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet3.58I 27.93%NM 27.51%EV +0.213%E +0.059%K +0.082%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 47.12%EV -3.29%E -1.57%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 25.38%EV -0.155%E -0.040%K -0.054%G +0.000%1.6%2026-07-08 09:14
Marathon Bet3.52I 28.41%NM 27.55%EV -1.47%E -0.417%K -0.582%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.07%EV -4.67%E -2.27%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.38%EV -1.70%E -0.445%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-09 16:35
Coolbet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.65%EV -2.03%E -0.579%K -0.811%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.21%EV -5.14%E -2.51%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.14%EV -0.927%E -0.241%K -0.325%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-21 00:45
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -2.03%E -0.579%K -0.811%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -8.84%E -4.49%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 14:45
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -5.14%E -2.51%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -3.50%E -0.933%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-24 15:34
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.04%EV -6.53%E -3.23%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -2.21%E -0.582%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 00:45
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -3.75%E -1.80%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 08:25
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -2.21%E -0.582%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-21 00:45
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.14%E -2.51%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 00:33
Neds3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.14%E -2.51%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 00:34
Ladbrokes (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.14%E -2.51%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 00:35
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.14%E -2.51%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 00:33
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.14%E -2.51%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 00:34
Caesars3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.14%E -2.51%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 03:52
betfred_uk3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -3.50%E -0.933%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-21 00:44
Bally Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 16:34
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 16:34
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 16:45
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 16:45
Grosvenor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 17:00
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 16:59
Unibet (NL)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 17:04
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 17:04
TABtouch3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 17:05
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 17:14
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 19:59
ATG (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 22:49
PMU (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-16 12:55
Pinnacle3.39I 29.50%NM 28.06%EV -5.11%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.85%EV -6.06%E -2.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.09%EV -2.47%E -0.652%K -0.886%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 19:05
NordicBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%EV -3.75%E -1.80%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -4.79%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 23:54
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%EV -3.75%E -1.80%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -4.79%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 23:55
LowVig.ag3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.67%E -2.27%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -3.50%E -0.933%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 15:19
BetOnline.ag3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.67%E -2.27%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -3.50%E -0.933%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 15:19
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -5.14%E -2.51%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.50%E -0.933%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-21 00:45
TAB3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.14%E -2.51%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -4.79%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 17:50
Sky Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -3.50%E -0.933%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 00:45
DraftKings3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -4.79%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-06 17:40
Bet Right3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -4.79%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-23 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -9.77%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -2.21%E -0.582%K -0.791%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 00:45
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -9.77%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -3.50%E -0.933%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-21 00:42
Bet Victor3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-14 17:13
betano_uk3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-14 17:13
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 19:50
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 19:50
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 19:50
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 19:49
Suprabets3.26I 30.67%NM 28.15%EV -8.74%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.58%EV -8.84%E -4.49%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.28%EV -6.59%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 01:26
Unibet (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-17 08:25
Everygame3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.85%EV -9.77%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -6.07%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-13 12:14
Betclic (FR)3.23I 30.96%NM 27.66%EV -9.58%E -2.97%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.06%EV -10.23%E -5.27%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-23 18:50
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-22 12:14
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.77%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-09 16:45
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.77%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-09 16:45
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 17:50
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -3.50%E -0.933%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-16 19:20
Winamax (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-20 11:05
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.77%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-25 19:40
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.14%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.43%EV -11.15%E -5.81%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -15.08%E -4.57%K -6.56%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-17 08:25
Winamax (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -14.62%E -4.79%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.06%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-20 11:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.34%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.45%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.21%4.5%2026-07-25 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.34%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.45%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.21%4.5%2026-07-25 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.34%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.45%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.21%4.5%2026-07-25 23:25
Smarkets3.50I 28.57%NM 27.34%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.45%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.21%4.5%2026-07-26 17:25