La escuela de los momios

Toulouse v Lyon

2026-08-22 18:45 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Toulouse (Local)

Predicción 27.99%3.57momio equitativo
EV +0.213%
Ventaja +0.059%
Kelly +0.082%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.67%28.07%27.93%29.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.053.333.353.5832.79%30.01%29.85%27.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Lyon (Visitante)

Predicción 46.27%2.16momio equitativo
EV -3.29%
Ventaja -1.57%
Kelly -3.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.09

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.98%46.29%46.22%47.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.922.012.002.0952.08%49.76%50.00%47.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.73%3.89momio equitativo
EV -0.155%
Ventaja -0.040%
Kelly -0.054%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.39%25.64%25.84%26.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.623.603.8830.30%27.60%27.78%25.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet3.58I 27.93%NM 27.51%EV +0.213%E +0.059%K +0.082%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 47.12%EV -3.29%E -1.57%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 25.38%EV -0.155%E -0.040%K -0.054%G +0.000%1.6%2026-07-08 09:14
Marathon Bet3.52I 28.41%NM 27.55%EV -1.47%E -0.417%K -0.582%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.07%EV -4.67%E -2.27%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.38%EV -1.70%E -0.445%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-09 16:35
Coolbet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.65%EV -2.03%E -0.579%K -0.811%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.21%EV -5.14%E -2.51%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.14%EV -0.927%E -0.241%K -0.325%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-21 00:45
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -2.03%E -0.579%K -0.811%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -8.84%E -4.49%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 14:45
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -5.14%E -2.51%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -3.50%E -0.933%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-24 15:34
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.04%EV -6.53%E -3.23%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -2.21%E -0.582%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 00:45
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -3.75%E -1.80%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 08:25
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -2.21%E -0.582%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-21 00:45
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.14%E -2.51%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 00:33
Neds3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.14%E -2.51%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 00:34
Ladbrokes (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.14%E -2.51%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 00:35
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.14%E -2.51%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 00:33
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.14%E -2.51%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 00:34
Caesars3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.14%E -2.51%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 03:52
betfred_uk3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -3.50%E -0.933%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-21 00:44
Bally Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 16:34
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 16:34
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 16:45
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 16:45
Grosvenor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 17:00
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 16:59
Unibet (NL)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 17:04
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 17:04
TABtouch3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 17:05
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 17:14
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 19:59
ATG (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-09 22:49
PMU (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-16 12:55
Pinnacle3.39I 29.50%NM 28.06%EV -5.11%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.85%EV -6.06%E -2.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.09%EV -2.47%E -0.652%K -0.886%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 19:05
NordicBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%EV -3.75%E -1.80%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -4.79%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 23:54
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%EV -3.75%E -1.80%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -4.79%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 23:55
LowVig.ag3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.67%E -2.27%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -3.50%E -0.933%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 15:19
BetOnline.ag3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.67%E -2.27%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -3.50%E -0.933%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 15:19
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -5.14%E -2.51%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.50%E -0.933%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-21 00:45
TAB3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.14%E -2.51%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -4.79%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 17:50
Sky Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -3.50%E -0.933%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 00:45
DraftKings3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -4.79%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-06 17:40
Bet Right3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -4.79%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-23 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -9.77%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -2.21%E -0.582%K -0.791%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 00:45
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -9.77%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -3.50%E -0.933%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-21 00:42
Bet Victor3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-14 17:13
betano_uk3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-14 17:13
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 19:50
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 19:50
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 19:50
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 19:49
Suprabets3.26I 30.67%NM 28.15%EV -8.74%E -2.68%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.58%EV -8.84%E -4.49%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.28%EV -6.59%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 01:26
Unibet (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-17 08:25
Everygame3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.85%EV -9.77%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -6.07%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-13 12:14
Betclic (FR)3.23I 30.96%NM 27.66%EV -9.58%E -2.97%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.06%EV -10.23%E -5.27%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-23 18:50
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.93%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-22 12:14
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.77%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-09 16:45
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.77%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-09 16:45
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 17:50
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -3.50%E -0.933%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-16 19:20
Winamax (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-20 11:05
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.77%E -5.01%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -7.36%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-25 19:40
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.14%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.43%EV -11.15%E -5.81%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -15.08%E -4.57%K -6.56%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-17 08:25
Winamax (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -14.62%E -4.79%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.06%EV -7.45%E -3.73%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-20 11:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.34%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.45%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.21%4.5%2026-07-25 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.34%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.45%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.21%4.5%2026-07-25 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.34%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.45%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.21%4.5%2026-07-25 23:25
Smarkets3.50I 28.57%NM 27.34%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.45%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.21%4.5%2026-07-26 17:25