Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Strasbourg v RC Lens

2026-08-29 15:15 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Strasbourg (Local)

Prévision 28.97%3.45cote équitable
EV +3.73%
Avantage +1.04%
Kelly +1.44%
Croissance +0.054%

avec la cote maximale 3.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.76%28.89%28.99%31.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.203.123.5834.48%31.24%32.05%27.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

RC Lens (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.62%2.29cote équitable
EV -1.42%
Avantage -0.626%
Kelly -1.12%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.99%43.58%43.71%45.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.152.152.2650.00%46.47%46.51%44.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.40%3.65cote équitable
EV -1.34%
Avantage -0.374%
Kelly -0.517%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.08%27.53%27.31%29.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.413.453.6032.26%29.29%28.99%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Strasbourg (Local) : 28.97% ; RC Lens (Visiteur) : 43.62% ; Match nul : 27.40%. Pour Strasbourg (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.45. 6 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 3.58, pour une espérance positive de +3.73%.

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯3.58I 27.93%NM 27.53%EV +3.73%E +1.04%K +1.44%G +0.054%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.81%EV -1.85%E -0.823%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.66%EV -5.73%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-23 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯3.57I 28.01%NM 27.05%EV +3.44%E +0.963%K +1.34%G +0.046%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.50%EV -3.16%E -1.42%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.44%EV -10.11%E -3.08%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-23 17:19
LowVig.ag🎯3.57I 28.01%NM 27.05%EV +3.44%E +0.963%K +1.34%G +0.046%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.50%EV -3.16%E -1.42%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.44%EV -10.11%E -3.08%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-23 17:19
Pinnacle🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 27.04%EV +3.15%E +0.884%K +1.23%G +0.039%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.96%EV -4.47%E -2.04%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.00%EV -9.02%E -2.72%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-23 19:35
Marathon Bet🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 27.52%EV +1.99%E +0.565%K +0.789%G +0.016%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.83%EV -3.60%E -1.63%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.66%EV -7.37%E -2.18%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-23 18:29
Tipico (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV +1.41%E +0.403%K +0.564%G +0.008%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -10.58%E -5.16%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 17:19
Everygame🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -1.49%E -0.438%K -0.620%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.39%E -4.00%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -15.05%E -4.85%K -7.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 16:38
Suprabets🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 27.14%EV -2.07%E -0.612%K -0.869%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.47%EV -7.96%E -3.77%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.40%EV -14.50%E -4.65%K -6.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 16:52
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -4.39%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.39%E -4.00%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 19:25
NordicBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.83%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -5.46%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 18:24
Betsson🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.83%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -5.46%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 18:24
Coolbet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.20%EV -7.28%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.95%EV -1.85%E -0.823%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.85%EV -1.34%E -0.374%K -0.517%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-23 18:19
SportsBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.28%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 16:34
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.28%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 16:35
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.28%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 16:34
Winamax (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -7.28%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -10.58%E -5.16%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-23 19:29
Codere (IT)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.25%EV -8.73%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.92%EV -3.16%E -1.42%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -2.72%E -0.765%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 19:24
GTbets🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.42%EV -9.60%E -3.08%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.99%EV -1.42%E -0.626%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.59%EV -5.73%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 16:35
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -1.34%E -0.374%K -0.517%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 17:09
Betr (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -1.34%E -0.374%K -0.517%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 19:24
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 16:35
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 19:24
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 16:35
Unibet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 16:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.39%E -4.00%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-23 16:44
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -7.52%E -3.55%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 19:24
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.39%E -4.00%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 16:35
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.58%E -5.16%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 17:40
Winamax (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -12.76%E -6.38%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -15.05%E -4.85%K -7.17%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-23 19:29
Bet Right🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -11.63%E -3.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 17:10
Betclic (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -11.63%E -3.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.23%EV -7.52%E -3.55%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.72%EV -6.00%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 17:19
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -13.08%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 17:04
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -15.97%E -5.51%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 17:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -15.97%E -5.51%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 17:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -15.97%E -5.51%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 17:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.14%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41%2.0%2026-08-23 19:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%7.7%2026-08-23 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%7.7%2026-08-23 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%7.7%2026-08-23 19:29
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%9.2%2026-08-23 19:44
Arbitrage (3 combinaisons) +0.04%1xBet 3.58 (27.9%) / GTbets 2.26 (44.3%) / betfred_uk 3.60 (27.8%)Afficher les 3 combinaisons
Strasbourg (Local)RC Lens (Visiteur)Match nulMarge
1xBet🎯 3.58 (27.9%)GTbets🎯 2.26 (44.3%)Coolbet🎯 3.60 (27.8%)+0.041%
1xBet🎯 3.58 (27.9%)GTbets🎯 2.26 (44.3%)betfred_uk🎯 3.60 (27.8%)+0.041%
1xBet🎯 3.58 (27.9%)GTbets🎯 2.26 (44.3%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.60 (27.8%)+0.041%