Language:English
Saint Etienne v Nice
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Saint Etienne (Local)
Prediction 35.92%2.78fair odd
EV +0.586%
Edge +0.209%
Kelly +0.326%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.26%35.94%35.90%37.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.652.652.8040.82%37.68%37.74%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Nice (Visit)
Prediction 34.03%2.94fair odd
EV -3.00%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.62%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.34%33.99%34.07%34.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.732.712.8539.22%36.60%36.90%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.04%3.33fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -0.727%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.07%30.07%30.03%31.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.103.133.2534.48%32.28%31.90%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saint Etienne (Local): 35.92%; Nice (Visit): 34.03%; Draw: 30.04%. For Saint Etienne (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.78. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.586%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.78%EV +0.586%E +0.209%K +0.326%G +0.002% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.78%EV -4.70%E -1.68%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.78%EV +0.586%E +0.209%K +0.326%G +0.002% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.78%EV -4.70%E -1.68%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.78%EV +0.586%E +0.209%K +0.326%G +0.002% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.78%EV -4.70%E -1.68%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.78%EV +0.586%E +0.209%K +0.326%G +0.002% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.78%EV -4.70%E -1.68%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%EV +0.586%E +0.209%K +0.326%G +0.002% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%EV -4.70%E -1.68%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.57%EV +0.586%E +0.209%K +0.326%G +0.002% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.70%EV -5.04%E -1.81%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.73%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.19%EV -1.21%E -0.440%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.56%EV -4.70%E -1.68%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.24%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.81%EV -1.21%E -0.440%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.81%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.39%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.58%EV -2.29%E -0.841%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.58%EV -7.43%E -2.73%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.37%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -3.01%E -1.11%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.42%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -3.01%E -1.11%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.87%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -3.01%E -1.11%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -9.87%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -3.01%E -1.11%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -9.87%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.53%EV -3.72%E -1.39%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.25%EV -5.39%E -1.94%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 18:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.53%EV -3.72%E -1.39%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.25%EV -5.39%E -1.94%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 18:30 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 34.95%EV -4.44%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.45%E -3.14%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -8.37%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.43%EV -4.80%E -1.81%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -3.00%E -1.05%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.70%EV -2.36%E -0.727%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.82%EV -4.80%E -1.81%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -4.80%E -1.81%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -8.37%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -4.80%E -1.81%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -8.37%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -4.80%E -1.81%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -8.37%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -4.80%E -1.81%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -8.37%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -4.80%E -1.81%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -8.37%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -4.80%E -1.81%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -9.87%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -4.80%E -1.81%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -8.37%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.85%EV -5.52%E -2.10%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.59%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.87%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.08%EV -5.88%E -2.24%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -5.88%E -2.24%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-26 18:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.81%EV -5.88%E -2.24%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.07%EV -6.27%E -2.01%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-26 18:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -5.88%E -2.24%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.88%E -4.44%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -5.88%E -2.24%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.88%E -4.44%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -5.88%E -2.24%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.88%E -4.44%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -5.88%E -2.24%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.88%E -4.44%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -6.60%E -2.54%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-26 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -6.60%E -2.54%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-26 17:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -6.60%E -2.54%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-26 18:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.36%EV -6.96%E -2.69%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.75%EV -5.04%E -1.81%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -7.32%E -2.84%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.78%EV -6.07%E -2.20%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-26 18:36 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.10%EV -8.39%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -4.70%E -1.68%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -2.36%E -0.727%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 18:37 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -8.39%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-26 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -8.39%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-26 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.73%EV -8.39%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.73%EV -13.21%E -5.18%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.54%EV -12.88%E -4.44%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -10.19%E -4.08%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -4.70%E -1.68%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 18:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -11.99%E -4.89%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -4.70%E -1.68%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -11.38%E -3.86%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-26 18:32 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.97% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.96% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.07% | 3.0% | 2026-05-26 18:30 |