The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Strasbourg v RC Lens

2026-08-29 15:15 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Strasbourg (Local)

Prediction 29.00%3.45fair odd
EV +3.81%
Edge +1.07%
Kelly +1.48%
Growth +0.056%

assuming max odds 3.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.76%28.91%29.22%31.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.193.113.5835.09%31.33%32.15%27.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

RC Lens (Visit)

Prediction 43.62%2.29fair odd
EV -1.41%
Edge -0.624%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.99%43.54%43.67%45.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.152.152.2648.78%46.45%46.51%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.38%3.65fair odd
EV -1.44%
Edge -0.400%
Kelly -0.554%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.95%27.55%27.12%29.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.413.453.6032.26%29.32%29.03%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Strasbourg (Local): 29.00%; RC Lens (Visit): 43.62%; Draw: 27.38%. For Strasbourg (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.45. 6 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.58, producing a positive expected value of +3.81%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.58I 27.93%NM 27.53%EV +3.81%E +1.07%K +1.48%G +0.056%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.81%EV -1.85%E -0.821%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.66%EV -5.82%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-23 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯3.57I 28.01%NM 27.05%EV +3.52%E +0.987%K +1.37%G +0.048%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.50%EV -3.16%E -1.42%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.44%EV -10.20%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-23 17:19
LowVig.ag🎯3.57I 28.01%NM 27.05%EV +3.52%E +0.987%K +1.37%G +0.048%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.50%EV -3.16%E -1.42%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.44%EV -10.20%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-23 17:19
Pinnacle🎯3.53I 28.33%NM 27.01%EV +2.36%E +0.670%K +0.935%G +0.022%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.74%EV -4.90%E -2.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.25%EV -10.75%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-23 17:35
Marathon Bet🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 27.52%EV +2.07%E +0.589%K +0.823%G +0.017%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.83%EV -3.59%E -1.63%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.66%EV -7.46%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-23 18:29
Tipico (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV +1.49%E +0.427%K +0.598%G +0.009%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -10.57%E -5.16%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.92%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 17:19
Everygame🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -1.40%E -0.413%K -0.585%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.39%E -4.00%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -15.13%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 16:38
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -1.40%E -0.413%K -0.585%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.39%E -4.00%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -15.13%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 17:39
Suprabets🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 27.14%EV -1.98%E -0.587%K -0.834%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.47%EV -7.95%E -3.77%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.40%EV -14.58%E -4.67%K -6.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 16:52
NordicBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.75%E -1.77%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -5.55%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 18:24
Betsson🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.75%E -1.77%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -5.55%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 18:24
Coolbet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.20%EV -7.20%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.95%EV -1.85%E -0.821%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.85%EV -1.44%E -0.400%K -0.554%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-23 18:19
SportsBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.20%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 16:34
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.20%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 16:35
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.20%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 16:34
PlayUp🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -8.65%E -2.75%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -7.52%E -3.55%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -8.29%E -2.47%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 18:24
GTbets🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.42%EV -9.52%E -3.05%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.99%EV -1.41%E -0.624%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.59%EV -5.82%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 16:35
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -10.10%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -1.44%E -0.400%K -0.554%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 17:09
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -10.10%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 16:35
Betr (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -10.10%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 16:44
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -10.10%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 16:35
Unibet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.10%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.92%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 16:39
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.10%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.92%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 16:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.10%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.39%E -4.00%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-23 16:44
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.10%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.39%E -4.00%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.92%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 16:35
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -10.10%E -3.26%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.57%E -5.16%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 17:40
Bet Right🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -11.55%E -3.79%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 17:10
Betclic (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -11.55%E -3.79%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.23%EV -7.52%E -3.55%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.72%EV -6.09%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 17:19
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -13.00%E -4.33%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 17:04
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -14.45%E -4.90%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -8.39%E -4.00%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-23 17:19
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -15.90%E -5.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 17:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -15.90%E -5.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 17:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -15.90%E -5.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -4.18%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 17:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.85%EV -17.35%E -6.09%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.90%EV -10.57%E -5.16%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.25%EV -8.29%E -2.47%K -3.53%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-23 17:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.70%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13%3.1%2026-08-23 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.53%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%6.6%2026-08-23 18:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.53%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%6.6%2026-08-23 18:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.53%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%6.6%2026-08-23 18:05
Smarkets◎3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.41%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%8.0%2026-08-23 18:24
Arbitrage (2 combinations) +0.04%1xBet 3.58 (27.9%) / GTbets 2.26 (44.3%) / betfred_uk 3.60 (27.8%)Show all 2 combinations
Strasbourg (Local)RC Lens (Visit)DrawMargin
1xBet🎯 3.58 (27.9%)GTbets🎯 2.26 (44.3%)Coolbet🎯 3.60 (27.8%)+0.041%
1xBet🎯 3.58 (27.9%)GTbets🎯 2.26 (44.3%)betfred_uk🎯 3.60 (27.8%)+0.041%