La escuela de los momios

Rennes v Toulouse

Inicio: 2026-02-28 16:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Rennes (Local)

Predicción 47.41%2.11momio equitativo
EV -1.39%
Ventaja -0.667%
Kelly -1.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.08

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.33%47.42%47.35%49.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.992.002.0854.64%50.21%50.00%48.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Toulouse (Visitante)

Predicción 25.51%3.92momio equitativo
EV +0.746%
Ventaja +0.189%
Kelly +0.253%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.46%25.54%25.54%27.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.683.703.9529.41%27.17%27.03%25.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.08%3.69momio equitativo
EV -1.14%
Ventaja -0.312%
Kelly -0.430%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.03%27.05%27.11%28.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.473.503.6533.33%28.80%28.57%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.46%EV +0.746%E +0.189%K +0.253%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -3.85%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 15:55
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.46%EV +0.746%E +0.189%K +0.253%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -3.85%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 15:55
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 47.70%EV -3.76%E -1.85%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.64%EV +0.236%E +0.060%K +0.080%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.66%EV -5.20%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-28 15:55
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78%NM 47.41%EV -2.81%E -1.37%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.44%EV -2.57%E -0.673%K -0.911%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.15%EV -3.04%E -0.848%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-28 15:55
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.67%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -3.08%E -0.811%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -5.20%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 14:05
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -3.08%E -0.811%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 15:55
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -3.08%E -0.811%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 15:55
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -3.08%E -0.811%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 15:22
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -9.92%E -5.22%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -3.08%E -0.811%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -2.49%E -0.693%K -0.959%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 15:55
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -3.08%E -0.811%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 15:55
Marathon Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 47.28%EV -2.81%E -1.37%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.64%EV -3.59%E -0.950%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.08%EV -3.04%E -0.848%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 15:55
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.63%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -1.14%E -0.312%K -0.430%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 15:55
Unibet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.42%EV -6.60%E -3.35%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.14%EV -1.14%E -0.312%K -0.430%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 15:55
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.69%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -3.85%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 15:55
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.20%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 15:55
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -2.49%E -0.693%K -0.959%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 14:05
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -2.49%E -0.693%K -0.959%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 14:05
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 15:56
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.20%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 15:55
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -4.36%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.62%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 15:55
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 47.56%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.57%EV -5.12%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.87%EV -4.12%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 15:55
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -2.34%E -1.13%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.12%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.84%EV -2.22%E -0.616%K -0.852%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.79%EV -2.34%E -1.13%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.05%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.15%EV -3.85%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 15:55
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.79%EV -2.34%E -1.13%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.05%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.15%EV -3.85%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 15:56
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.79%EV -2.34%E -1.13%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.05%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.15%EV -3.85%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 15:55
Codere (IT)2.01I 49.75%NM 47.41%EV -4.71%E -2.34%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -3.85%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.20%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 04:44
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.20%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 04:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.20%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 04:44
Parions Sport (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -5.65%E -2.84%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -5.63%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 15:55
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.75%EV -4.23%E -2.10%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.87%EV -6.91%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 15:55
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -6.91%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 15:56
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -6.91%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 15:55
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -6.91%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 15:55
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -6.91%E -1.89%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 15:54
Suprabets1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -6.13%E -3.10%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.66%EV -7.42%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.31%EV -7.64%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 15:53
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.49%E -0.693%K -0.959%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 15:55
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.77%EV -4.23%E -2.10%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.24%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -5.20%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 15:56
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 15:53
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.62%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 15:55
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 15:55
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 15:55
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.55%E -3.87%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.18%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.62%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 14:05
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -1.39%E -0.667%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -9.46%E -2.66%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 15:55
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -1.39%E -0.667%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -9.46%E -2.66%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 15:55
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -6.13%E -3.10%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -9.46%E -2.66%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -3.85%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 15:55
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -6.13%E -3.10%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -9.46%E -2.66%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 15:55
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -10.73%E -3.07%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.49%E -0.693%K -0.959%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 15:55
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.18%E -2.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -10.73%E -3.07%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.20%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 15:55
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 47.00%EV -8.50%E -4.40%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -10.73%E -3.07%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -9.27%E -2.77%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 15:55
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -9.45%E -4.95%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -10.73%E -3.07%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-28 15:55
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.81%E -1.37%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -13.28%E -3.91%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.91%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 15:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.55%EV -13.24%E -7.23%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.05%EV -13.28%E -3.91%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.40%EV -18.75%E -6.25%K -9.37%G +0.000%17.4%2026-02-28 15:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%0.6%2026-02-28 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%0.6%2026-02-28 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-02-28 15:55
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-02-28 15:55
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-02-28 15:55