La escuela de los momiosSaint Etienne v Nice
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Saint Etienne (Local)
Predicción 35.92%2.78momio equitativo
EV +0.586%
Ventaja +0.209%
Kelly +0.326%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.26%35.94%35.90%37.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.652.652.8040.82%37.68%37.74%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Nice (Visitante)
Predicción 34.03%2.94momio equitativo
EV -3.00%
Ventaja -1.05%
Kelly -1.62%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.34%33.99%34.07%34.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.732.712.8539.22%36.60%36.90%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.04%3.33momio equitativo
EV -2.36%
Ventaja -0.727%
Kelly -1.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.07%30.07%30.03%31.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.103.133.2534.48%32.28%31.90%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.78%EV +0.586%E +0.209%K +0.326%G +0.002% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.78%EV -4.70%E -1.68%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.78%EV +0.586%E +0.209%K +0.326%G +0.002% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.78%EV -4.70%E -1.68%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.78%EV +0.586%E +0.209%K +0.326%G +0.002% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.78%EV -4.70%E -1.68%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.78%EV +0.586%E +0.209%K +0.326%G +0.002% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.78%EV -4.70%E -1.68%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%EV +0.586%E +0.209%K +0.326%G +0.002% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%EV -4.70%E -1.68%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Pinnacle | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.57%EV +0.586%E +0.209%K +0.326%G +0.002% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.70%EV -5.04%E -1.81%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.73%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.19%EV -1.21%E -0.440%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.56%EV -4.70%E -1.68%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.24%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.81%EV -1.21%E -0.440%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.81%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.39%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Bovada | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.58%EV -2.29%E -0.841%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.58%EV -7.43%E -2.73%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.37%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| BetUS | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -3.01%E -1.11%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.42%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| TAB | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -3.01%E -1.11%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.87%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -3.01%E -1.11%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -9.87%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -3.01%E -1.11%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -9.87%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| NordicBet | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.53%EV -3.72%E -1.39%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.25%EV -5.39%E -1.94%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 18:20 |
| Betsson | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.53%EV -3.72%E -1.39%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.25%EV -5.39%E -1.94%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 18:30 |
| Suprabets | 2.66I 37.59%NM 34.95%EV -4.44%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.45%E -3.14%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -8.37%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.43%EV -4.80%E -1.81%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -3.00%E -1.05%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.70%EV -2.36%E -0.727%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.82%EV -4.80%E -1.81%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Casumo | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -4.80%E -1.81%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -8.37%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -4.80%E -1.81%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -8.37%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| betPARX | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -4.80%E -1.81%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -8.37%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Bally Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -4.80%E -1.81%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -8.37%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Everygame | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -4.80%E -1.81%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -8.37%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| PlayUp | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -4.80%E -1.81%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -9.87%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Unibet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -4.80%E -1.81%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -8.37%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| TABtouch | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.85%EV -5.52%E -2.10%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.59%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.87%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Coral | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.08%EV -5.88%E -2.24%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -5.88%E -2.24%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-26 18:30 |
| Bet Victor | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.81%EV -5.88%E -2.24%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.07%EV -6.27%E -2.01%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-26 18:39 |
| William Hill | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -5.88%E -2.24%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.88%E -4.44%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -5.88%E -2.24%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.88%E -4.44%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -5.88%E -2.24%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.88%E -4.44%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -5.88%E -2.24%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.88%E -4.44%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -6.60%E -2.54%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-26 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -6.60%E -2.54%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-26 17:59 |
| Neds | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -6.60%E -2.54%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-26 18:00 |
| GTbets | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.36%EV -6.96%E -2.69%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.75%EV -5.04%E -1.81%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Caesars | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -7.32%E -2.84%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.78%EV -6.07%E -2.20%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-26 18:36 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.10%EV -8.39%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -4.70%E -1.68%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -2.36%E -0.727%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 18:37 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -8.39%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-26 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -8.39%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-26 18:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.73%EV -8.39%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.73%EV -13.21%E -5.18%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.54%EV -12.88%E -4.44%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| theScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -10.19%E -4.08%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -4.70%E -1.68%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 18:20 |
| BetRivers | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -11.99%E -4.89%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -4.70%E -1.68%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -11.38%E -3.86%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-26 18:32 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (1)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.97% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.96% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.07% | 3.0% | 2026-05-26 18:30 |