L’École des cotes

Saint Etienne v Nice

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-26 18:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Saint Etienne (Local)

Prévision 35.92%2.78cote équitable
EV +0.586%
Avantage +0.209%
Kelly +0.326%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.26%35.94%35.90%37.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.652.652.8040.82%37.68%37.74%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Nice (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.03%2.94cote équitable
EV -3.00%
Avantage -1.05%
Kelly -1.62%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.34%33.99%34.07%34.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.732.712.8539.22%36.60%36.90%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.04%3.33cote équitable
EV -2.36%
Avantage -0.727%
Kelly -1.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.07%30.07%30.03%31.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.103.133.2534.48%32.28%31.90%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.78%EV +0.586%E +0.209%K +0.326%G +0.002%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.78%EV -4.70%E -1.68%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-26 18:40
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.78%EV +0.586%E +0.209%K +0.326%G +0.002%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.78%EV -4.70%E -1.68%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-26 18:40
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 34.78%EV +0.586%E +0.209%K +0.326%G +0.002%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.78%EV -4.70%E -1.68%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-26 18:40
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.78%EV +0.586%E +0.209%K +0.326%G +0.002%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.78%EV -4.70%E -1.68%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-26 18:40
Marathon Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%EV +0.586%E +0.209%K +0.326%G +0.002%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%EV -4.70%E -1.68%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-26 18:40
Pinnacle2.80I 35.71%NM 34.57%EV +0.586%E +0.209%K +0.326%G +0.002%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.70%EV -5.04%E -1.81%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.73%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-26 18:40
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.19%EV -1.21%E -0.440%K -0.691%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.56%EV -4.70%E -1.68%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.24%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-26 18:40
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.81%EV -1.21%E -0.440%K -0.691%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.81%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.39%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-26 18:40
Bovada2.72I 36.76%NM 34.58%EV -2.29%E -0.841%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.58%EV -7.43%E -2.73%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.37%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 18:40
BetUS2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -3.01%E -1.11%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.42%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 18:40
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -3.01%E -1.11%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.87%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 18:40
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -3.01%E -1.11%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -9.87%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-26 18:40
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -3.01%E -1.11%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -9.87%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-26 18:40
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 35.53%EV -3.72%E -1.39%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.25%EV -5.39%E -1.94%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 18:20
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 35.53%EV -3.72%E -1.39%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.25%EV -5.39%E -1.94%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 18:30
Suprabets2.66I 37.59%NM 34.95%EV -4.44%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.45%E -3.14%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -8.37%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 18:40
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.43%EV -4.80%E -1.81%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -3.00%E -1.05%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.70%EV -2.36%E -0.727%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-26 18:40
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.82%EV -4.80%E -1.81%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 18:40
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -4.80%E -1.81%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -8.37%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 18:40
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -4.80%E -1.81%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -8.37%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 18:40
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -4.80%E -1.81%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -8.37%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 18:40
Bally Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -4.80%E -1.81%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -8.37%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 18:40
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -4.80%E -1.81%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -8.37%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 18:40
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -4.80%E -1.81%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -9.87%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-26 18:40
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -4.80%E -1.81%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -8.37%E -2.74%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-26 18:40
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 34.85%EV -5.52%E -2.10%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.59%EV -9.81%E -3.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.87%E -3.29%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-26 18:40
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 36.08%EV -5.88%E -2.24%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -5.88%E -2.24%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 18:30
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.81%EV -5.88%E -2.24%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.07%EV -6.27%E -2.01%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 18:39
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -5.88%E -2.24%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.88%E -4.44%K -6.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-26 18:40
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -5.88%E -2.24%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.88%E -4.44%K -6.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-26 18:40
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -5.88%E -2.24%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.88%E -4.44%K -6.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-26 18:40
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -5.88%E -2.24%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.88%E -4.44%K -6.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-26 18:40
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -6.60%E -2.54%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -6.41%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -6.60%E -2.54%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 17:59
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -6.60%E -2.54%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 18:00
GTbets2.59I 38.61%NM 36.36%EV -6.96%E -2.69%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.75%EV -5.04%E -1.81%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -5.37%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 18:40
Caesars2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -7.32%E -2.84%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.78%EV -6.07%E -2.20%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.87%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-26 18:36
Betclic (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.10%EV -8.39%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -4.70%E -1.68%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -2.36%E -0.727%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 18:37
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -8.39%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 18:30
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -8.39%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -8.11%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 18:30
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 34.73%EV -8.39%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.73%EV -13.21%E -5.18%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.54%EV -12.88%E -4.44%K -6.78%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-26 18:40
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -10.19%E -4.08%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -4.70%E -1.68%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 18:20
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -11.99%E -4.89%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -4.70%E -1.68%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -11.38%E -3.86%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-26 18:32
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 35.97%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.96%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.07%3.0%2026-05-26 18:30