Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rennes v Toulouse

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rennes (Local)

Prediction 47.41%2.11fair odd
EV -1.39%
Edge -0.667%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.33%47.42%47.35%49.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.992.002.0854.64%50.21%50.00%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toulouse (Visit)

Prediction 25.51%3.92fair odd
EV +0.746%
Edge +0.189%
Kelly +0.253%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.46%25.54%25.54%27.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.683.703.9529.41%27.17%27.03%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.08%3.69fair odd
EV -1.14%
Edge -0.312%
Kelly -0.430%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.03%27.05%27.11%28.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.473.503.6533.33%28.80%28.57%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rennes (Local): 47.41%; Toulouse (Visit): 25.51%; Draw: 27.08%. For Toulouse (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.92. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.746%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.46%EV +0.746%E +0.189%K +0.253%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -3.85%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 15:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.46%EV +0.746%E +0.189%K +0.253%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -3.85%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 15:55
Coolbet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.70%EV -3.76%E -1.85%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.64%EV +0.236%E +0.060%K +0.080%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.66%EV -5.20%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-28 15:55
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.41%EV -2.81%E -1.37%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.44%EV -2.57%E -0.673%K -0.911%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.15%EV -3.04%E -0.848%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-28 15:55
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.67%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -3.08%E -0.811%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -5.20%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 14:05
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -3.08%E -0.811%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 15:55
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -3.08%E -0.811%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 15:55
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -3.08%E -0.811%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 15:22
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -9.92%E -5.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -3.08%E -0.811%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -2.49%E -0.693%K -0.959%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 15:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -3.08%E -0.811%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 15:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.28%EV -2.81%E -1.37%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.64%EV -3.59%E -0.950%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.08%EV -3.04%E -0.848%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 15:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.63%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -1.14%E -0.312%K -0.430%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 15:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.42%EV -6.60%E -3.35%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.14%EV -1.14%E -0.312%K -0.430%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 15:55
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.69%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -3.85%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 15:55
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.20%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 15:55
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -2.49%E -0.693%K -0.959%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 14:05
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -2.49%E -0.693%K -0.959%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 14:05
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 15:56
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.20%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 15:55
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.62%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 15:55
GTbets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.56%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.57%EV -5.12%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.87%EV -4.12%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 15:55
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -2.34%E -1.13%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.12%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.84%EV -2.22%E -0.616%K -0.852%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.79%EV -2.34%E -1.13%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.05%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.15%EV -3.85%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 15:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.79%EV -2.34%E -1.13%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.05%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.15%EV -3.85%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 15:56
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.79%EV -2.34%E -1.13%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.05%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.15%EV -3.85%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 15:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.41%EV -4.71%E -2.34%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -3.85%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.20%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 04:44
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.20%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 04:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.20%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 04:44
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -5.65%E -2.84%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 15:55
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.75%EV -4.23%E -2.10%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.87%EV -6.91%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 15:55
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -6.91%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 15:56
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -6.91%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 15:55
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -6.91%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 15:55
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -6.91%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 15:54
Suprabets🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -6.13%E -3.10%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.66%EV -7.42%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.31%EV -7.64%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 15:53
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.49%E -0.693%K -0.959%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 15:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.77%EV -4.23%E -2.10%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.24%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -5.20%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 15:56
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 15:53
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.62%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 15:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 15:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 15:55
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.62%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 14:05
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -1.39%E -0.667%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -9.46%E -2.66%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 15:55
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -1.39%E -0.667%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -9.46%E -2.66%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 15:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -6.13%E -3.10%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -9.46%E -2.66%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -3.85%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 15:55
Bet Right🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -6.13%E -3.10%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -9.46%E -2.66%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 15:55
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -10.73%E -3.07%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.49%E -0.693%K -0.959%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 15:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -10.73%E -3.07%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.20%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 15:55
LeoVegas🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.00%EV -8.50%E -4.40%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -10.73%E -3.07%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -9.27%E -2.77%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 15:55
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -9.45%E -4.95%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -10.73%E -3.07%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-28 15:55
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.81%E -1.37%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -13.28%E -3.91%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 15:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 46.55%EV -13.24%E -7.23%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.05%EV -13.28%E -3.91%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.40%EV -18.75%E -6.25%K -9.37%G +0.000%17.4%2026-02-28 15:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%0.6%2026-02-28 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%0.6%2026-02-28 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-02-28 15:55
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-02-28 15:55
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-02-28 15:55